Is PA really in reach?
Drop the Democrat polling firm PPP out of the average and the trend is our friend in PA. With three weeks to go and NJ turning from Like Obama to Leans Obama, PA is not out of reach.
Coal country to the immediate north and especially to the east of Pittsburgh is FURIOUS -- I've seen many "Fire 0bama" signs on the US 22 and PA Turnpike corridors. This includes the areas that were Murtha's stomping grounds around Johnstown. This should take some of the usual support that might otherwise have come from the blue dog Dems around Pittsburgh.
I'll let some of the Eastern PA FReepers verify this, but other posters have been saying that the counties surrounding Philadelphia, which have shifted heavily Dem in the last 20 years, seem also to be less supportive of 0bama than they have been of other Dems lately.
The degree of Philly vote fraud is always a question... I think they're going to have to work overtime this year if they want to manufacture this one.
Also, Casey is up this year... hopefully Romney will have some coattails and help deliver a victory for Smith.
I live just to the east of Pittsburgh. An area that leans Democrat. I have a Democratic house member Jason Altmire. He is gone now because of redistricting. I drive around Pittsburgh and I see 20 Romney signs for every one Obama sign. I have talked to total strangers and we feel each other out by discussing the economy. Once that is complete, we confide in each other that we want Romney to win. This has happened over and over again. I have not met one stranger or someone I knew that wants Obama to win. I think Romney wins PA on the way to a landslide victory. I have fireworks ready. If Romney wins or Romney wins PA before 10 pm, I will set them off in my yard. I new Independence day. I have a retired school teacher that told me her and her husband and her family in Fl changed from Democrats to Republicans this year to vote for Mitt in the Primaries. A SCHOOL TEACHER! The people get it. We are seeing as many Fire Obama save coal signs as Romney signs. I count them as Romney signs.
I would think that Killadelphia is an Obama stronghold, but I also have hope that the Pennsylvania coal miners rally together and turn the state bright red.