Skip to comments.Election 2012: Wisconsin President Wisconsin: Obama 50%, Romney 48% (look at early voting)
Posted on 10/20/2012 2:32:14 PM PDT by personalaccts
Election 2012: Wisconsin President Wisconsin: Obama 50%, Romney 48% in Politics.Related Articles Daily Presidential Tracking Poll 2012 Electoral College Scoreboard Swing State Tracking: Romney 50%, Obama 46% Florida: Romney 51%, Obama 46% Missouri: Romney 54%, Obama 43% Virginia: Romney 50%, Obama 47% As Romney Gains, Senate Remains Challenging for GOP By Scott Rasmussen
Friday, October 19, 2012
Wisconsin remains a two-point race following Tuesday nights presidential debate.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters finds President Obama with 50% support, while Mitt Romney earns 48% of the vote. One percent (1%) likes another candidate in the race. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
This race remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Obama defeated Republican John McCain 56% to 42% in Wisconsin in 2008.
The president posted a similar 51% to 49% lead in the state earlier this month. In surveys in Wisconsin since October of last year, the president has earned 44% to 52% of the vote, while Romneys support has ranged from 41% to 49%.
Ninety-seven percent (97%) of likely Wisconsin voters say they are certain to vote, and the president leads 50% to 48% among this group.
Wisconsin allows early voting, and among those who have already voted, its Romney 54%, Obama 43%. Of those who have yet to vote, 90% say theyve already decided whom they will support. Obama leads 50% to 49% among these voters.
Both candidates draw more than 90% support from voters in their respective parties in Wisconsin. The president leads by 11 points among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.
Among all voters in the state, Romney has a 50% to 45% advantage when it comes to whom voters trust more to deal with the economy. Voters are almost evenly divided over whom they trust more to handle national security matters: 47% say Obama, 46% Romney. Among voters nationally, Romney is trusted more by seven points on the economy, while the two candidates run nearly even when it comes to national security.
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This Wisconsin survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Thirteen percent (13%) of Wisconsin voters give the U.S. economy good marks, while 44% rate it as poor. Forty-two percent (42%) say the economy is getting better, but 36% think its getting worse.
In reacting to the nations current economic problems, 39% worry that the federal government will do too much, but slightly more (43%) fear the government will not do enough. Nationally, voters are more evenly divided. Sixty-nine percent (69%) think the government should cut spending to help the economy, while just 16% feel more spending is called for. Thats in line with voter attitudes nationwide.
Fifty-six percent (56%) of Wisconsin voters correctly understand that the United States spends more on the military and national security than any other nation in the world. Eleven percent (11%) dont think thats true, but 33% arent sure.
Thirty-five percent (35%) say the government spends too much on the military and national security, while 22% think there isnt enough defense spending. Thirty-seven percent (37%) say the level of spending in this area is about right. This is a more negative assessment of military and national security spending than is found nationally.
Fifty-one percent of voters in Wisconsin approve of the job the president is doing, while 49% disapprove. This includes 35% who Strongly Approve and 42% who Strongly Disapprove, giving the president a slightly better job approval rating than he earns nationally.
Romney is viewed favorably by 49% and unfavorably by 50%. This includes 34% who have a Very Favorable opinion of him and 34% with a Very Unfavorable one.
In addition to Wisconsin, Colorado, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia are Toss-Ups. Obama is ahead in Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Mexico, Pennsylvania and Washington. Romney leads in Arizona, Indiana, Missouri and North Dakota.
Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.
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Ok, Wisconsin Freepers: is WI a “voting day” state where the Rs do better, or an “early day” state where the Ds usually do better?
I guess I don’t understand how voters say they trust Romney more with the economy and yet these polls show Obama in the lead? Its a well-known fact that the economy is always the driving force behind presidential elections.
I’m in Marshfield, WI and find it very hard to find anyone who admits to supporting The One. Can’t answer your question though since I voted absentee in my home state of Tennessee. I think were it not for Madison the Commurats would only garner about 68 votes statewide.
I find it disgusting, really, that anyone would vote for four more years of this moron.
When I was a kid, I was a Democrat...but there is not any way in hell I would ever go back to that party of reprobates.
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Wisconsin allows early voting, and among those who have already voted, its Romney 54%, Obama 43%. Of those who have yet to vote, 90% say theyve already decided whom they will support. Obama leads 50% to 49% among these voters.****
I don’t see how 0 can be up 50 to 48 with the above numbers. I guess the undecideds have to go heavily to 0.
WTH? How is the First Nitwit even still competitive, even in WI? They just reaffirmed Walker over the commie competition, and yet they’re still considering The Won? Or is it just routine polling chicanery?
I would be surprised if Romney does worse than Walker did in the recall. What did the polls on that election say beforehand?
I don’t understand that either.
Had a street fair in our small west coast Florida town today. Both parties had booths and lawn signs available. Kid you not, saw only Romney signs being taken home. Not one single Obama sign. Romney booth busy all day, Obama, not so much.
It’s hard to say. The real early voting starts Monday with a two-week window for in person absentee balloting, so the people who already voted are real absentee voters.
During the recall election, the unions and the dems pushed hard to drag their voters from every crack and crevice of Milwaukee, Madison, Racine and Kenosha. They had vans constantly pulling into the early voting locations. It was causing a lot of concern among Walker supporters.
Even though I’m in the thick of it, I’m not sure where the race is. My instinct is that Romney will win, but it’s hard to predict what will happen in the northern part of the state. It doesn’t feel like there is much passion on the democratic side, and that may drive the turnout down.
Personally, I find it bizarre that Wisconsin will have re-elected Walker, then send Tammy Baldwin and Barack Obama back to Washington. That’s why I think Romney will squeak out a win, the democrats aren’t out in force like they were during the recall and the energy isn’t there.
It’s too bad Tommy Thompson has run such a lackluster campaign. Tammy Baldwin is one of the most clueless human beings I have ever talked to. She just does not get how the world actually works.
I don’t know how much we can buy polls of ‘early voters’ because it twists things.
Many of the other polls doing that show good news for Obama like in 2010 midterms....and that was way wrong.
Still, nice to see it close and a lead in early voting.....just don’t take it as gospel.
Rasmussen’s final Walker recall poll had Walker 50 Barrett 45. Walker won 53-46. The mosy accurate pollster of the recall election was Angus Reid.
The Rats have been busing voters which is bribery by other means. Wonder what the RNC Romney-Ryan ground game is?
“Fifty-one percent of voters in Wisconsin approve of the job the president is doing, while 49% disapprove.”
So it seems there is a 51% likelihood that Wisconsin cheese will shrink your brain.
If WI or any other swing state goes for Ostinko they’ll be the laughingstock of the nation. The solid blue states already are.
Reince Preibus was the brains behind the ground game of 2010 when the Great Red Tide swept into Wisconsin. It was further perfected during the recall.
And unlike the recall, the Democrats will not be able to have a national presence here....they had vans and volunteers from practically every state running non stop.
I'm guessing that'll be about the way it ends up come Wednesday morning, 07 Nov
. . nationally, I meant to say, of course !
you answered your own question. think about it.
Romney can put several states over the top at the next-last debate. He needs a hammer. He needs to nail this thing.
Oh for heavens sakes. They are both lovely women. And that has what to do with a vote??? Hopefully people vote with more substance than that.
This far out?
This far out?
No it isnt. We have been providing transportation since the primaries and will start again Monday and be ready for election day..we dont care for whom they are voting. We just want them to vote. Period.
I refer to my May 30 post:
"There is a gynormous sub-text to this Dem primary recall that's going unreported.
Union stooge Kathleen Falk was hilariously submarined by the Milwaukee Mafia. Barrett had already lost to Walker less than two years ago! As Deer Stand points out, Mayor Tom won't even run on the restoration of public union collective bargaining. From a Dem strategery standpoint, there's no way he should have even been in the primary race.
But Barrett disdeigns getting down & dirty (sure there are negative ads -- I'm talking about street fighting) because he fantasizes about running for Feingold's old Senate seat in 2016. So he's giving the unions the finger in an election they created.
In 2011, the number of workers belonging to a union in Wisconsin was 339000. Union yobs have loooong memories, and are well known to vote/not vote to 'punish' candidates and even their own party.
(Keeping rough ratios intact...) When you consider Bush only lost WI in 2004 by 11,384, and Bobo's cadre has already said they're playing off the Kerry map for 2012, if any minute percentage of those union yobs sit on their hands in November, Bobo loses WI -- a must-win state for The One-Term."
It does matter for whom they vote. The RATS care. We should know that a majority of those we are transporting are Romney voters.
Since we don't register by Party, we have no way of knowing, except by self reporting.
Wisconsin poll results (I don't think I believe these)
FReep mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.
I’d like to have confidence in WI, especially after their support of Walker this summer. Hopefully the polls always showing Obama on top are due to tremendous oversampling of dimbulbs.
Rasmussen is a carny barker pushing his service and showing all the races tight so people will subscribe to his service and make him richer.
Can we finally stop presenting Rasmussen as a whiz-bang guru and realize that he’s another hawker selling his product?
It was supposed to be a very close election and Walker won by seven percentage points or more.
I did my own poll today, and I came up with an entirely different result, BUT, I think my poll is as authentic as any other poll including a pollster that I really admire, Rasmussen Reports..
My method was a bit unorthodox I admit, but I challenge anyone to claim my results aren’t as accurate as the others..
First I asked my Mexican yardman, who he was voting for.. He wasn’t as fluent in English as he was in economics.. However, he told me he HATED Obama, didn’t know much about Romney, but I concluded he can be counted on as a ABO, which was good enough..
Next, I have a neighbor that is from Singapore and he was quite vocal and a bit animated about the Bamister, not very flattering, and had the greatest admiration for Ryan, who he thought was the best of the pair of the RR team.. BTW, he’s an accountant..
I then called my 3 daughters, and they hung up on me, when I asked why they hadn’t called me already this morning.. HA!
Who sleeps past 8am on Saturday??? However, when they called back they confirmed their from my loins, they are all voting for Romney at least twice.. We’re from Chicago.. But I digress..
Finally I called a young lady that I used to see regularly, and was quite fond of.. She is voting for Oblather, so I cancelled our date for tonight.. Smirk.. :)
I concluded that we are going to win, and will carry the minority vote by a slim margin, however, we still have a bit of a problem with the Irish..
I think its the latter.
No it’s not the economy it’s the handouts....the average sheeple wake up every morning thinking who’s gonna give me this or give me that “the who owes me attitude”
That kind of belief is rampant in non-Confederate states.
Romney 54%, Obama 43 in early voting. If that holds DU will be fun on Election Night.
Agree.....if i recall Mark Belling said the day before the election Walker was approx. +2 give or take.
Rasmussen is good but conservative. When the R’s are up, it is generally a definite win. When the R’s are down a few, it could go either way. When the R’s are down quite a few, its time for another poll:-).
There is no way this makes any sense as many have pointed out.
Fewer than one in ten (9 out of 100) will even talk to these pollsters.
If anyone can make a rational argument showing that these non-respondents are more liberal than conservative I would like to hear it. I am pretty sure that they are more likely to be conservatives who hate the media and pollsters.
This means the polls are automatically reflective of the Left more than the Right.
Class vs crass...and the Mooch loses.
The substance of your post is fine, but to be clear, the Olympian said she had eaten a McDonald’s Egg McMuffin...not even a hamburger. She had eaten a breakfast EMc and for THAT, Michelle Obama criticized her and tried to intimidate her.
You are correct, and thanks for your input. I knew it was a McDonald’s something...my taste for one blinded my memory bank as I typed in the information!
Can you believe it?...an Egg McMuffin for her celebratory victory breakfast - oh the HORROR! To criticize that is even worse than if Michelle had complained about a hamburger. And it was NONE of Mrs. Busybody’s business, period.
A lot of liberal states (WI, NJ, MA, MI, hell even CA) have histories of electing GOP governors, to fix their own in-state mess, but then turning around and voting to inflict a leftist Prez on the rest of the country....’Cuz they feel it wont affect them locally.