I’d like a visual on that!
Posted on 10/21/2012 10:03:52 AM PDT by tatown
Romney-52 Obama-45
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
I agree... Scott has mentioned the steadiness of his poll several times, especially when Chuck Todd called his poll “slop.”
His poll has really been steady as you go (Obama at 46-48A 49-51D - and the race split). We liked the steadiness when Romney was down in the other polls. Now we hate the steadiness when Romney is surging elsewhere. It’s ironic.
With that said, he needs to move that sample a bit to reflect his part id survey (right now at R+2.6).
I think Romney gets every state now classified as “too close to call,” and will surprise with at least a couple of states now “leaning Obama.”
The popular vote will be a blow-out, with a very large Electoral College advantage, but not as large as would typically be seen with such a large popular vote advantage. There’s no accounting for the idiocy of (the majority of) Californians, New Yorkers, Marylanders, et al.
>>Back up by 7!<<
Well beyond the margin of error.
Don’t let up! Don’t let the MSM steal this win!
Very dangerous for people on our side to make others on our side think that something's coming that never does. Those others may have had something else they were investigating or looking into but quit thinking that the so called "about to be announced" bomb shells had to do with what they were looking into when it may not have had anything to do with it.
“Wow! Did not expect that. I expected to see 50-46 today as Gallup succumbed to pressure
Gallup even has Romney up in Registered voters
Someone .. somewhere... is getting spanked...”
I see this as just the opposite. I think this is the revenge of Gallup. I think they are real PO’d with what Axelrod and his justice dept goons have done with their phony lawsuit against Gallup, and Gallup also realizes that the best way to have this lawsuit go nowhere is to have Romney and the Pubs in office, not the bully Obama Admin who will proceed with the lawsuit to punish Gallup for having the temerity to try to do their job honestly. At this point in time, two weeks before the election, it is Gallup that has the power, not Obama and his minions.
All Gallup has to do is be exceedingly honest in their polling, weight it properly without the typical extra stone on the Obama side of the scale, and Obama becomes toast. Voila, this very influential poll gives great hope and inspiration to the Pubs, helps to show Independents that they will be on the winning side voting for Romney, and depresses the heck out of the Dems. Gallup strikes back by posting truthful polls, not Dem influenced lies. Hah, payback is the pits, Dems, isn’t it?
Bob Beckel said on Fox the other night if these numbers are accurate “it’s over”.
Yes, I think we will see Romney break 50 in the RAS poll this week. All the national polls tell us at this point, is the general direction of the election.
I think we have seen a very fundamental shift in the election the last 2 weeks. Not a bounce. This is significant and sustained. Regardless of the poll or the actual numbers, every single one has shown a significant move to R&R. And this includes the KOS/PPP and other lefty polls.
You can tell even more by watching the campaigns. Where are they focusing, spending time and money?
Even the MSM is starting to print stories about the very real possibility of a Romney win. It’s started as a small trickle the last few days, but you are seeing it more each day. What will Romney’s priorities, who will be in his cabinet.
R&R has the look of a winning campaign. Just like O/B had it in 2008.
If there is not a fundamental shift 2-3 days after the final debate, you will see an even more massive shift to get on the winning team.
Tomorrow’s debate goes against Monday night football. Only political junkies and a few fence sitters will bother to tune in. Not likely to be a game changer
Brought to you by the letter “O” and the number 16 trillion.
There have been complaints that Obama has been accepting donations via prepaid check cards that cannot be traced, many donations coming from outside the country. Also the donations can be multiple, allowing donors to remain anonymous and exceed that donation limits.
This is the same thing that Obama was criticized for in the 2008 campaign.
There are a lot of Obama scandals actively out there. And we will see many more after he is out of office. But I think Romney is running a strategic and planned campaign. I don’t think he wants to get off track on too many side details. It is closing argument time anyway. And for that, you want it to be a positive vision for the future. At least for R&R, I think the time has passed to trash Obama.
Can somebody in laymen’s terms explain what this Axelrod/Holder/DOJ lawsuit against Gallup is all about? Apparently they are suing Gallup because they are unhappy with Gallup’s methodology? Can somebody explain how they can get away with this?
Actually, Obama’s approval is only at 50.1 percent in California, according to Gallup. So, he won’t be getting blow out numbers there. Even in New York, Obama’s approval is only 54.7 percent.
We should watch New Jersey, where Obama’s approval is 50.8 percent, and Delaware, where it’s 50.9. Even in Illinois Obama’s approval is only 50.4 That’s a razor thin majority in approval in all these presumably “safe” Democratic states — and Dems are less passionate about voting.
Others to watch: Minnesota (O approval at 47.7), Michigan (48.1) Oregon (44.5), Washington (47.6) New Mexico (41.7), Maine (47.2). If there is a blowout, I don’t see how Obama can win these states.
Whew! Thanks for the correction.
Interesting that Romney is starting to lead even on the weekend polls. We are coming to the point that except in states where the vote is going to be close, voter fraud cannot make up the difference.
If Romney really had a 7 point lead, then he would be blowing out Obama in all the state polls. The actual 2008 election had a 7 point spread, and Obama won 365 - 173 electoral votes.
This is definitely good news for Romney, but if this poll is true, then every recent nationwide and state poll is way, way off.
I am becoming more confident of an epic landslide. I believe now that Romney will win by anough of a margin that both depresses attempts at voter fraud and prevents the Left from claiming 'voter suppression' ort other nonsense as the reason for Obama's loss. You are right that CA, NY, MD, MA, CT, IL, HI, and probably MN and WA are definite wins for Obama. I believe that MI, OR and even NJ are potential surprises on election night. Romney will capture at least 300 electoral votes, but as many as 340 are quite possible.
Ras adjust his sample results to a Rat +4 or 5 turnout model. Gallup does not. Gallup does a large sample (much larger than the other polls sample) of likely voters. The poll result determines party id breakdown.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.