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Fox News Poll: Support for Obama Dips in Ohio (46 O-43 R)
Fox News.com ^ | 10/19/2010 | Dana Blanton

Posted on 10/19/2012 4:15:05 PM PDT by CaptainK

Despite a dip in support, Barack Obama retains a narrow 46-43 percent edge over Republican challenger Mitt Romney in the Buckeye state.

Obama topped Romney by seven percentage points in Ohio a month ago (49-42 percent).

The president has lost ground among independents (down 10 points from September), women (down eight points) and voters under age 35 (down six points).

(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; duplicate; oh2012
The internals

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2012/10/19/fox-news-poll-results-support-for-obama-dips-in-ohio/

1 posted on 10/19/2012 4:15:11 PM PDT by CaptainK
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To: CaptainK

As I recall Fox News is skewing that poll by somewhere around 4 or 5 dems


2 posted on 10/19/2012 4:17:17 PM PDT by Nifster
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To: CaptainK
46-43 means about 11% undecided. Which means about 7-8% added to Romney's final tally. No worries. Just keep up the ground game.
3 posted on 10/19/2012 4:19:17 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: Nifster

What’s the overall makeup of the OH electorate?


4 posted on 10/19/2012 4:20:08 PM PDT by Syco
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To: CaptainK

Ohio cannot be that stupid. Please! Come on Ohio. Get in the game!


5 posted on 10/19/2012 4:20:18 PM PDT by RetiredArmy (The Scriptures clearly tell us we are in the last days, the end times. Christ is the only answer!)
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To: CaptainK
From the sample:

Registered Voters D+9 (42%D-33%R)
Likely Voters D+8 (42%D-34%R)

The poll thus assumes a larger Democrat turnout advantage than occurred on 2008.

Draw your own conclusions.

6 posted on 10/19/2012 4:21:20 PM PDT by andy58-in-nh (Cogito, ergo armatum sum.)
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To: CaptainK
Um, all panic freaks. This is D+8.

2012 will be even at worst or R+1.

7 posted on 10/19/2012 4:21:49 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Nifster

Dem +8 (Dem 42, Rep 34, Ind 20). This compares to 2008 of D +8 (Dem 39, Rep: 31, Ind 30) and 2004 of R +5 (Dem 35, Rep 40, Ind: 25).


8 posted on 10/19/2012 4:23:30 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: LS

: )


9 posted on 10/19/2012 4:24:12 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker ((God, family, country, mom, apple pie, the girl next door and a Ford F250 to pull my boat.))
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To: CaptainK
The incumbent president still mired at 43% with just over two weeks left until Election Day tells you all you need to know.

My prediction: Ohio goes Romney by a double digit margin.

10 posted on 10/19/2012 4:25:10 PM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: CaptainK; LS

This is a horrible poll for Obama.


11 posted on 10/19/2012 4:26:22 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: CaptainK
This race is not 2008, and there are no 11% undecided! There are 2 or 3% undecided and 8 or 9% not telling pollsters who they are voting for....gee wonder why.
12 posted on 10/19/2012 4:29:25 PM PDT by Lady Heron
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To: hinckley buzzard

Yes, Romney has got Ohio.


13 posted on 10/19/2012 4:32:51 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: CaptainK

Unskewed is showing 342 EVs for Romney here:

http://unskewedpolls.com/unskewed_projection_2012%20president_01.cfm

giving Romney PA, and MI as surprises.

As far as I’m concerned, this site is unbiased and uses realistic turnout assumptions.


14 posted on 10/19/2012 4:37:06 PM PDT by cicero2k
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To: cicero2k
Unskewed is showing 342 EVs for Romney here:

They are showing Main at 49-47 Obama, if it is that close it would be 343.

I'm good with 270 and up.

15 posted on 10/19/2012 4:43:51 PM PDT by Michael.SF. (Obama Lied, Stevens died.)
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To: RetiredArmy

OH, yes it can. In 2008, all my relatives but one voted Obama. A pharmacist, two RNs, and four other college graduates included. They all voted for Health Care in 2008. Ohio IS that stupid.


16 posted on 10/19/2012 4:54:23 PM PDT by everlast
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To: cicero2k

Unskewed’s numbers look very reasonable to me as well.

Thanks for posting the link.


17 posted on 10/19/2012 5:02:16 PM PDT by cgbg (No bailouts for New York and California. Let them eat debt.)
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To: CaptainK

Romney lost the election by getting in the gutter with Obama in the second debate. Obama set the trap with his vicious opening statement and Romney fell into it.

America wants a leader, not a spin doctor. That’s why nearly as many people tuned into the second debate as the first. Unfortunately America will be stuck with a gangsta Marxist instead.


18 posted on 10/19/2012 5:06:24 PM PDT by Siegfried X
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To: Siegfried X

Just when I think I’ve read the dumbest thing on FR that I have ever read, along you come and prove me wrong.

I think I need to go to bed before somebody beats you.


19 posted on 10/19/2012 5:11:44 PM PDT by beandog (All Aboard the Choo Choo Train to Crazy Town)
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To: everlast

How will they be voting in 2012?


20 posted on 10/19/2012 5:22:51 PM PDT by CaptainK (...please make it stop. Shake a can of pennies at it.)
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To: Siegfried X

Vicious!? LOL.

Are you sure you weren’t watching “King Kong vs. Godzilla” instead of the debate?


21 posted on 10/19/2012 5:30:25 PM PDT by randita
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To: Siegfried X
America wants a leader, not a spin doctor.

I fully agree but I don't think English is your natural language. Are you a natural born citizen?

22 posted on 10/19/2012 5:31:55 PM PDT by Raycpa
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To: Siegfried X

Didn’t a tiger eat you or something?


23 posted on 10/19/2012 5:36:36 PM PDT by Alistair Stratford IV (Keep calm and carry on)
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To: CaptainK

As an Ohio resident I firmly believe that Romney will take Ohio in a landslide. The 47% who firmly back Obie will just not show up to vote. There is no wave of hope and change to get them out of their section eight housing or Mom’s basement to cast a ballot. Heck.. they don’t even have enough ambition to put on clothes to use their SNAP card at the Walmart. Pajama bottoms are just fine.


24 posted on 10/19/2012 5:39:18 PM PDT by pnut22
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To: Siegfried X
Romney lost the election by getting in the gutter with Obama in the second debate. Obama set the trap with his vicious opening statement and Romney fell into it.

Really, Romney had the first words in the debate after Jeremy's question. Here they are:

ROMNEY: Thank you, Jeremy. I appreciate your -- your question, and thank you for being here this evening and to all of those from Nassau County that have come, thank you for your time. Thank you to Hofstra University and to Candy Crowley for organizing and leading this -- this event. Thank you, Mr. President, also for being part of this -- this debate.

Your question -- your question is one that's being asked by college kids all over this country. I was in Pennsylvania with someone who had just graduated -- this was in Philadelphia -- and she said, "I've got my degree. I can't find a job. I've got three part- time jobs. They're just barely enough to pay for my food and pay for an apartment. I can't begin to pay back my student loans."

So what we have to do is two things. We have to make sure that we make it easier for kids to afford college.

ROMNEY: And also make sure that when they get out of college, there's a job. When I was governor of Massachusetts, to get a high school degree, you had to pass an exam. If you graduated in the top quarter of your airlines, we gave you a John and Abigail Adams scholarship, four years tuition free in the college of your choice in Massachusetts, it's a public institution.

I want to make sure we keep our Pell grant program growing. We're also going to have our loan program, so that people are able to afford school. But the key thing is to make sure you can get a job when you get out of school. And what's happened over the last four years has been very, very hard for America's young people. I want you to be able to get a job.

I know what it takes to get this economy going. With half of college kids graduating this year without a college -- excuse me, without a job. And without a college level job, that's just unacceptable.

And likewise you've got more and more debt on your back. So more debt and less jobs. I'm going to change that. I know what it takes to create good jobs again. I know what it takes to make sure that you have the kind of opportunity you deserve. And kids across this country are going to recognize, we're bringing back an economy.

It's not going to be like the last four years. The middle-class has been crushed over the last four years, and jobs have been too scarce. I know what it takes to bring them back, and I'm going to do that, and make sure that when you graduate -- when do you graduate?

Link:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2012/10/16/transcript_of_the_second_debate_between_barack_obama__mitt_romney_115822.html

Gutter...I think not.

25 posted on 10/19/2012 5:50:07 PM PDT by lovesdogs
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To: Perdogg; Syco

While your hoistorical numbers are interesting there are two things not included there

a) in 2011 Ohio elected Kasic governor

b) the enthusiasm levelfor O is down and the groundteam for Romney is very active.

MOREOVER, Ohio is polling likely voters at +2 Romney since the first debate (Gallup) and more than that if you look at unskewed polls data.


26 posted on 10/19/2012 6:05:38 PM PDT by Nifster
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To: RetiredArmy; Syco

Ohio is 50-50.

I see the challenge as this: Both houses of Ohio’s legislature are dominated by R’s and All of Ohio’s statewide office holders are Republican. They are staying on the sidelines, except Josh Mandel who is Treasurer but running against wiley ole swamp fox Sherrod Brown for Senate.

Gov Kasich is doing nothing, as is former U S Senator Mike DeWine who is Attorney General.

I am sure they would help if asked, but Romney seems to be leaving such traditional helpers on the bench (Palin, Gingrich also).

His strategery is inscrutible. Hope it works.


27 posted on 10/19/2012 6:09:25 PM PDT by shalom aleichem
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To: CaptainK

Ohio is making me sick. lol


28 posted on 10/19/2012 6:19:34 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: CaptainK

What’s wrong with those folks on Ohio? Don’t they have a Repub governor who’s got things going on?


29 posted on 10/19/2012 6:31:21 PM PDT by jch10 (America needs some R and R!)
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To: CaptainK
support
30 posted on 10/19/2012 6:37:54 PM PDT by A.A. Cunningham (Barry Soetoro is a Kenyan communist)
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To: snarkytart
Fox weights the poll +8 Democrats and you are sick?

The polls aren't going to let Ohio go until the last minute, but it is gone GOP, and they know it.

31 posted on 10/19/2012 6:38:38 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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