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Election 2012: Wisconsin President Wisconsin: Obama 50%, Romney 48% (look at early voting)
www.rasmussenreports.com ^ | 10/20/12 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 10/20/2012 2:32:14 PM PDT by personalaccts

Election 2012: Wisconsin President Wisconsin: Obama 50%, Romney 48% in Politics.Related Articles Daily Presidential Tracking Poll 2012 Electoral College Scoreboard Swing State Tracking: Romney 50%, Obama 46% Florida: Romney 51%, Obama 46% Missouri: Romney 54%, Obama 43% Virginia: Romney 50%, Obama 47% As Romney Gains, Senate Remains Challenging for GOP By Scott Rasmussen

Friday, October 19, 2012

Wisconsin remains a two-point race following Tuesday night’s presidential debate.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters finds President Obama with 50% support, while Mitt Romney earns 48% of the vote. One percent (1%) likes another candidate in the race. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This race remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Obama defeated Republican John McCain 56% to 42% in Wisconsin in 2008.

The president posted a similar 51% to 49% lead in the state earlier this month. In surveys in Wisconsin since October of last year, the president has earned 44% to 52% of the vote, while Romney’s support has ranged from 41% to 49%.

Ninety-seven percent (97%) of likely Wisconsin voters say they are certain to vote, and the president leads 50% to 48% among this group.

Wisconsin allows early voting, and among those who have already voted, it’s Romney 54%, Obama 43%. Of those who have yet to vote, 90% say they’ve already decided whom they will support. Obama leads 50% to 49% among these voters.

Both candidates draw more than 90% support from voters in their respective parties in Wisconsin. The president leads by 11 points among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Among all voters in the state, Romney has a 50% to 45% advantage when it comes to whom voters trust more to deal with the economy. Voters are almost evenly divided over whom they trust more to handle national security matters: 47% say Obama, 46% Romney. Among voters nationally, Romney is trusted more by seven points on the economy, while the two candidates run nearly even when it comes to national security.

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This Wisconsin survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Thirteen percent (13%) of Wisconsin voters give the U.S. economy good marks, while 44% rate it as poor. Forty-two percent (42%) say the economy is getting better, but 36% think it’s getting worse.

In reacting to the nation’s current economic problems, 39% worry that the federal government will do too much, but slightly more (43%) fear the government will not do enough. Nationally, voters are more evenly divided. Sixty-nine percent (69%) think the government should cut spending to help the economy, while just 16% feel more spending is called for. That’s in line with voter attitudes nationwide.

Fifty-six percent (56%) of Wisconsin voters correctly understand that the United States spends more on the military and national security than any other nation in the world. Eleven percent (11%) don’t think that’s true, but 33% aren’t sure.

Thirty-five percent (35%) say the government spends too much on the military and national security, while 22% think there isn’t enough defense spending. Thirty-seven percent (37%) say the level of spending in this area is about right. This is a more negative assessment of military and national security spending than is found nationally.

Fifty-one percent of voters in Wisconsin approve of the job the president is doing, while 49% disapprove. This includes 35% who Strongly Approve and 42% who Strongly Disapprove, giving the president a slightly better job approval rating than he earns nationally.

Romney is viewed favorably by 49% and unfavorably by 50%. This includes 34% who have a Very Favorable opinion of him and 34% with a Very Unfavorable one.

In addition to Wisconsin, Colorado, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia are Toss-Ups. Obama is ahead in Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Mexico, Pennsylvania and Washington. Romney leads in Arizona, Indiana, Missouri and North Dakota.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.

Please sign up for the Rasmussen Reports daily e-mail update (it’s free) or follow us on Twitter or Facebook. Let us keep you up to date with the latest public opinion news.

in Politics.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: North Carolina; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; notbreakingnews; polls; sourcetitlenoturl; wi2012
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The early voting is awesome!!!
1 posted on 10/20/2012 2:32:22 PM PDT by personalaccts
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To: personalaccts

Ok, Wisconsin Freepers: is WI a “voting day” state where the Rs do better, or an “early day” state where the Ds usually do better?


2 posted on 10/20/2012 2:33:50 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: personalaccts

Winning.


3 posted on 10/20/2012 2:34:44 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: LS

I guess I don’t understand how voters say they trust Romney more with the economy and yet these polls show Obama in the lead? Its a well-known fact that the economy is always the driving force behind presidential elections.


4 posted on 10/20/2012 2:36:21 PM PDT by Catsrus (Ma)
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To: LS

I’m in Marshfield, WI and find it very hard to find anyone who admits to supporting The One. Can’t answer your question though since I voted absentee in my home state of Tennessee. I think were it not for Madison the Commurats would only garner about 68 votes statewide.


5 posted on 10/20/2012 2:36:46 PM PDT by animal172 (Go Paul Ryan. Chew 'em up and spit 'em out.)
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To: personalaccts

I find it disgusting, really, that anyone would vote for four more years of this moron.

When I was a kid, I was a Democrat...but there is not any way in hell I would ever go back to that party of reprobates.


6 posted on 10/20/2012 2:37:58 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: All


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7 posted on 10/20/2012 2:38:19 PM PDT by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: personalaccts

Wisconsin allows early voting, and among those who have already voted, it’s Romney 54%, Obama 43%. Of those who have yet to vote, 90% say they’ve already decided whom they will support. Obama leads 50% to 49% among these voters.****

I don’t see how 0 can be up 50 to 48 with the above numbers. I guess the undecideds have to go heavily to 0.


8 posted on 10/20/2012 2:47:20 PM PDT by bereanway
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To: personalaccts

WTH? How is the First Nitwit even still competitive, even in WI? They just reaffirmed Walker over the commie competition, and yet they’re still considering The Won? Or is it just routine polling chicanery?


9 posted on 10/20/2012 2:47:25 PM PDT by Still Thinking (Freedom is NOT a loophole!)
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To: personalaccts

I would be surprised if Romney does worse than Walker did in the recall. What did the polls on that election say beforehand?


10 posted on 10/20/2012 2:48:00 PM PDT by Defiant (If there are infinite parallel universes, why Lord, am I living in the one with Obama as President?)
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To: personalaccts
OK for those still undecided in the swing states after all this time. Make your decision based on whether you want to listen and look at Michelle or Ann the next 4 years.
11 posted on 10/20/2012 2:50:38 PM PDT by JIM O
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To: Catsrus

I don’t understand that either.


12 posted on 10/20/2012 2:55:48 PM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: personalaccts

Had a street fair in our small west coast Florida town today. Both parties had booths and lawn signs available. Kid you not, saw only Romney signs being taken home. Not one single Obama sign. Romney booth busy all day, Obama, not so much.


13 posted on 10/20/2012 2:56:43 PM PDT by prov1813man (While the one you despise and ridicule works to protect you, those you embrace work to destroy you)
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To: LS

It’s hard to say. The real early voting starts Monday with a two-week window for in person absentee balloting, so the people who already voted are real absentee voters.

During the recall election, the unions and the dems pushed hard to drag their voters from every crack and crevice of Milwaukee, Madison, Racine and Kenosha. They had vans constantly pulling into the early voting locations. It was causing a lot of concern among Walker supporters.

Even though I’m in the thick of it, I’m not sure where the race is. My instinct is that Romney will win, but it’s hard to predict what will happen in the northern part of the state. It doesn’t feel like there is much passion on the democratic side, and that may drive the turnout down.

Personally, I find it bizarre that Wisconsin will have re-elected Walker, then send Tammy Baldwin and Barack Obama back to Washington. That’s why I think Romney will squeak out a win, the democrats aren’t out in force like they were during the recall and the energy isn’t there.

It’s too bad Tommy Thompson has run such a lackluster campaign. Tammy Baldwin is one of the most clueless human beings I have ever talked to. She just does not get how the world actually works.


14 posted on 10/20/2012 3:00:29 PM PDT by MediaMole
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To: personalaccts; All

I don’t know how much we can buy polls of ‘early voters’ because it twists things.

Many of the other polls doing that show good news for Obama like in 2010 midterms....and that was way wrong.

Still, nice to see it close and a lead in early voting.....just don’t take it as gospel.


15 posted on 10/20/2012 3:01:56 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: Defiant

Rasmussen’s final Walker recall poll had Walker 50 Barrett 45. Walker won 53-46. The mosy accurate pollster of the recall election was Angus Reid.


16 posted on 10/20/2012 3:02:54 PM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: KansasGirl

The Rats have been busing voters which is bribery by other means. Wonder what the RNC Romney-Ryan ground game is?


17 posted on 10/20/2012 3:08:59 PM PDT by Steelfish (ui)
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To: personalaccts

“Fifty-one percent of voters in Wisconsin approve of the job the president is doing, while 49% disapprove.”

So it seems there is a 51% likelihood that Wisconsin cheese will shrink your brain.


18 posted on 10/20/2012 3:29:49 PM PDT by Gator113 (I would have voted for NEWT, now it's Ryan and the other guy.~Just livin' life, my way~)
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To: personalaccts

If WI or any other swing state goes for Ostinko they’ll be the laughingstock of the nation. The solid blue states already are.


19 posted on 10/20/2012 3:44:22 PM PDT by prairiebreeze (Don't be afraid to see what you see. -- Ronald Reagan)
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To: prairiebreeze
Wisconsin allows early voting, and among those who have already voted, it’s Romney 54%, Obama 43%. Of those who have yet to vote, 90% say they’ve already decided whom they will support. Obama leads 50% to 49% among these voters. Romney is indeed crushing the early voting in WI ... and that was before Obama threw Israel under the bus and gave up to Mahmoud - GO MITT GO!
20 posted on 10/20/2012 3:56:34 PM PDT by Steven W.
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To: Steelfish
Wonder what the RNC Romney-Ryan ground game is?

Reince Preibus was the brains behind the ground game of 2010 when the Great Red Tide swept into Wisconsin. It was further perfected during the recall.

And unlike the recall, the Democrats will not be able to have a national presence here....they had vans and volunteers from practically every state running non stop.

21 posted on 10/20/2012 4:00:43 PM PDT by Mygirlsmom (People on stage at 2nd debate: 1 Romney 2 Eye Candy 3 Lie Candy)
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To: personalaccts
Wisconsin allows early voting, and among those who have already voted, it’s Romney 54%, Obama 43%

I'm guessing that'll be about the way it ends up come Wednesday morning, 07 Nov

22 posted on 10/20/2012 4:04:50 PM PDT by tomkat
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. . nationally, I meant to say, of course !


23 posted on 10/20/2012 4:07:58 PM PDT by tomkat
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To: Catsrus

you answered your own question. think about it.


24 posted on 10/20/2012 4:10:11 PM PDT by kingattax (99 % of liberals give the rest a bad name)
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To: personalaccts

Romney can put several states over the top at the next-last debate. He needs a hammer. He needs to nail this thing.


25 posted on 10/20/2012 4:25:30 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: JIM O

Oh for heavens sakes. They are both lovely women. And that has what to do with a vote??? Hopefully people vote with more substance than that.


26 posted on 10/20/2012 4:43:42 PM PDT by DallasSun (Courage~Fear that has said its prayers.)
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To: Defiant
"I would be surprised if Romney does worse than Walker did in the recall. What did the polls on that election say beforehand?"

This far out?


27 posted on 10/20/2012 4:52:23 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, CO, IA, NV, NH = 291EV)
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To: Defiant
"I would be surprised if Romney does worse than Walker did in the recall. What did the polls on that election say beforehand?"

This far out?


28 posted on 10/20/2012 4:52:40 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, CO, IA, NV, NH = 291EV)
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To: Steelfish

No it isnt. We have been providing transportation since the primaries and will start again Monday and be ready for election day..we dont care for whom they are voting. We just want them to vote. Period.


29 posted on 10/20/2012 5:13:39 PM PDT by DallasSun (Courage~Fear that has said its prayers.)
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To: MediaMole
"During the recall election, the unions and the dems pushed hard to drag their voters from every crack and crevice of Milwaukee, Madison, Racine and Kenosha. They had vans constantly pulling into the early voting locations. It was causing a lot of concern among Walker supporters."

I refer to my May 30 post:

"There is a gynormous sub-text to this Dem primary recall that's going unreported.

Union stooge Kathleen Falk was hilariously submarined by the Milwaukee Mafia. Barrett had already lost to Walker less than two years ago! As Deer Stand points out, Mayor Tom won't even run on the restoration of public union collective bargaining. From a Dem strategery standpoint, there's no way he should have even been in the primary race.

But Barrett disdeigns getting down & dirty (sure there are negative ads -- I'm talking about street fighting) because he fantasizes about running for Feingold's old Senate seat in 2016. So he's giving the unions the finger in an election they created.

In 2011, the number of workers belonging to a union in Wisconsin was 339000. Union yobs have loooong memories, and are well known to vote/not vote to 'punish' candidates and even their own party.

(Keeping rough ratios intact...) When you consider Bush only lost WI in 2004 by 11,384, and Bobo's cadre has already said they're playing off the Kerry map for 2012, if any minute percentage of those union yobs sit on their hands in November, Bobo loses WI -- a must-win state for The One-Term™."


30 posted on 10/20/2012 5:19:54 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, CO, IA, NV, NH = 291EV)
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To: DallasSun

It does matter for whom they vote. The RATS care. We should know that a majority of those we are transporting are Romney voters.


31 posted on 10/20/2012 5:26:39 PM PDT by georgiarat (Obama, providing incompetence since Day One!!)
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To: LS; Hunton Peck; Diana in Wisconsin; P from Sheb; Shady; DonkeyBonker; Wisconsinlady; JPG; ...
Ok, Wisconsin Freepers: is WI a “voting day” state where the Rs do better, or an “early day” state where the Ds usually do better?

Since we don't register by Party, we have no way of knowing, except by self reporting.

Wisconsin poll results (I don't think I believe these)

FReep mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.

32 posted on 10/20/2012 5:26:56 PM PDT by afraidfortherepublic
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To: personalaccts
As ex-Gov. Tommy Thompson quipped about Madison, WI: “Madison is 35 square miles surrounded by reality.”
33 posted on 10/20/2012 6:00:15 PM PDT by MasterGunner01
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To: Steven W.

I’d like to have confidence in WI, especially after their support of Walker this summer. Hopefully the polls always showing Obama on top are due to tremendous oversampling of dimbulbs.


34 posted on 10/20/2012 6:01:42 PM PDT by prairiebreeze (Don't be afraid to see what you see. -- Ronald Reagan)
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To: personalaccts

Rasmussen is a carny barker pushing his service and showing all the races tight so people will subscribe to his service and make him richer.

Can we finally stop presenting Rasmussen as a whiz-bang guru and realize that he’s another hawker selling his product?


35 posted on 10/20/2012 6:32:41 PM PDT by sergeantdave (The FBI has declared war on the Marine Corps)
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To: Defiant

It was supposed to be a very close election and Walker won by seven percentage points or more.


36 posted on 10/20/2012 6:37:17 PM PDT by Mountain Mary (Pray for our Republic...)
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To: afraidfortherepublic

I did my own poll today, and I came up with an entirely different result, BUT, I think my poll is as authentic as any other poll including a pollster that I really admire, Rasmussen Reports..

My method was a bit unorthodox I admit, but I challenge anyone to claim my results aren’t as accurate as the others..

First I asked my Mexican yardman, who he was voting for.. He wasn’t as fluent in English as he was in economics.. However, he told me he HATED Obama, didn’t know much about Romney, but I concluded he can be counted on as a ABO, which was good enough..

Next, I have a neighbor that is from Singapore and he was quite vocal and a bit animated about the Bamister, not very flattering, and had the greatest admiration for Ryan, who he thought was the best of the pair of the RR team.. BTW, he’s an accountant..

I then called my 3 daughters, and they hung up on me, when I asked why they hadn’t called me already this morning.. HA!
Who sleeps past 8am on Saturday??? However, when they called back they confirmed their from my loins, they are all voting for Romney at least twice.. We’re from Chicago.. But I digress..

Finally I called a young lady that I used to see regularly, and was quite fond of.. She is voting for Oblather, so I cancelled our date for tonight.. Smirk.. :)

I concluded that we are going to win, and will carry the minority vote by a slim margin, however, we still have a bit of a problem with the Irish..


37 posted on 10/20/2012 7:09:01 PM PDT by carlo3b (Less Government, more Fiber..)
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To: Still Thinking

I think its the latter.


38 posted on 10/20/2012 7:31:04 PM PDT by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life's tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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To: All

No it’s not the economy it’s the handouts....the average sheeple wake up every morning thinking who’s gonna give me this or give me that “the who owes me attitude”

That kind of belief is rampant in non-Confederate states.


39 posted on 10/20/2012 8:04:19 PM PDT by BrianE ("Dead at 25 buried at 65 the average American" - Benjamin Franklin 1776)
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To: personalaccts

Romney 54%, Obama 43 in early voting. If that holds DU will be fun on Election Night.


40 posted on 10/20/2012 8:04:51 PM PDT by rdl6989 (January 20, 2013 The end of an error.)
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To: Defiant

Agree.....if i recall Mark Belling said the day before the election Walker was approx. +2 give or take.


41 posted on 10/20/2012 8:11:53 PM PDT by BrianE ("Dead at 25 buried at 65 the average American" - Benjamin Franklin 1776)
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To: personalaccts

Rasmussen is good but conservative. When the R’s are up, it is generally a definite win. When the R’s are down a few, it could go either way. When the R’s are down quite a few, its time for another poll:-).


42 posted on 10/20/2012 9:10:28 PM PDT by Revolutionary ("Praise the Lord and Pass the Ammunition!")
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To: Still Thinking; All

There is no way this makes any sense as many have pointed out.

Fewer than one in ten (9 out of 100) will even talk to these pollsters.

If anyone can make a rational argument showing that these non-respondents are more liberal than conservative I would like to hear it. I am pretty sure that they are more likely to be conservatives who hate the media and pollsters.

This means the polls are automatically reflective of the Left more than the Right.


43 posted on 10/20/2012 10:23:39 PM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: carlo3b

LOLOLOL!


44 posted on 10/20/2012 11:57:35 PM PDT by afraidfortherepublic
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To: BrianE
Everyone, if you can, catch Mark Belling on radio station WISN in Milwaukee..stream it from WISN’s website in Milwaukee. He's on at 3pm here in Illinois and this guy is simply ONE OF THE BEST CONSERVATIVE TALK SHOW HOSTS WHO WORKS HARD AT GETTING ROMNEY SUPPORTERS TO GET OUT AND WORK FOR THE VOTE...HE GIVES THEM A RUNDOWN OF POLLING PLACES AND THEIR ADDRESSES IN WISCONSIN WHERE SUPPORT/FINANCIAL HELP IS NEEDED TO WIN THE VOTE. Check him out daily...HE will give you the facts and a play-by-play on what is happening in Wisconsin..he gives your a colorful description of each neighborhood where Romney/Republican candidates need support/financial help to win their races.
45 posted on 10/21/2012 1:59:07 AM PDT by itssme
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To: DallasSun
Michelle Oboma is NOT a “lovely person.” She is the enemy, a socialist/communist/marxist/revolutionary/sharia loving/muslim sympathizer.” There is nothing lovely about her politics, the scowl on her face most of the time, her socialist-style intrusion into what OUR children are eating in OUR schools and instituting polices already in place in our schools to over-ride parental authority of their children. i.e. what their children will eat at school, or her Eva Perone persona where she thinks SHE can criticize others on public television when they mention eating something that “Evita Perone” does not approve of. She did this to a black Olympic contender who was appearing on a TV show, along side of “Michelle Marie Antoinette”. The young lady mentioned that she had to have a McDonald hamburger after her performance at an Olympic event, and the Mooch chastised her in front of millions of viewers for selecting a “no-no food” that Moochelle disapproves of. Ain't nothin’ lovely about the woman in OUR White House who would be queen..if she could. Ann Romney is a class act, and she is well spoken...raised five boys while battling cancer and MS...is also a ardent, positive supporter of Mitt Romney, who, I read, is appreciative of her support AND guidance. Ann Romney is excellent First Lady material and I can't wait to see her and her husband occupy OUR White House.

Class vs crass...and the Mooch loses.

46 posted on 10/21/2012 2:29:00 AM PDT by itssme
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To: itssme

The substance of your post is fine, but to be clear, the Olympian said she had eaten a McDonald’s Egg McMuffin...not even a hamburger. She had eaten a breakfast EMc and for THAT, Michelle Obama criticized her and tried to intimidate her.


47 posted on 10/21/2012 3:24:04 AM PDT by txrangerette ("HOLD TO THE TRUTH...SPEAK WITHOUT FEAR." - Glenn Beck)
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To: txrangerette

You are correct, and thanks for your input. I knew it was a McDonald’s something...my taste for one blinded my memory bank as I typed in the information!


48 posted on 10/21/2012 3:28:56 AM PDT by itssme
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To: itssme

Can you believe it?...an Egg McMuffin for her celebratory victory breakfast - oh the HORROR! To criticize that is even worse than if Michelle had complained about a hamburger. And it was NONE of Mrs. Busybody’s business, period.


49 posted on 10/21/2012 3:55:17 AM PDT by txrangerette ("HOLD TO THE TRUTH...SPEAK WITHOUT FEAR." - Glenn Beck)
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To: personalaccts

A lot of liberal states (WI, NJ, MA, MI, hell even CA) have histories of electing GOP governors, to fix their own in-state mess, but then turning around and voting to inflict a leftist Prez on the rest of the country....’Cuz they feel it wont affect them locally.


50 posted on 10/21/2012 5:19:34 AM PDT by HailReagan78
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