Skip to comments.Campaign Insiders 10/15/2012 [Weekly FOX show w/ Pat Caddell]
Posted on 10/15/2012 1:16:26 PM PDT by JediJones
What is the state of the race after the Veep debate and heading into the crucial second Presidential debate?
(Excerpt) Read more at video.foxnews.com ...
Would you mind providing a quick executive summary for those of us who can’t spare the 22 minutes to watch the whole thing?
Thanks in advance.
Knowing Mr. Caddell’s past track record, he probably tells you how badly Obama is going to lose. And on Nov. 7 he will have been within 1% of the actual vote totals.
Sorry, I’m not an executive. Just kidding, but I won’t be able to watch it until tonight. Just wanted to get it posted early since it’ll be old news by tomorrow’s debate.
Thanks for posting it.
Mr. Caddell is bashing Mitt campaign. His Campaign agency are making money for themselves. They are not even advertising nationally because of his campaign guys companies are looking after their own interest. They are working on their own contracts.
Guy reminds me of Jack Elam one of my favorite actors.
Race is as close to a tie as possible.
WashPost poll with Obama up was +9 Dem sample, comes back down to tie level when you adjust the weighting to reality.
Momentum is with Romney.
Debate opened the door for Romney. Campaign didn’t do it and took a whole week to get an ad up about the debate.
If Romney wins the next debate, “the money starts shifting.”
Obama’s 253 locked EVs down to 201. Romney still at 191, but has more leans now.
Obama pretty much giving up on FL, but he thinks their strategy is based on winning Ohio especially plus Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and New Hampshire, maybe Iowa. Similar to Bush beating Kerry.
NC is a lock for Romney, should’ve been locked 3 months ago if Romney had a decent campaign. Some questions about VA suburbs, but seems secure for Romney.
Obama approval at 50% means a very close election.
Huge Obama money going into Ohio.
Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania are all close, and no one’s spending money in them. Caddell thinks those could be moved faster. Says now those people don’t think Romney is an ogre anymore. Caddell seems a little more bullish on Romney’s prospects in Pennsylvania.
It’s the huge slamming of Obama ads in Ohio that is stopping Ohio from moving towards Romney the way the rest of the nation is.
Schoen says Romney should poll the 4 states Caddell mentioned, and bomb them with ads near the end if any are close. They want more strategy and flexibility from the Romney campaign.
Obama’s campaign has no message, is just on the attack, and if not for Clinton’s speech, they’d be down further. Obama’s not a great campaign, they’re just running against the “most incompetent people in the history of America” (classic Caddell there).
New Obama ad is generic. They’re not talking about the future or second term plans.
Obama has learned it’s cheaper and more effective to do national advertising rather than state-by-state. Romney campaign and its consultants hasn’t and “it’s a crime and anybody who gives money to the Romney campaign should sue them” (LOL, Caddell). Says Romney’s staff and Stu Stevens are rigging the game to make a bunch of money off the campaign by charging him more.
Raddatz was a “Biden insider.” Hugged Biden, barely acknowledged Ryan. Caddell could never be a Republican and belong to the “stupid party” because of these bipartisan deals. The Dems take things over and the Repubs become dupes, taking bad moderators. Time to talk about a “real debate that matters,” tomorrow.
If Obama bombs, “President Mitt Romney getting sworn in.” Still a race if he doesn’t and “a better Obama” will show up. He can get back to narrowly ahead, unless Romney falls apart. Romney’s “never been bad” in a debate.
Libyan issue is about “telling the truth and leadership.” Obama is most excuse-oriented administration ever. Blames other people, throwing Hillary under.
Ryan played it too safe, just got by in the debate, dropped the ball.
Obama doing “Sgt. Schultz” defense on Libya, we knew nothing, it’s a state department and intelligence issue. Will it work for next 25 days? Under any other administration, press would be all over the story, camped out. But they can’t bury it totally.
Republicans don’t have coherent narrative to counter with on Libya.
Romney’s afraid of getting burned by the press like he did with his 9/11/12 statement. “Exactly what’s wrong with Republicans” is their fear of the press. They’re in Republicans’ heads.
In the next debate, Romney will be personable, address the president, but difficult for him to be aggressive in a town hall format.
Romney’s tone should be sorrow and disappointment, not anger. Say he’s dividing us, not uniting us.
Romney’s response on taxes should be I don’t need a lesson from Obama on math after his failure to cut deficit.
Obama needs to be assertive, not be insulting, that Romney’s flip-flops are too much and his “math doesn’t work.” “Which of the 5 different positions on the issue are you taking tonight? My position, your old position, Ryan’s position, the conservative position or your new position?”