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AP: Romney camp weighing whether to shift money from NC to bluish states like WI, MI, PA
Hotair ^ | 10/18/2012 | AllahPundit

Posted on 10/18/2012 2:38:13 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

Even more encouraging than the new Gallup numbers, I think, and circumstantial evidence that maybe Major Garrett was right yesterday about Team O preparing to pull back from some swing states. The catch with Gallup's tracker is that it's the only national pollster showing anything close to a seven-point lead right now; doesn't mean they're wrong, but allegedly even GOP pollsters aren't picking up a lead like that in their internal numbers. To get a better sense of Romney's surge, says election guru Sean Trende, follow the (campaign) money: "Simply put, if Romney were up 7, he'd be advertising in PA, MI, OR, CT and wouldn't spend a dime in FL."

Let's follow the money, then. Don't look now, but according to the AP, Team Mitt's thinking of advertising in PA and MI:

At the same time, the GOP presidential nominee’s advisers and the Republican National Committee are looking to give Romney more routes to reaching the 270 Electoral College votes needed for victory. They are weighing whether to shift resources from North Carolina, where Republicans express confidence of winning, into states long considered safe territory for President Barack Obama, including Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.

The evolving strategy comes as both candidates work to capitalize on their second debate-stage meeting, a Tuesday night face off in which Romney emphasized his bipartisan credentials as well as his efforts to hire women while Massachusetts governor, and declared, “I’m not looking to cut taxes for wealthy people.”

CNN is reporting just as I’m writing this that Team Mitt is indeed moving some (but not all) of its assets out of NC. RCP moved North Carolina from toss-up to “leans Republican” today, which put Romney ahead in the projected electoral vote count for the first time in the campaign. Mitt 206, Obama 201, with 29 EVs from Florida still in the toss-up column but hopefully ready to move soon. If that state starts to lean too, Romney will have 235 somewhat bankable votes with nine true toss-up states left to deliver him the remaining 35. The likeliest path is Ohio plus Virginia plus any other state, but if he really is playing to win in Michigan and Pennsylvania and not just forcing Obama to spend money there to defend those states, he could get 36 EVs just between those two. I’ve always thought Romney could win those states only as gravy, if a big red wave washes over the map and carries all of the more competitive swing states with it first, but who knows what GOP pollsters are seeing in their numbers right now. Romney’s debate demolition of Obama was a true game-changer; only people with deep data know what the game really looks like at this point.

A Republican source tells Jim Geraghty that he is indeed seeing signs of Team O retreating from North Carolina but not from Florida — or at least not yet. The margin there’s still too close, and there are too many EVs at stake, to pull back before the last debate. But if Romney’s poll surge continues, it’ll be time for hard decisions by Team Hopenchange next week. Their dilemma: Is it worth abandoning a big state that they really don’t need to win in order to allocate resources more efficiently, or would conceding Florida be too damaging spin-wise and depressing to their base to risk it? Binder jokes can keep liberals running on fumes until the next debate, but if Florida starts to wobble, the tone next week will shift. A lot.

Here’s Soledad O’Brien broadcasting from another dimension where Obama leads Romney by 15 points in Virginia. Oh — forgot to mention: Obama’s job approval is four points underwater nationally. According to … the Daily Kos’s pollster.

CLICK ABOVE LINK FOR THE VIDEO



TOPICS: Culture/Society; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bluestates; mi; nc; pa; redstates; romney; wi

1 posted on 10/18/2012 2:38:18 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

NC is in the Romney bag now?


2 posted on 10/18/2012 2:39:29 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: GeronL

Yes! He will win PA....I am sure!


3 posted on 10/18/2012 2:41:26 PM PDT by MadelineZapeezda (Where's yo dollah ?????)
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To: SeekAndFind
Yes shift money from here in Louisiana to Ohio. We have it here as we believe in freedom here in the south.

Obama is printing and borrowing trillion of $ out of thin air which will cause you to lose all your money as the dollar loses all value. 6 trillion in new Obama debt, 133 trillion in unfunded liabilities, tens of thousand of pages of new government regulations( 13,000 pages in Obama care alone,), 50% college grads can't find jobs etc. Obama has destroyed the American dream. America used to be the land of opportunity where you could be what you wanted, be successful,etc now Obama has just put us all in very deep hole.

Long live Dixie!

4 posted on 10/18/2012 2:43:08 PM PDT by rurgan (Sunset all laws at 4 years.China is destroying U.S. ability to manufacture,makes everything)
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To: SeekAndFind

Obama is still running ads in NC


5 posted on 10/18/2012 2:43:31 PM PDT by Average Al
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To: SeekAndFind

Outlawing oil and gas is not a winner?? Who would have thought.

Pray for America


6 posted on 10/18/2012 2:43:32 PM PDT by bray (Islam- A billion medieval savages can't be wrong!)
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To: GeronL

NC is in the Romney bag now?

____________________

That would not surprise me. Here in Florida, it seems a lot like 2004. As long as the demographics of the state have not changed drastically, I would think a 2004 margin or better for Romney is likely.


7 posted on 10/18/2012 2:43:55 PM PDT by Rumierules
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To: MadelineZapeezda

That would be epic


8 posted on 10/18/2012 2:44:27 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: Rumierules

That Beckel idiot could be right, but I still don’t trust polls and media


9 posted on 10/18/2012 2:45:37 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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Comment #10 Removed by Moderator

To: SeekAndFind

I hope Team Romney/Ryan reviews FR for advice. Lots of good advice here.


11 posted on 10/18/2012 3:10:52 PM PDT by Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America
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To: Springman; cyclotic; netmilsmom; RatsDawg; PGalt; FreedomHammer; queenkathy; madison10; ...
What say ye, Michigan FReeps?

Image Hosted by ImageShack.us

Image Hosted by ImageShack.us

12 posted on 10/18/2012 3:12:15 PM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America

One of them needs to make a quick non speaking appearance at Comerica park when the World Series comes to Detroit.

Its looking like a 4 game sweep of the Yankees. 6-0 right now.


13 posted on 10/18/2012 3:15:44 PM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: bray

Exactly. 0bama’s COAL KILLING CRUSADE..


14 posted on 10/18/2012 3:17:24 PM PDT by Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America
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To: SeekAndFind


15 posted on 10/18/2012 3:21:10 PM PDT by tomkat
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To: GeronL

NC is not voting for Obama. I travel 1200mi a week in the Carolina’s and have seen ONE bumper sticker for numbnuts and that was in Charlotte.


16 posted on 10/18/2012 3:26:55 PM PDT by eyedigress ((zOld storm chaser from the west)/?)
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To: Average Al

Some lady running for the Libertarian Party (Governor) just ran an add in Charlotte. FNC


17 posted on 10/18/2012 3:30:22 PM PDT by eyedigress ((zOld storm chaser from the west)/?)
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To: SeekAndFind
I posted last week that on a recent trip from my home in Illinois through Wisconsin and up to the Upper Penninsula, I didn't see a single Obama-Biden bumper sticker, yard sign, billboard or anything.

I did see tons of Romney-Ryan bumper stickers, yard signs and billboards all the way up I-43 to US 41 North (from the IL/WI border to the WI/MI Northern Border.)

I think Wisconsin's in play based on what friends are telling me, so I think it'd be a good investment for Romney there.

18 posted on 10/18/2012 3:38:14 PM PDT by usconservative (When The Ballot Box No Longer Counts, The Ammunition Box Does. (What's In Your Ammo Box?))
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To: GeronL
I have lived in NC all my life and I never believed for one minute that Obama could win NC again. I am seeing R/R signs all over the place, but very few O/B signs.
19 posted on 10/18/2012 3:45:57 PM PDT by srmorton (,`)
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To: srmorton

Cool. I wonder why the Democrats thought they could win there in the first place?


20 posted on 10/18/2012 3:51:09 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: eyedigress
"Some lady running for the Libertarian Party (Governor) just ran an add in Charlotte."

That must have shot her grocery money for the month. ;-)

21 posted on 10/18/2012 3:51:47 PM PDT by Average Al
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To: SeekAndFind

I’m near raleigh and all I see are romney signs and at state fair today all i saw were republican stickers and almost no one at democrat booth except a couple obama phone ladies


22 posted on 10/18/2012 4:02:09 PM PDT by pangaea6
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To: eyedigress

Early voting started today in NC. Information from NC may be skewed until mid next week due to Wake County Election Board (Raleigh) opening early voting locations favorable mostly to Dems until next week. If voters can’t get downtown by 5, they have 4 other choices-—2 in predominantly African American neighborhoods and 2 in liberal Cary. Locations in more mixed or conservative areas don’t open until next week. Did not stop me though, but others I know are waiting to vote next week.


23 posted on 10/18/2012 4:15:13 PM PDT by nclaurel
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To: nclaurel
Early voting started today in NC. Locations in more mixed or conservative areas don’t open until next week.

Did I read that right?

24 posted on 10/18/2012 4:23:56 PM PDT by eyedigress ((zOld storm chaser from the west)/?)
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To: MadelineZapeezda; nutmeg
Had you said it a week or so ago, I'd have said you're dreaming however look at the shock poll on Drudge: showing ROMNEY LEADING IN PA I'm almost breathless wanting to believe it.
25 posted on 10/18/2012 4:24:16 PM PDT by StarFan
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To: SeekAndFind

Shift half.


26 posted on 10/18/2012 4:37:28 PM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True supporters of our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: eyedigress

Yes. I had to drive 45 minutes to Cary to vote. I complained to election board and they “had no idea” why these locations were chosen to open today and others not until next week. Told “maybe budget”. I asked why the first 4 locations were not more reasonably located...no answer.


27 posted on 10/18/2012 4:39:48 PM PDT by nclaurel
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Thanks cripplecreek.


28 posted on 10/18/2012 5:16:02 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: SeekAndFind

I don’t don’t approve of saturation ads, where there are six Romney commercials in the same half-hour TV show, but I would like to see every major channel carry at least one Prime Time Romney ad each day in all of the swing states plus the weaker Obama states. That would include contesting MI, CT*, PA*, and perhaps even OR, along with the obvious: VA*, FL*, OH*, NH, MO*, IA, WI*, CO, and NV - where the * indicates a close Senate race where positive ads may help with coattails. I’d like to see a weakening Obama try to protect those twelve states all at once. It is now all about the ground game and turnout, and a broad footprint would help with both.


29 posted on 10/18/2012 6:34:42 PM PDT by Pollster1 (Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. - Ronald Reagan)
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To: GeronL

“NC is in the Romney bag now?”

If you go by the yard sign battle, Romney is going to win handily. I’ve been keeping a mental tab and in my area, it is at least an 8-1 Romney advantage.


30 posted on 10/18/2012 6:44:11 PM PDT by CriticalJ (Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of Congress.. But then I repeat myself. MT)
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To: SeekAndFind

” it’s the only national pollster showing anything close to a seven-point lead right now”

And THAT ladies and gentleman, is why the MSM is ignoring the latest PPP poll (showing Romney up 5 points) so they make statements such as the above.


31 posted on 10/18/2012 6:48:17 PM PDT by icwhatudo (Low taxes and less spending in Sodom and Gomorrah is not my idea of a conservative victory)
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To: StarFan

I actually said it about 4or 5 months ago. I need to find my post where I said it! I knew it because alot of the dems, many that I know that were part of the political machine for years, hate Obama. They liked Hillary but voted for 0zero. Bitter clingers, ya know!


32 posted on 10/18/2012 8:28:35 PM PDT by MadelineZapeezda (Where's yo dollah ?????)
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To: StarFan
I'm almost breathless wanting to believe it.

Believe it :-) I'm in PA... the difference between this election and 2008 is incredible. I also have talked to many previous Obama voters. They aren't just disappointed in Obama's last 4 years, they feel ANGRY and BETRAYED by him. They believed his "Hope" and "Unifying" crap and his promises, but now they feel totally manipulated by him and deceived into voting for him. It's amazing...

33 posted on 10/18/2012 8:57:02 PM PDT by Tamzee (The U.S. re-electing Obama would be like the Titanic backing up and ramming the iceberg again.)
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To: GeronL
I continue to be baffled as to why North Carolina has ever been considered anything but a gimme for the GOP.

In the biggest Dem election since 1964, NC went 50-49 Obama in 2008. Here is how NC voted in the past 4 presidential elections. The numbers in partnthesis are the national percentages for comparison.

Year         GOP                 Dem
2008     49% (46%)     50% (53%)
2004     56% (51%)     44% (48%)
2000     56% (48%)     43% (48%)
1996     49% (41%)     44% (49%)

In every single election NC voted GOP by significantly higher percentages than the country: by 3%, 5%, 8% and 8%. And of course it voted coreespondingly less for Democrats: by 3%, 4%, 5% and 5%.

So for NC to have been in any way a battleground would have to mean Romney was in for a drubbing. If a state that consistently more GOP than the electorate was in doubt....well, what the hell? How could Romney possibly have a prayer in such a scenario.

My prediction is Rommney beats Filth 53% to 46% in NC.

Hank

34 posted on 10/18/2012 10:36:24 PM PDT by County Agent Hank Kimball (Myth Romney is a vile Fabian Socialist - his opponent is infinitely worse. How did it come to this?)
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To: County Agent Hank Kimball

That makes it a bigger question. What were they thinking? Did they think holding their convention there would swing it?


35 posted on 10/18/2012 11:56:19 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: Revolting cat!

Blueish? Did they change their sects?


36 posted on 10/19/2012 12:00:35 AM PDT by a fool in paradise (Obama likes to claim credit for getting Osama. Why hasn't he tried Khalid Sheikh Mohammed yet?)
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To: Tzar

That will depend on the last time they filled up the boiler.


37 posted on 10/19/2012 5:52:41 AM PDT by Lexinom
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To: SeekAndFind

Went on DU (those people are such scum) - and they are so deluded over this. They are all insisting Romneys leaving because he knows he’s going to lose NC....hahahaha! Right.

The sad part is they are so close minded about the possibility that people hate their messiah, they’ve pretty much created a bubble around themselves. I’ve seen people who simply say “I don’t know if we will win NC...” be cursed at and have their comments hidden.

They’ve lost it over there...lol


38 posted on 10/19/2012 6:06:40 AM PDT by NY4Romney
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To: County Agent Hank Kimball
I continue to be baffled as to why North Carolina has ever been considered anything but a gimme for the GOP.

They probably looked at the number of Dims elected governor.

Zebulon Baird Vance January 1, 1877 February 5, 1879 Democrat
Thomas Jordan Jarvis 1879 - 1885 Democrat
Alfred Moore Scales 1885 - 1889 Democrat
Daniel Gould Fowle 1889 - 1891 Democrat
Thomas Michael Holt 1891 - 1893 Democrat
Elias Carr 1893 - 1897 Democrat
Daniel Lindsay Russell 1897 - 1901 Republican
Charles Brantley Aycock 1901 - 1905 Democrat
Robert Broadnax Glenn 1905 - 1909 Democrat
William Walton Kitchin 1909 - 1913 Democrat
Locke Craig 1913 - 1917 Democrat
Thomas Walter Bickett 1917 - 1921 Democrat
Cameron Morrison 1921 - 1925 Democrat
Angus Wilton McLean 1925 - 1929 Democrat
Oliver Max Gardner 1929 - 1933 Democrat
John C.B. Ehringhaus 1933 - 1937 Democrat
Clyde R. Hoey 1937 - 1941 Democrat
J. Melville Broughton 1941 - 1945 Democrat
R. Gregg Cherry 1945 - 1949 Democrat
W. Kerr Scott 1949 - 1953 Democrat
William B. Umstead 1953 - 1954 Democrat
Luther H. Hodges 1954 - 1961 Democrat
Terry Sanford 1961 - 1965 Democrat
Dan K. Moore 1965 - 1969 Democrat
Robert W. Scott 1969 - 1973 Democrat
James E. Holshouser, Jr. 1973 - 1977 Republican
James B. Hunt, Jr. 1977 - 1985 Democrat
James G. Martin 1985 - 1993 Republican
James B. Hunt, Jr. 1993 - 2001 Democrat
Mike Easley 2001 - 2009 Democrat
Beverly Perdue 2009 - present Democrat

39 posted on 10/19/2012 6:39:36 AM PDT by Renderofveils (My loathings are simple: stupidity, oppression, crime, cruelty, soft music. - Nabokov)
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