To: Redmen4ever; SeekAndFind; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; Ravi; ..
"Now, lets look at the recent polls in Ohio. Four recent telephone polls (not including Rasmussen) and two recent internet polls involve Democratic partisan advantages ranging from 4 to 9 points. That does not look right. What I suspect is going on is that the pollsters are either imposing the partisan mix of the 2008 election, and/or the demographic mix of the 2008 election onto the responses, by weighting the responses."
You are really onto something here, and I saw an article BUT CAN'T FIND IT NOW, SO HELP IF YOU CAN!! :), that was something like "Obama wins OH if 400,000 white people don't vote." The gist was that all the polls are not JUST oversampling Ds, but heavily oversampling blacks and hispanics. They are likewise undersampling whites, but especially white Rs.
I've Googled, looked on FR, Big Government but can't find it. If anyone can help, I'd appreciate it.
posted on 10/20/2012 4:09:01 PM PDT
("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
posted on 10/20/2012 4:59:41 PM PDT
(Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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