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To: GonzoII
"A new Gravis nationwide poll has Romney leading 46-44, despite a D+8 sample."

+8 and 46? Can't complain!

In 2004 turnout was tied between R/D, 2008 had a dem turnout advantage of +6D. Even if you average those two, you only get an advantage of +3D. The interesting thing is, if you recalculate this poll with a +3D instead of +8D, you get Romney at 51%, a number that looks suspiciously similar to the Gallup Number...

It will be interesting to see the Rasmussen poll number this morning, yesterday Scott Rasmussen alluded to a Romney bump that was showing up in yesterdays polling, to be included in today's release.

12 posted on 10/20/2012 6:22:52 AM PDT by apillar
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To: apillar

according to Ace of Spades HQ: Ras - 3 pt swing in tracking and 2 more pts in swing state. Nice.


13 posted on 10/20/2012 6:28:35 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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