Skip to comments.York: GOP hopes soar as Romney rolls in Ohio
Posted on 10/14/2012 8:53:51 PM PDT by Arthurio
LEBANON, Ohio -- Just two weeks ago, Republicans here in Ohio, even in GOP stronghold Warren County, were filled with anxiety and doubt. Poll after poll showed President Obama widening his lead over Mitt Romney in this crucial battleground state. Republicans didn't know whether to believe the polls -- many didn't -- or admit their man was faltering in a nearly must-win state. Either way, it was a frustrating situation.
No longer. In the wake of Romney's decisive victory over Obama in the first presidential debate October 3, the campaign's trajectory here in Ohio is up, up, up. Not just in the polls, where Romney has cut a five-and-a-half point Obama lead in the RealClearPolitics average of polls to 1.7 points, but also in Republicans' everyday lives as they talk to friends and, in some cases, volunteer for the campaign. And on Saturday evening in Lebanon, population 20,242, county seat of Warren County, where John McCain beat Barack Obama 67 percent to 31 percent in 2008, optimism had returned.
"There is hope, we have hope now," said Tracey Perry of Loveland as she waited for Romney to speak to a crowd of nearly 10,000. "We were afraid the message was never going to get out."
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...
The polls were designed to dampen enthusiasm and make their numbers reality in the end. Ignore them - no matter what they say - and turn out, turn out, turn out!
The polls with their sway & tilt D were holding on to Ohio as long as possible after turning to R/R in FL, VA, & NC. OH is ours next.
You hit the nail on the head! TURN OUT! TURN OUT! TURN OUT!
That is the key.
If and when Romney actually opens up a lead in Ohio, we will see real panic set in on the left.
At this point, Ohio is their only hope of retaining the White House.
Plain as the band on Limbaugh’s cigar:
‘Polls’ will first show the Democrat way ahead to set the background. Next the polls will show a tightening to scare stay-at-home Democrats. Then the polls will show the Democrat with a slight lead. Only the last polls before the election will be as unbiased as biased pollsters can make them.
This cycle happens every election!
Don’t get cocky, folks! There is always the possibility of something unexpected happening in the debates or otherwise, or dirty tricks played by these Chicago thug Alinskyite Democrats. Just be very carful and wary, and be sure and get out to vote!
Iran; count on it.
Romney would do well to predict an Iranian stunt, “jeopardizing the safety of the world.”
There was an article on Drudge about the Ohio coal miners, call on Obama to stop lying about them. Obama ran some ads on Ohio TV, accusing the owner of some of the coal mines of ordering the workers to show up at Romney campaign stops. The men said that it wasn’t true, that they were almost all supporting Romney because Obama’s war on coal was costing them jobs.
True and Ohio is going GOP!
Based on Oh absentee splits-—Ds lead absolutely but their margins are down huge and Rs up solid in key bellwether counties Franklin and Hamilton and are off 6 points in Cuyahoga, itself a disaster. If all OH indies split 50/50 Romney would win by 2. If he gets a 1-2 indie advantage, he’ll win OH by 4-5 .
Do we have any data on the number of absentee ballots that have actually been returned and their D/R/I breakdown? Also, do we have similar data with regard to the early in person voting?
No, only those requested. Historically, Rs return a higher percentage than Ds.
LS, one interesting thing that I found on the George Mason website concerns the total number of ballots that have been returned by county. In Cuyahoga, it is very small. Compare that to Hamilton, where over 60,000 people have sent in ballots. It will be interesting to see how many of these ballots are actually returned.
I also was looking at the in-person voting tally in Cuyahoga, which is available on the Ohio Secretary of State website. So far, a little over 11,000 people have voted. In 2008, the total number of people who voted early in person was over 50,000.
Yep. And those are VERY GOOD NUMBERS. All observers agree that Rs return absentees at a higher rate than Ds. And if 40,000 absentees never come in from Cuyahoga? HALLELUJAH!