Posted on 10/19/2012 10:33:30 AM PDT by cdchik123
-Mitt Romney leads our new New Hampshire poll 49-48. Obama had led by 6-8 pts in our polling before the first debate
-Romney has a 52/45 advantage over Obama in New Hampshire on the economy
-NH voters think Obama won debate by 8 pts, still support Romney by 1. Democrats need to accept debate this week was not a big game changer
-Romney leads Obama 49-48 in Iowa as well, although Obama does have a 66/32 early vote lead there
-Iowa voters think Obama won this week's debate 45/36, similar to New Hampshire, but not having a big impact on the head to head
-We've found most of Obama's October drop has been with white voters, so makes sense he's had a particularly big decline in IA and NH
Obama is only winning buy a point with a voter breakdown of:
Dem 41/Rep 37/Ind 22.
I think that bodes well for Romney.
h was on Morning Joe saying the early voting is throwing the polls off.
https://twitter.com/adrian_gray analyzed NBC’s polls and said the early vote is screwed up in their poll, and Todd responded he agreed.
And yet F Chuck always says that his polls are the gold standard.
The mechanism to determine this is fairly straight-Forward:
Noticed when Hillary was making her video speech when she came to “ we had nothing to do with this video “ she had that Chester Cat smile on her face ? she cracked a smile while saying that line... watch the video again... she’s lying.
Hillary : can we have a re-set button here please ?
Red Sox? Did Boston have a baseball team this year. I recall hearing something about in April, but then nothing.
strange, just a day or two ago there was a poll saying Obama was up by 7 in Iowa
She looks very familiar. She looks just like a woman I worked with in Tucson. She came from the great lakes part of the country and we were politically on the same side. I think her name was Janet or Janice too. Most likely just a coincidence.
Not trying to start anything, but PPP isn’t known for reliability, are they?
Everyone knows Boston sports figures go to Rhode Island for leisure activities.
NH— R34 D28 I38
Iowa- R45 D43 I13
Well, she did a nice job. Thanks for the mention.
There are enough black people in IA that they showed up en masse in Des Moines for “Kill Whitey Night” at the Fair.
They live in NH but go to Foxwoods and Mohegan Sun for fun in CT.
So they skewed R this time. It may be a rope-a-dope.
Yes, they play in Pawtucket, RI.
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