Skip to comments.Obama’s New Firewall: Ohio, Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada(goodbye N Carolina, Va, Florida)
Posted on 10/17/2012 5:46:51 PM PDT by drewh
Long Island was the electoral map has narrowed and Obamas team, while conceding nothing publicly, is circling the wagons around Ohio, Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada. Plouffe said that Obama remains strong in all four states, but he would not discuss the specifics of internal polling or voter-contact analytics, saying only that Obama has significant leads in all four places.
It is uncharacteristic of Team Obama to concede any terrain, but Plouffe offered no such assurances about Obamas position in North Carolina, Virginia, or Florida. Romney advisers have seen big gains in all three states and now consider wins likely, although not guaranteed, in all three. They are similarly upbeat about prospects in Colorado but not confident enough to predict victory. That Plouffe left Colorado off his list of states where Obamas leading and can withstand a Romney surge might be telling.
Chalk one up for Suffolk University Political Research Centers David Paleologos, which said they would stop polling North Carolina, Virginia, and Florida last week.
Fascinatingly, the description of Plouffes comments puts New Hampshire in the firewall pile, when the last three polls have Romney up by 4 (ARG) a tie (Suffolk) and Obama ahead by 1 (Rasmussen).
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
A shame New York and California are lock Dem states. Heck of a lot of electoral votes to spot the Rats.
Ohio might be this election’s decoding state (like Florida in 2000).
We march onward until the conquest is complete. These shall fall to us too.
trust me my state si gong well for Romney but sadly Mack needs help and as well as we need ot beat wassermann carpet bagger big mouth liar
I think Iowa is where the dam breaks. The nubmers there are close
it’s a shame that they have two of the biggest states locked in, shame PA does not not wake the hell up and turn GOP
It is beginning to look like PA might just be the dam breaker. If it goes Red, Obama is done by 10 pm EST.
They are simply trying to hold back a tsunami with a sippy cup. They are merely attempting to make Obama’s loss less embarrassing than Carter’s and Mondale’s.
That they are trying to hold on to states that they normally get on their side speaks volumes......Iowa? come on, this is gonna get really funny on November 6th..........
Is PA really in reach?
How does Jax look?.....
To be honest with you, I never envisioned an election where Romney wins Virginia but loses Iowa. I would have considered Virginia the tougher battle simply because there are so many Federal workers there who keep the economy on solid footing.
Sure, I think Romney should sweep all kinds of states, but Ohio still is looking like the big enchilada.
Obama has no business winning Ohio. The state economy has been in shambles over the last four years. I was out there on a business trip earlier this year and saw some things that I have never seen before outside of urban sh!t-holes like Detroit, Gary, East St. Louis, etc. I’m talking about highway interchanges between cities, where 1-2 fast food joints and 1-2 gas stations are all closed up. I couldn’t believe it ... those are the kinds of places that never seem to disappear in semi-rural and rural areas along interstate highways.
Drop the Democrat polling firm PPP out of the average and the trend is our friend in PA. With three weeks to go and NJ turning from Like Obama to Leans Obama, PA is not out of reach.
I am seeing very few of the 2x1 Romney signs that people would typically put in their yards. I still think Iowa will go Romney, but it is going to be close.
The economy locally is pretty good. Farmers are making the big bucks because farm commodity prices are so high. And that trickles down (yeah, that really works) to the rest of us.
Ohio = Republican Voter Registrations have significantly outpaced Dem’s this year.
NH = Obama is so desperate he’s back there campaigning for their 4 Electoral votes....
Iowa = Strong trend Romney’s direction!
Nevada = Frank Luntz had a group largely made up of former Obama supporters and 70% of them are now inclined to vote for Romney.
I also can’t imagine a scenario where Romney wins NH but loses Ohio. That seems @ss-backwards to me, but I guess Romney’s New England background plays well among the semi-conservative folks of the Granite State.
If NH-NC-VA-FLA-OH are red, Iowa will be the cherry on top. If PA is red, we don’t need OH
Coal country to the immediate north and especially to the east of Pittsburgh is FURIOUS -- I've seen many "Fire 0bama" signs on the US 22 and PA Turnpike corridors. This includes the areas that were Murtha's stomping grounds around Johnstown. This should take some of the usual support that might otherwise have come from the blue dog Dems around Pittsburgh.
I'll let some of the Eastern PA FReepers verify this, but other posters have been saying that the counties surrounding Philadelphia, which have shifted heavily Dem in the last 20 years, seem also to be less supportive of 0bama than they have been of other Dems lately.
The degree of Philly vote fraud is always a question... I think they're going to have to work overtime this year if they want to manufacture this one.
Also, Casey is up this year... hopefully Romney will have some coattails and help deliver a victory for Smith.