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American Research Group, Inc.-New Hampshire R-49 O-47
Posted on 10/23/2012 8:28:12 AM PDT by Perdogg
Interview dates: October 19-22, 2012
Sample size: 600 likely voters
Margin of error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time
Question wording and responses:
If the general election were being held today between Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, and Mitt Romney for president and Paul Ryan for vice president, the Republicans, for whom would you vote - Obama and Biden or Romney and Ryan (names rotated), or someone else?
TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; nh2012
I+1 (29/35/36); It is an okay sample. Oversamples Rs undersamples Is. In 2008 it was also D +2 (Dem 29, Rep 27, Ind 45) and in 2004 it was R+7 (Dem 25, Rep 32, Ind 44).
GOP/Dem crossover breakdown is about the same as 2008. Obama is underperfoming with Is by 20%
posted on 10/23/2012 8:28:13 AM PDT
I called this moths ago - Glove WILL win NH.
posted on 10/23/2012 8:30:14 AM PDT
(The Glove don't fit, but it's better than a burqa.)
RCP moved NH back to Obama on the no toss up map - solely on a U of NH poll showing O up by 9. Unreal. I think R will end up winning every state that he is 3 pts or closer to O, including NH.
I'm not an ARRRRGGG! fan. Their polling seems chintzy.
I think Romney is a good bet to win the state though.
NH is an R+4 or so state. The UNH poll had D+7. Which is a joke. There are more registered Repubs than Dems. And more turnout to vote.
posted on 10/23/2012 8:51:14 AM PDT
(Single Issue Voter: Obama Must Go!)
I am assuming the GOTV is still going well.
posted on 10/23/2012 8:58:27 AM PDT
(Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
I think ME will go R and I think CT will too...
posted on 10/23/2012 9:58:55 AM PDT
(Yes, Obama, I had help with my business. MY CUSTOMERS!)
It would need to be a big landslide for CT to go R wouldn’t it?
posted on 10/23/2012 10:52:36 AM PDT
Who are all these odd name research groups that all come out every 4 years?
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posted on 10/23/2012 6:36:57 PM PDT
Recent poll had him up in ME-02 as well.
posted on 10/23/2012 11:33:53 PM PDT
(Don't call me red.)
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