Skip to comments.Gallup: R51/045
Posted on 10/17/2012 10:06:03 AM PDT by tatown
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
People are tired of being lied to (and they want a president who won’t keep killing off jobs and the economy)
That was pre-debate #2.
I’d like to see the numbers post debate #2.
This is huge because it pops the balloon in many voters minds about the inevitability of the Obama re-election that had been the narrative for several weeks leading up to the first debate. Gravity is pulling on Obama now, more than anything. Romney is now viewed by most open-minded people in America as competent, caring, energized, capable, in command, not “over-the-top” — in short, he is a viable alternative to the status quo now. Since the status quo sucks, it is a millstone around Obama’s polling numbers.
Is this a 7 day rolling poll? So it would include 4 days after VP debate. Woo Hoo R/R
My question too. What is happening there?
I agree, I think you will start seeing Romney’s number start hitting 50 in a lot of polls. He must get 51% in order to make sure Ohio isn’t close. These debates are good fodder, but the underpinnings of the election are against Obama and we’ve just been seeing the electorate fall into place.
Speaking of Axelrod...is he sleeping with the dead? He is the creepiest pale white guy I have ever seen.
51? That is game over if true. I think it will increase after this last debate. Romney persuaded more to come over, I believe.
Pure opinion: I think this is ground Obama cannot win back unless he tries an October Surprise.
Obama had been at around 51% before, just a few weeks ago, and Romney gained the upper hand after the debate, but Obama can’t do the same because he’s the incumbent. It’s easy as a challenger to peel voters away from the known quantity if they’re already dissatisfied with his performance, but once they switch, the incumbent has a real hard time getting them back because they already know him. Basically, if you’ve already decided that you’re not going to vote for Barry, you’re already locked in. He can’t pull you back.
I would love to get a peak at Obama’s internal polling. Might put the “When I Was President” context. He may know he is toast.
I don’t know the internals, but the polls are finally (surprise surprise) reflecting what is blindly obvious on the ground.
Obama never had any shot at re-election. 45% is still overstating what he will get on Election day.
42-43% tops!! And getting less than that is very very possible still.
This was never a race folks, just a 5 year propoganda machine waiting for the reality to deflate it... Minute it had to face reality unfiltered the wheels were of the bus and could not come back.. everything up to that point was just an illusion.
There is no genie back in the bottle or come back.. though the press will try to pretend there is.. This thing was over before it ever started.
Maybe. Gallup will definitely tighten over the weekend as polls are best for Dems over the weekend. I don’t think there is enough time for pollsters who want to remain credible to play games like you’re talking about this late. Time for those games were last month. The election is a few weeks away and the polls will try to start being as fair and accurate as possible.
That's just crazy. If it's even close in CA, that means he's lost in a landslide, nationally. If he wins at all nationally, he will have won CA in a landslide. Either way, it makes no sense to spend ad money in CA.
Gas prices! Y’all know thet’re a sign of a booming economy!
This is a 7-day sample. Let’s see where we are next Monday. If Romney leads then, we can start feeling optimistic.
My Tea Party Wonkette who is really connected says 56% 44%. Their are many here that don't think "O" will break 42%.
Regardless, your 8% spread is the same as the Scott Walker Recall.
IMHO you are smart to go with that number, since the Walker Recall was a harbenger of things to come, no one saw it....
Intrade has Obama up 1.6 and Romney down 1.3 at this time.
Wonder what happens later today.
Yes, we are likely seeing a double digit loss for the 'Won'.
Nothing matters but the swing states.
Guess the Gallop organization will be hearing again from Axelrod, Cutter, Jarrett,..... and maybe even Eric Holder.