I don’t know what that means - a 60,000 vote differential via absentee ballots, early voters or on election day or in total?
posted on 10/17/2012 8:20:26 PM PDT
by Dave W
To: Dave W
It means that we lost in 08 by 265,000 total. Given the changes in absentee numbers, etc., we don't need to overcome 265,000 votes. Now, Rs think that if we get any combination of new voters/Dems flipped to vote for Romney/indies/ or more R turnout that totals 60k votes and hold everything else constant, we win.
This isn't tough at all. I think we'll see two counties, Warren and Hamilton, give us at least 30k gain over 08; and if Romney wins just 51% of Is, he wins the state by 3-4 points.
posted on 10/17/2012 8:25:15 PM PDT
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