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Poll finds Romney leads by five points in swing states
CBS News ^ | October 15, 2012 | Lindsey Boerma

Posted on 10/15/2012 3:27:24 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Mitt Romney is leading President Obama by five percentage points in critical battleground states, according to a USA Today/Gallup poll out Monday - a gain the survey suggests is linked to a spike in support among women.

The poll shows Romney ahead, 51 percent to 46 percent, among likely voters in 12 swing states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin.

Women typically trend Democratic: In 2008, female voters chose Mr. Obama over Republican Sen. John McCain by a 13 point margin. Now, according to USA Today/Gallup, Romney is tied with the president among women who are likely voters, 48 percent to 48 percent. He is leading by 12 points among men.

"In every poll, we've seen a major surge among women in favorability for Romney" since since the first presidential debate, veteran Democratic pollster Celinda Lake told USA Today. "Women went into the debate actively disliking Romney, and they came out thinking he might understand their lives and might be able to get something done for them."

But the Romney camp shouldn't celebrate yet, argued Obama pollster Joel Benenson...

(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Constitution/Conservatism; Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012; 2012polls; obama; polls; romney
If he wins tomorrow night, imagine the polls later in the week.
1 posted on 10/15/2012 3:27:27 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Ya know vet. You constantly post some of the best posts on here.

As to the polls. Romney folks need to run like they are 20 points behind all they way to the election.

I will continue to say that till its over and the fat lady sings.


2 posted on 10/15/2012 3:32:12 PM PDT by crz
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

At this point, such polls must be used as propaganda of “bandwagon” effect to increase support. Even women are now going for Romney. Come on Latinos and Youth. Don’t you want to be on the winning team?


3 posted on 10/15/2012 3:34:54 PM PDT by indianrightwinger
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To: All

This Gallup Poll.....

Is leaving a mark...lol


4 posted on 10/15/2012 3:37:30 PM PDT by rbmillerjr (Conservative Economic and National Security Commentary: econus.blogspot.com)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The increased support among women could at least partially be attributed to the Joe Biden effect.


5 posted on 10/15/2012 3:40:51 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: Republican Wildcat

“The increased support among women could at least partially be attributed to the Joe Biden effect.”

Totally true. During the debate, I was wondering how women would feel about this mean old man bullying this respectful young man.


6 posted on 10/15/2012 3:43:29 PM PDT by MNDude (OWS Movement RIP)
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Comment #7 Removed by Moderator

To: Republican Wildcat

I think Ryan’s level head and calm demeanor didn’t hurt either.
Not to mention he’s hansome.


8 posted on 10/15/2012 3:46:22 PM PDT by Leep (Forward! to serfdom)
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To: Republican Wildcat

I think Ryan’s level head and calm demeanor didn’t hurt either.
Not to mention he’s handsome.


9 posted on 10/15/2012 3:46:28 PM PDT by Leep (Forward! to serfdom)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Whatever, you/I/we believe, will only count in the final tally on Nov. 6th.. I’d rather believe we are 1% behind at the present time, and the final outcome we be determined by the extra folks that I bring to the polls on election day..

My single vote will be the determining factor in ridding this nation of the cancer that has infected our country for the past 4 years..

Our future rests entirely on my back, but I am getting old, so if you have any faith in providence, or the Murphy’s Law principle, maybe you should have a back-up plan, in the outside chance I’m wrong.. I know, right?.. :)


10 posted on 10/15/2012 3:48:52 PM PDT by carlo3b (Less Government, more Fiber..)
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To: crz

New Mexico is only 5 EVs, but Romney is down 10 here (Johnson has 6%). So, Romney must have a better edge in key swing states considering he is behind (slightly) in PA and MI. Looking good if he can contine the momentum past debate number two - he could score most of the swing states.


11 posted on 10/15/2012 3:50:27 PM PDT by Thickman (Obama - President Ubiquitous (a.k.a. P.U.))
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To: crz; rbmillerjr; indianrightwinger

Later in the article, one of Mr. Obama’s pollsters tries to explain how a poll of “registered voters” is MUCH more accurate than one of “likely voters” even though history suggests just the opposite. Next they’ll lie about which date the election falls on, at this rate.


12 posted on 10/15/2012 3:51:12 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

So the MSM are going now talk about the invevitable?


13 posted on 10/15/2012 3:51:19 PM PDT by AU72
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To: Republican Wildcat
The increased support among women could at least partially be attributed to the Joe Biden effect.

I suspected the same thing...would be interesting to see if there was a shift right after last Wednesday.

14 posted on 10/15/2012 3:55:59 PM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I really think 0bama is going to come on way too strong because he believes he has to to make up for the first debate, and he thinks that because the fawning media loved Biden’s performance, he’ll have to be just as aggressive. He still won’t have any real answers, and Romney will. 0bama will just up the swag quotient. But the people, especially the independents and undecideds, were turned off by Biden, and they will be turned off by 0bama if he tries it.


15 posted on 10/15/2012 3:56:57 PM PDT by FrdmLvr (culture, language, borders)
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To: Republican Wildcat

I think that is exactly what it is. Biden messed up. Women like Paul Ryan even when they disagree with him politically, and many did not appreciate seeing Biden act like a disrespectful blowhard towards him.


16 posted on 10/15/2012 3:58:14 PM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obamar)
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To: rbmillerjr

Poking cotton


17 posted on 10/15/2012 3:59:13 PM PDT by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life's tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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To: Republican Wildcat

“The increased support among women could at least partially be attributed to the Joe Biden effect.”

Obama’s effort to blame Hillary for the debacle in Lybia is the death knell for his campaign. It’s not because of his unwillingness to accept responsibility, it’s because he has just given every hard core liberal woman a reason not to vote for him, he has thrown the leader of their cause under the bus. Obama is not only losing more independents, he is losing liberal democrat women. They may not vote for Romney, but hey won’t be voting for Obama either.


18 posted on 10/15/2012 3:59:34 PM PDT by resistance (abandon all hope and rational thought, become a democrat)
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To: FrdmLvr

BING! BING! BING! We have a winner!


19 posted on 10/15/2012 4:00:51 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: MNDude

...”I was wondering how women would feel about this mean old man bullying this respectful young man”...

Most women are maternal enough to really chafe at the kind of bullying Biden dished out against Paul Ryan, who exudes respect and character. Any fair minded person had to feel insulted, as an American, to have such a man as our Vice-President. Joe Biden told some whopping big lies at that debate, too, which is always insulting and shameful.


20 posted on 10/15/2012 4:01:07 PM PDT by jazzlite (esat)
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To: FrdmLvr

Tuesday’s debate could offer the meltdown point we all have been expecting...


21 posted on 10/15/2012 4:09:54 PM PDT by newfreep (Breitbart sent me...)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
If he wins tomorrow night, imagine the polls later in the week.

I'm real concerned about the set-up of this affair Vet. The deck has been stacked.

22 posted on 10/15/2012 4:11:35 PM PDT by houeto (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Obama should start packing his panties, high heels, dope and “Hineyboy” magazine collection and get ready to move on.


23 posted on 10/15/2012 4:12:50 PM PDT by albie ("Work as if you were to live a hundred years. Pray as if you were to die tomorrow." Benjamin Frankli)
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To: FrdmLvr

Not sure that Obama “won’t have any real answers.” I find it possible that Crawley would be willing to give his campaign a head’s up as to what to study up on, even if she doesn’t out and out give the questions.


24 posted on 10/15/2012 4:13:48 PM PDT by onevoter
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Sorry to tell everyone, but this pretend poll is biased towards us - on purpose - so they can yank it back to the previous (phony) 1 pt spread for Obama they had before after the debate, and claim “momentum” for Obozo. Regular as clockwork.


25 posted on 10/15/2012 4:20:33 PM PDT by montag813
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Sweet!

Photobucket
26 posted on 10/15/2012 4:20:54 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Tzar
" Romney is winning the war for women. "

Women need to step back and take stock in who are really the ones who are wreaking havoc and a war on women.
In the Democrat party there are the top so called leaders like NOW and the feminist who constantly tell women that this is what you want, or that is what you want, for example: Abortion, Contraceptives, welfare, so on and so on.
Just like the black people on the Democrat party plantation.
Conservative women stress what they want as a whole, as a microcosm of free thinking beings that joins it's wagon to what the rest of us want.. i.e. men's issues also, or for that matter.... all humans.
27 posted on 10/15/2012 4:21:08 PM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Lepanto Effect
28 posted on 10/15/2012 4:21:08 PM PDT by notaliberal
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Next they’ll lie about which date the election falls on, at this rate.

Man, that would be a dream come true. I have seen so many youtube videos of Obama's supporters showing the depth of their ignorance. It is breathtaking! They would show up on the fake date.

Many of them actually believe that they have already voted because they got polled...LMAO!

29 posted on 10/15/2012 4:24:58 PM PDT by houeto (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

If this poll is reliable Romney doesn’t need a clear cut win over Obama in the remaining debates. Just don’t mess up like Biden did. But it would be a mistake to try to run out the clock. The MSM wants to have an “Obama rebound” theme for the next debate.


30 posted on 10/15/2012 4:25:04 PM PDT by lasereye
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To: FrdmLvr

It’ll be worse if Mr. Obama makes a fool out of himself, since he’s the head of the ticket. People somewhat expect the VP candidates to be attack dogs.


31 posted on 10/15/2012 4:25:37 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Everything about the debate tomorrow night is going OUR way.

Conversation about Crowley bias is open and ongoing. IF there is any hoohah going on with her moderations then they will be so apparent and as such, go against Obozo.

Same for the questions from the audience. Anything super snarky, whiney, blame Bush stuff...then we know the audience were all plants (they are) and looks icky for Oblamo.

Obozamma The King will also be trying to out do Biden. If he doesn’t try to interrupt Romney fast during his first response then it get’s harder every minute. If he makes any sort of facial crap, grinning, smirking etc. then the camera will show it. Expect the split screen?

Finally, the open forum will allow us to see Obongo’s body language - do -not -look-at-your-watch!! I expect his nose to be in the air and slouching around.

Eagles UP!

G


32 posted on 10/15/2012 4:43:19 PM PDT by GRRRRR (He'll NEVER be my President, FUBO! Treason is the Reason! Impeach the Kenyan)
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To: AU72

Perhaps nitpicking here. But did you ever notice that when Romney is ahead its “A poll finds Romney ahead” but if Obama is up the headline is “Obama ahead by 5. So as to say....don’t worry, it’s just one poll, Obama can still come back.


33 posted on 10/15/2012 4:43:30 PM PDT by thepatriot1 (...brought to you courtesy of the Red, White and Blue)
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To: jazzlite
Most women are maternal enough to really chafe at the kind of bullying Biden dished out against Paul Ryan, who exudes respect and character. Any fair minded person had to feel insulted, as an American, to have such a man as our Vice-President. Joe Biden told some whopping big lies at that debate, too, which is always insulting and shameful.

Could not have said it better myself. I was interested in watching the debate, but after the first 22-25 minutes, I was so disgusted by Biden's behavior, I had to leave the room. I was sharing at work the next morning that it was unbelievable to me that this man, Joe Biden, was the Vice President of the U.S.A. ... to think that this is the best America could come up with for the one who is only a heartbeat away from being the leader of the free world. Sickened me to my very core.

34 posted on 10/15/2012 4:43:42 PM PDT by Mean Maryjean
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Obama should start packing his panties, high heels, dope and “Hineyboy” magazine collection and get ready to move on.


35 posted on 10/15/2012 4:47:12 PM PDT by albie ("Work as if you were to live a hundred years. Pray as if you were to die tomorrow." Benjamin Frankli)
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To: crz

I agree 2DV is great.


36 posted on 10/15/2012 4:47:39 PM PDT by toddausauras (FUBO x 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

It’s Ryan’s puppy dog eyes.


37 posted on 10/15/2012 4:49:05 PM PDT by Jeff Chandler (Romney vs Obama, Round One: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oyNxHOZiQPA)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Sweet

Photobucket
38 posted on 10/15/2012 4:52:42 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; Hunton Peck; Diana in Wisconsin; P from Sheb; Shady; DonkeyBonker; Wisconsinlady; ..

Wisconsin late ping to new poll showing Romney ahead in swing states

FReep Mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.


39 posted on 10/15/2012 4:53:41 PM PDT by afraidfortherepublic
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To: crz; 2ndDivisionVet

Exactly, crz. As I’ve said (and other people as well) on other threads, we don’t just need to win the election, we’ve got to overcome the theft margin.


40 posted on 10/15/2012 4:54:08 PM PDT by TEXOKIE (Nobody made a greater mistake than he who did nothing because he could do only a little. EdmondBurke)
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To: crz

Right, we need Romney full of energetic campaigning right into Election Day. No going home early to sleep in his own bed, sitting on his lead.


41 posted on 10/15/2012 5:55:55 PM PDT by ntnychik
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; SunkenCiv; cripplecreek; theothercheek; Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj; randita; ..
Romney leads by five points in swing states

This sounds promising, especially since no less of biased entity than CBS News is releasing it no less of a biased duo than USA Today/Gallup purportedly did the polling, and still it purportedly shows Romney in a pretty good position.

BTW, I haven't seen any breakdown of the party affiliation of the sample in this poll.

For some reason, Gallup itself has yet to post the results on its web site.

42 posted on 10/15/2012 5:59:02 PM PDT by justiceseeker93
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The internals of this poll were interesting. Romney was doing 4 points better among women in the swing states as opposed to women nationwide. Maybe their advertising is targeting women, and working.


43 posted on 10/15/2012 6:00:38 PM PDT by TomEwall
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

44 posted on 10/15/2012 6:03:40 PM PDT by Sybeck1 (Beware the worst Halloween nightmare, the "Comeback Kid".......)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I don’t think the fact that Romney won made the difference. It wasn’t that Romney did better than Obama that helped him, but that he did well, and how he came across. The question isn’t about Obama, but about Romney.

The Obama campaign has been spending millions to represent a caricature of Romney, and he was able to set that aside. In the second debate, he needs to show he can connect to people in the Town Hall setting. If he does well, I don’t think it will make much difference how Obama does. People have decided already whether or not they’ll vote for him. The question is if Romney is an acceptable alternative.


45 posted on 10/15/2012 6:03:52 PM PDT by TomEwall
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To: justiceseeker93; AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; ...

Thanks justiceseeker93.


46 posted on 10/16/2012 3:09:22 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Romney only needs to hold his own. No matter how well he does or Obama fails the lib media will rave and claim it to be a “breath taking” performance for “the won” and a devastating defeat for Romney.

Look for the liberals to use words such as “tentative, nervous, unsure, lost” an will be accused at least once of having a “Deer in the headlights” look after what will be described as a “brilliant” question delivered with “pinpoint timing and with devastating effect”

The Left is all so predictable

47 posted on 10/16/2012 5:15:44 AM PDT by Lacey2
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

They won’t be able to lie about when the election is held because by now EVERYONE knows the voting for those who want Romney as president is on November 6th and those who are voting for Obama will vote on November 7th.


48 posted on 10/16/2012 5:18:34 AM PDT by Lacey2
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