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Obama's Hope Fades in Virginia
The American Spectator ^ | October 18, 2012 | Robert Stacy McCain

Posted on 10/18/2012 6:26:56 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife

[SNIP]

Not long ago, this hopeful prospect might have seemed impossible for even the most optimistic Republican to imagine. As recently as Oct. 2,a Roanoke College poll reported President Obama leading by 8 points in Virginia, but in the past two weeks,the Old Dominion has shifted sharply toward the GOP challenger. Romney has led five of the seven most recent polls and,although the RCP average for Virginia still shows Obama with razor-thin lead,the Republicans here sense a strong enough momentum to carry them to victory on Nov.6...

........The Democrats are evidently shrinking their Electoral College map,in what looks like a defensive "triage" strategy to win just enough states to hold on to the White House. Team Obama already appears to have written off North Carolina,which the president narrowly won in 2008,....In a remarkable interview with National Journal's Major Garrett, top Obama strategist David Plouffe suggested that the Democrat is prepared to fall back to a last-ditch defense of just four battleground states--Ohio, Iowa, Nevada, and New Hampshire--that would provide enough of an Electoral College cushion for Obama to squeak past to re-election. That would mean ceding not only North Carolina but also Colorado, Florida, and Virginia to Romney,and might permit the Republican turnout operation to maximize its margins in those states without the battering "headwind" of Democrat attack ads. (Such ads, however, continue to run, and there is not yet any sign of a let-up in the Democrat ad blitz.)

However,with the final days of the election season now ticking away,the Romney campaign's momentum continues, and events in Virginia may yet have nationwide impact. The front page of Thursday's Washington Times features a story about how the Obama administration's "war on coal" has thwarted plans by the tiny Appalachian town of Grundy to expand its airport..................

(Excerpt) Read more at spectator.org ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2012election; campaignstrategy; electoralcollege

1 posted on 10/18/2012 6:27:01 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: randita
ping

God bless the Commonwealth.

2 posted on 10/18/2012 6:33:04 AM PDT by Hoodat ("As for God, His way is perfect" - Psalm 18:30)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

So look for voter fraud efforts to be multiplied by 10 in Ohio, Iowa, Nevada, and New Hampshire.


3 posted on 10/18/2012 6:33:55 AM PDT by albie ("Work as if you were to live a hundred years. Pray as if you were to die tomorrow." Benjamin Frankli)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

I was always reasonably confident that VA would vote for Mitt. I hope that Mitt will be able to carry George Allen to a win.


4 posted on 10/18/2012 6:37:10 AM PDT by ken5050 (Another reason to vote for Mitt: The Mormon Tabernacle Choir will perform at the WH Christmas party)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

“That would mean ceding not only North Carolina but also Colorado, Florida, and Virginia to Romney”

This gives Romney a total of 257 electoral votes. Wisconsin and either IA, NH or NV gives him the presidency. If Romney gets MI, OH or PA, it’s over.


5 posted on 10/18/2012 6:38:43 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

The problem with O’s strategy is that it falls apart if states like Wisconsin fall to Romney.


6 posted on 10/18/2012 6:39:43 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

[ That would mean ceding not only North Carolina but also Colorado, Florida, and Virginia to Romney]

He’s not “ceding” anything. Obviously, his internal polling shows he doesn’t have a chance in these states.

Now’s he time to make a donation to Romney/Ryan for the final push.


7 posted on 10/18/2012 6:42:51 AM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: cotton1706

I think Mitt will carry WI, IA, NH and PA. Not sold on MI, NV or OH.

I’d love to see PA called for Mitt. That will make for a much more relaxing Election night.


8 posted on 10/18/2012 6:42:51 AM PDT by Personal Responsibility (The Left blaming Jim Lehrer for the debate is like blaming Liencoln's assassination on the play.i of)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

The Obama campaign is circling their wagons around coastal California and lower Manhattan.


9 posted on 10/18/2012 6:43:44 AM PDT by Homer_J_Simpson ("Every nation has the government that it deserves." - Joseph de Maistre (1753-1821))
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To: Dr. Sivana

Agreed about Wisconsin, but our senate candidate, and former governor, has to step it up. Ever since the conclusion of the GOP Primary he has let the Dem candidate walk all over him with nary a peep from him. He lost a lot of ground. Having said all that, I think he wins, but had he worked harder he could have help the ticket more both up and down the line.


10 posted on 10/18/2012 6:43:44 AM PDT by Obadiah (The corrupt MSM is the enemy of the American people.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

I’d hate to see a hardly-working communist ground into the dust. I’ll have to light a big, fat cigar on election day to cheer myself up.


11 posted on 10/18/2012 6:49:04 AM PDT by St_Thomas_Aquinas (Viva Christo Rey!)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Great to see, if true. The dark side is still running attack ads here, though, so I’m not convinced they’re conceding the Old Dominion. The upside is, Romney has been pounding Obama since debate #1, and Obama has taken serious damage.


12 posted on 10/18/2012 6:51:06 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Record high turnout is our hope for sending 0bama home. Pray hard!!!)
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To: KansasGirl
He’s not “ceding” anything. Obviously, his internal polling shows he doesn’t have a chance in these states.

Yes. That's the point.

He is ceding the battles in those states because he cannot win those battles. He'll be moving his forces (ad money) to other states to try to salvage them.

13 posted on 10/18/2012 6:51:18 AM PDT by dead (It ain't over until the phone lady sings.)
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To: Hoodat

They ain’t getting Ohio. Damn em.


14 posted on 10/18/2012 6:53:00 AM PDT by gotribe (He's a mack-daddy http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AV415yit7Zg)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

If zero is not elected, wait for the horrific Presidential pardons. Can he pardon Islamic terrorists? Just askin.


15 posted on 10/18/2012 6:54:04 AM PDT by duckman (I'm part of the group pulling the wagon!)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Allen- Kaine is second only to the presidential campaign in money spending!
Their last debate is tonight.

Now that Romney has a lead he should find out if his coattails will help Republican candidates. Especially he could help them tie their opponents to Obama.


16 posted on 10/18/2012 6:56:23 AM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat Party!)
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To: duckman

Should Mittens win the Presidential election, I pray our CongressKritters and Senate put laws into place to protect the good old USA and get rid of ObamaCare etc.


17 posted on 10/18/2012 6:57:55 AM PDT by elephant
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To: Personal Responsibility

I agree. I think if Romney gets PA, he’ll get OH. The entire Ohio valley is coal country and I think the miners en masse will stick it to Obama. I think it likely that Obama will hold on to NV, though Romney could take it in a squeaker. And MI could go either way. We could see a sweep of the the entire industrial midwest for Romney.


18 posted on 10/18/2012 7:00:39 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: elephant

“I pray our CongressKritters and Senate put laws into place to protect the good old USA...”

He will also need a majority in the House and Senate. If not we will probably see the same do-nothing Congress for four more years.


19 posted on 10/18/2012 7:01:18 AM PDT by duckman (I'm part of the group pulling the wagon!)
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To: Dr. Sivana; albie; All
The problem with O’s strategy is that it falls apart if states like Wisconsin fall to Romney.

Gov Agency Tells People to Register to Vote in Wisconsin, Not Prove Residency

20 posted on 10/18/2012 7:23:50 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: St_Thomas_Aquinas

I will buy a case of Beer to celebrate on election night when Romney is declared : PRESIDENT ELECT...


21 posted on 10/18/2012 7:57:21 AM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: duckman

Can he pardon Islamic terrorists? Just askin.””

IIRC, he can pardon anyone EXCEPT himself.


22 posted on 10/18/2012 8:07:15 AM PDT by ridesthemiles
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To: mrsmith

My contacts in the VA. GOP tell me that Perkins is within 3 or 4 points of Connolly in VA-11. Perkins was given up for dead by the VA GOP months ago. VA-11 was gerrymandered to give the Democrats a 6+ majority over Republicans. Perkins and his campaign, without any infusion of funds, has put together a strong ground game. He has gotten his name out there by knocking on doors and an incredible amount of phone calls. This effort has gotten the attention of a number of super PACs and it looks like a plethora of funds are coming his way to take this district from the Democrats. The fact that Perkins is close to tying the incumbent is indicative of the tide turning against Obama towards Romney. A strong Romney win in this state with its coattail effect will probably be enough to carry Perkins and Allen to victory. In addition, I attended the Romney rally in Leesburg last night and the place was packed. I was told by a party official that the crowd size was between 12k and 14k. He also told me the crowd was easily 10 times large than the crowd Obama attracted to his last rally in the city. Now I have no way of verifying the statements, but they seem to indicate positive momentum for Romney and potentially all Republicans in Virginia.


23 posted on 10/18/2012 8:56:37 AM PDT by DakotaNative
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To: Personal Responsibility
I’d love to see PA called for Mitt. That will make for a much more relaxing Election night.

If PA gets called for Mitt, it will mean that Mitt will win in a landslide comparable to Reagan/Carter. If PA is won, it means it's over.

24 posted on 10/18/2012 9:03:40 AM PDT by PapaBear3625 (political correctness is communist thought control, disguised as good manners)
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To: ridesthemiles
Can he pardon Islamic terrorists? Just askin.”” IIRC, he can pardon anyone EXCEPT himself.

OK, he pardons everybody, resigns as Prez the day before the inauguration, Biden steps up as the new Prez and pardons Obama before Mitt takes the oath.

25 posted on 10/18/2012 9:06:36 AM PDT by PapaBear3625 (political correctness is communist thought control, disguised as good manners)
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To: PapaBear3625

At this point I am pretty sure Mitt will win the popular vote. Sure hope he gets the right numbers in the right states.


26 posted on 10/18/2012 9:10:23 AM PDT by mware (By all that you hold dear on this good earth, I bid you stand, Men of the West)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Obama’s next order will be to back the bus up to the WH and start loading it.
Many eyes will be on Hillary to see if any china comes up missing.


27 posted on 10/18/2012 9:43:04 AM PDT by Vaduz
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To: Mad Dawg; EDINVA; JPG; Hawthorn; Paisan; VA_Gentleman; seekthetruth; COBOL2Java; Perdogg; kabar; ...

VA Ping!

If you want on/off the VA Ping List, please freepmail me.

If you see posts of interest to Virginians, please ping me.

Thanks!


28 posted on 10/18/2012 10:28:43 AM PDT by randita
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Is anyone watching the Senate races? If the Dems are ceding this many states, just to shore up their last-ditch final stand states, are they also taking money out of their Senate races, too?


29 posted on 10/18/2012 10:37:29 AM PDT by Teacher317 ('Tis time to fear when tyrants seem to kiss.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife; randita; Who dat?; LS; Diana in Wisconsin

Wisconsin puts the coup de gras in this triage strategy.


30 posted on 10/18/2012 11:52:01 AM PDT by CPT Clay (Follow me on Twitter @Clay N TX)
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