Skip to comments.Election 2012: Wisconsin President Wisconsin: Obama 50%, Romney 48% (look at early voting)
Posted on 10/20/2012 2:32:14 PM PDT by personalaccts
Election 2012: Wisconsin President Wisconsin: Obama 50%, Romney 48% in Politics.Related Articles Daily Presidential Tracking Poll 2012 Electoral College Scoreboard Swing State Tracking: Romney 50%, Obama 46% Florida: Romney 51%, Obama 46% Missouri: Romney 54%, Obama 43% Virginia: Romney 50%, Obama 47% As Romney Gains, Senate Remains Challenging for GOP By Scott Rasmussen
Friday, October 19, 2012
Wisconsin remains a two-point race following Tuesday nights presidential debate.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters finds President Obama with 50% support, while Mitt Romney earns 48% of the vote. One percent (1%) likes another candidate in the race. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
This race remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Obama defeated Republican John McCain 56% to 42% in Wisconsin in 2008.
The president posted a similar 51% to 49% lead in the state earlier this month. In surveys in Wisconsin since October of last year, the president has earned 44% to 52% of the vote, while Romneys support has ranged from 41% to 49%.
Ninety-seven percent (97%) of likely Wisconsin voters say they are certain to vote, and the president leads 50% to 48% among this group.
Wisconsin allows early voting, and among those who have already voted, its Romney 54%, Obama 43%. Of those who have yet to vote, 90% say theyve already decided whom they will support. Obama leads 50% to 49% among these voters.
Both candidates draw more than 90% support from voters in their respective parties in Wisconsin. The president leads by 11 points among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.
Among all voters in the state, Romney has a 50% to 45% advantage when it comes to whom voters trust more to deal with the economy. Voters are almost evenly divided over whom they trust more to handle national security matters: 47% say Obama, 46% Romney. Among voters nationally, Romney is trusted more by seven points on the economy, while the two candidates run nearly even when it comes to national security.
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This Wisconsin survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Thirteen percent (13%) of Wisconsin voters give the U.S. economy good marks, while 44% rate it as poor. Forty-two percent (42%) say the economy is getting better, but 36% think its getting worse.
In reacting to the nations current economic problems, 39% worry that the federal government will do too much, but slightly more (43%) fear the government will not do enough. Nationally, voters are more evenly divided. Sixty-nine percent (69%) think the government should cut spending to help the economy, while just 16% feel more spending is called for. Thats in line with voter attitudes nationwide.
Fifty-six percent (56%) of Wisconsin voters correctly understand that the United States spends more on the military and national security than any other nation in the world. Eleven percent (11%) dont think thats true, but 33% arent sure.
Thirty-five percent (35%) say the government spends too much on the military and national security, while 22% think there isnt enough defense spending. Thirty-seven percent (37%) say the level of spending in this area is about right. This is a more negative assessment of military and national security spending than is found nationally.
Fifty-one percent of voters in Wisconsin approve of the job the president is doing, while 49% disapprove. This includes 35% who Strongly Approve and 42% who Strongly Disapprove, giving the president a slightly better job approval rating than he earns nationally.
Romney is viewed favorably by 49% and unfavorably by 50%. This includes 34% who have a Very Favorable opinion of him and 34% with a Very Unfavorable one.
In addition to Wisconsin, Colorado, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia are Toss-Ups. Obama is ahead in Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Mexico, Pennsylvania and Washington. Romney leads in Arizona, Indiana, Missouri and North Dakota.
Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.
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Ok, Wisconsin Freepers: is WI a “voting day” state where the Rs do better, or an “early day” state where the Ds usually do better?
I guess I don’t understand how voters say they trust Romney more with the economy and yet these polls show Obama in the lead? Its a well-known fact that the economy is always the driving force behind presidential elections.
I’m in Marshfield, WI and find it very hard to find anyone who admits to supporting The One. Can’t answer your question though since I voted absentee in my home state of Tennessee. I think were it not for Madison the Commurats would only garner about 68 votes statewide.
I find it disgusting, really, that anyone would vote for four more years of this moron.
When I was a kid, I was a Democrat...but there is not any way in hell I would ever go back to that party of reprobates.
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Wisconsin allows early voting, and among those who have already voted, its Romney 54%, Obama 43%. Of those who have yet to vote, 90% say theyve already decided whom they will support. Obama leads 50% to 49% among these voters.****
I don’t see how 0 can be up 50 to 48 with the above numbers. I guess the undecideds have to go heavily to 0.
WTH? How is the First Nitwit even still competitive, even in WI? They just reaffirmed Walker over the commie competition, and yet they’re still considering The Won? Or is it just routine polling chicanery?
I would be surprised if Romney does worse than Walker did in the recall. What did the polls on that election say beforehand?
I don’t understand that either.
Had a street fair in our small west coast Florida town today. Both parties had booths and lawn signs available. Kid you not, saw only Romney signs being taken home. Not one single Obama sign. Romney booth busy all day, Obama, not so much.
It’s hard to say. The real early voting starts Monday with a two-week window for in person absentee balloting, so the people who already voted are real absentee voters.
During the recall election, the unions and the dems pushed hard to drag their voters from every crack and crevice of Milwaukee, Madison, Racine and Kenosha. They had vans constantly pulling into the early voting locations. It was causing a lot of concern among Walker supporters.
Even though I’m in the thick of it, I’m not sure where the race is. My instinct is that Romney will win, but it’s hard to predict what will happen in the northern part of the state. It doesn’t feel like there is much passion on the democratic side, and that may drive the turnout down.
Personally, I find it bizarre that Wisconsin will have re-elected Walker, then send Tammy Baldwin and Barack Obama back to Washington. That’s why I think Romney will squeak out a win, the democrats aren’t out in force like they were during the recall and the energy isn’t there.
It’s too bad Tommy Thompson has run such a lackluster campaign. Tammy Baldwin is one of the most clueless human beings I have ever talked to. She just does not get how the world actually works.
I don’t know how much we can buy polls of ‘early voters’ because it twists things.
Many of the other polls doing that show good news for Obama like in 2010 midterms....and that was way wrong.
Still, nice to see it close and a lead in early voting.....just don’t take it as gospel.
Rasmussen’s final Walker recall poll had Walker 50 Barrett 45. Walker won 53-46. The mosy accurate pollster of the recall election was Angus Reid.
The Rats have been busing voters which is bribery by other means. Wonder what the RNC Romney-Ryan ground game is?
“Fifty-one percent of voters in Wisconsin approve of the job the president is doing, while 49% disapprove.”
So it seems there is a 51% likelihood that Wisconsin cheese will shrink your brain.
If WI or any other swing state goes for Ostinko they’ll be the laughingstock of the nation. The solid blue states already are.
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