Skip to comments.Obama’s New Firewall: Ohio, Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada(goodbye N Carolina, Va, Florida)
Posted on 10/17/2012 5:46:51 PM PDT by drewh
Long Island was the electoral map has narrowed and Obamas team, while conceding nothing publicly, is circling the wagons around Ohio, Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada. Plouffe said that Obama remains strong in all four states, but he would not discuss the specifics of internal polling or voter-contact analytics, saying only that Obama has significant leads in all four places.
It is uncharacteristic of Team Obama to concede any terrain, but Plouffe offered no such assurances about Obamas position in North Carolina, Virginia, or Florida. Romney advisers have seen big gains in all three states and now consider wins likely, although not guaranteed, in all three. They are similarly upbeat about prospects in Colorado but not confident enough to predict victory. That Plouffe left Colorado off his list of states where Obamas leading and can withstand a Romney surge might be telling.
Chalk one up for Suffolk University Political Research Centers David Paleologos, which said they would stop polling North Carolina, Virginia, and Florida last week.
Fascinatingly, the description of Plouffes comments puts New Hampshire in the firewall pile, when the last three polls have Romney up by 4 (ARG) a tie (Suffolk) and Obama ahead by 1 (Rasmussen).
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
Farmers have become some of the biggest recipients of government largess. Corn farmers look at things like the ethanol mandate as key to their survival, while many Federal workers could make it in the private sector — and many use Federal jobs as a stepping stone to higher-paid private sector jobs.
That, and there’s something in the water near the Mississippi river. The western part of Wisconsin, most of Minnesota and Iowa are just full of liberals who are resistant to reality.
As for yard signs , well I have not seen one and most of the stickers I see which are rare are by blacks driving\\My county St Johns, well that goes nearly 70% republican anyway and we outnumber Dems and nonparty combined
Flagler county went to oabma last time due to all the yankee liberals moving there years ago.
I see about 3 to one for Romney and still no obama yard signs.
Clay and Putnam county just like JAX
I'm on I-95 every day and still Romney out numbers obama stickers with FL plates.
It's looking good here but lets nor forget the voter fraud though we have Scott as our GOV now and not Crist
This election has always been about Ohio. The Buckeye state holds the key to the 2012 election. Be on the lookout for cars parked near election locations for a few days, positioned with mysterious boxes filled with ballots. I expect a few “ooops, look what we found, a few thousand ballots. Even though this district is already at 102%, we should make sure that these get counted too”
if we take NH, FL, VA, NC then the midwest will see those results while they are still open and maybe help us to get out our votes and keep them at home.
I still find it hard to see why OH and IO would go Dem but then they have a big union in one state and farmers milking the money from the feds
Any new polling or evidence for this?
The Rs, I'm told, only need to make up 60,000 votes, or basically flip 30,000 or have a bunch of Ds stay home. Ham and Warren alone will probably turn out close to that 60,000.
Driving around the Dayton/Montgomery County (OH) area, it’s 3:1 Romney, but further south, it gets to be 10 or 12:1. The only Obama signs I see are in ritzy old-money Oakwood, white liberal guilt territory. Even there, it’s 50/50.
Iowa is where this nightmare started - it would only be fitting that that is where it ends as well.
You would have to cut off everything that touches Route 87 from Manhattan to Albany in order to unshackle the rest of us.
I live just to the east of Pittsburgh. An area that leans Democrat. I have a Democratic house member Jason Altmire. He is gone now because of redistricting. I drive around Pittsburgh and I see 20 Romney signs for every one Obama sign. I have talked to total strangers and we feel each other out by discussing the economy. Once that is complete, we confide in each other that we want Romney to win. This has happened over and over again. I have not met one stranger or someone I knew that wants Obama to win. I think Romney wins PA on the way to a landslide victory. I have fireworks ready. If Romney wins or Romney wins PA before 10 pm, I will set them off in my yard. I new Independence day. I have a retired school teacher that told me her and her husband and her family in Fl changed from Democrats to Republicans this year to vote for Mitt in the Primaries. A SCHOOL TEACHER! The people get it. We are seeing as many Fire Obama save coal signs as Romney signs. I count them as Romney signs.
Did you see this? LOL
look at the electoral numbers. If Obambi loses OH and NH ... it seems impossible for him.
So NH becomes Romney’s firewall. Take OH and NH and he’s got it, even without NV CO IA WI. NH could be this year’s deciding state, assuming a 50/50 election.
Your right. As of now it all hangs on OH. Like to see a trend in the polling data.
I find it very difficult to believe that Romney will win nationally and not it Ohio. It will defy history.
If Romney wins the popular vote nationally by more than 2 percent, he should win Ohio.
Obamam crowd was 2000 today in Iowa according to Iowa Gazette newspaper:)
Winning campaigns never speak of firewalls. Instead, they seek to expand the playing field.
Obama’s minions writing off Florida and Virginia speak volumes. Obama is losing.
Looking at the Cuyahoga numbers so far, about 47,000 Democrats have returned absentee ballots out of 123,000 issued to Democrats (approx. 38%). Republicans have returned 16,700 out of approximately 49,000 issued to Rs (approx. 34%). So right now the D’s are slightly ahead in Cuyahoga County.
Keep in mind that according to the George Mason website, in 2008, about 265,000 were early votes. As of today, a total of 240,000 absentee ballots have been issued. Presumably, a percentage of those absentee ballots are never returned (I don’t know how much).
Basically, the Ds are going to have to make up some ground in Cuyahoga County to keep pace statewide.
Romney is going to take Ohio. I don’t think its even going to be close. Ohio has had enough of the liar-in-chief.
I’m on business in the area, right now in Springboro. My business involves significant travel and I agree all I’m seeing are Romney/Ryan signs.