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To: GonzoII; Ravi; LS; Perdogg

I’ve been saying for a while now that the actually results for Romney will be better than what the polls are generally showing. The partisan splits in the polls STILL continue to reflect absurd D advantages that simply don’t exist.

Take the Ohio poll yesterday that had Obama up 46%-43%, it also oversampled Ds by 6% and undersampled Rs by 3% and Is by 7 (with a few apparent “undecideds” left over). Adjusting it for the REAL partisan split in Ohio and the stated division among independents, I got a result of 49.6% Romney to 42.0% for Obama.


4 posted on 10/20/2012 6:02:13 AM PDT by Yashcheritsiy (It's time to make Obama a minor footnote in the pages of history)
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To: Yashcheritsiy; tatown; nhwingut; LS

Ras - 3 pt swing in tracking and 2 more pts in swing state. Nice.


7 posted on 10/20/2012 6:11:08 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Yashcheritsiy

Yep. That’s why with all the hand-wringing and hair pulling around here I’m not worried. We see what the REAL votes are by the absentees and early votes, and the Ds are so far behind the numbers there that they need to win, it’s (in my view) over. Romney is already president.


8 posted on 10/20/2012 6:11:36 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Yashcheritsiy
Adjusting it for the REAL partisan split in Ohio and the stated division among independents, I got a result of 49.6% Romney to 42.0% for Obama.

It seems that the swing is so strong that Ras may be hedging his bets - the turn-around has been so big and so fast that folks in the polling business must be scratching their heads.

15 posted on 10/20/2012 6:42:26 AM PDT by trebb ("If a man will not work, he should not eat" From 2 Thes 3)
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