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Gallup Tracking Poll: R51/O46
Gallup ^ | 10/23 | Gallup

Posted on 10/23/2012 10:35:08 AM PDT by tatown

Romney-51/Obama-46

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; gallup; poll

1 posted on 10/23/2012 10:35:09 AM PDT by tatown
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To: LS; Perdogg; SoftwareEngineer; nhwingut; HamiltonJay

Steady, steady, steady....


2 posted on 10/23/2012 10:37:15 AM PDT by tatown (Obama was right, it was a 'one term proposition')
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To: tatown

The beat goes on. My question: has Gallup been doing this with the intention of deflating Romney’s numbers over the next week to make it appear that his campaign is slipping? I don’t trust any of these companies. They are all susceptible to influence by ideologues in their organization or the temptation of federal government contracts.


3 posted on 10/23/2012 10:38:13 AM PDT by littleharbour
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To: tatown

I can’t wait for big O to drop into the 30’s. From the looks of it - he’ll be there soon!


4 posted on 10/23/2012 10:38:13 AM PDT by demkicker (My passion for freedom is stronger than that of Democrats whose obsession is to enslave me.)
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To: tatown

Now it looks like Ras as well.


5 posted on 10/23/2012 10:38:47 AM PDT by wiseprince
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To: tatown

Obama ticking up a point is not surprising. Gallup is currently rolling off the days from 10/14,15 and 16. From looking over their rolling average these were days that Romney was polling 54’s and Obama polled 42’s, 43’s and 44’s. Essentially from my estimates Obama only had to poll a 45 yesterday to tick up to 46 in the average because as you might remember Gallup had said that like the 17th and 18th were strong days from Obama which I estimated to be 47’s and 48’s.


6 posted on 10/23/2012 10:40:52 AM PDT by MarkFLA77
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To: tatown
I love Drudge's Headline!

Needs A Miracle

7 posted on 10/23/2012 10:41:03 AM PDT by Obadiah (The corrupt MSM is the enemy of the American people.)
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To: tatown

No slacking, no matter the tracking. No one can vote for you, so show up.


8 posted on 10/23/2012 10:44:01 AM PDT by txrefugee
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To: Obadiah

Back to photo ops with babies...

Zero has fallen down and can’t get up!!!


9 posted on 10/23/2012 10:45:40 AM PDT by Hotlanta Mike (Resurrect the House Committee on Un-American Activities (HUAC)...before there is no America!)
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To: tatown

O picked up one point but that’s okay. I think the Gallup dude was on TV a day or two before the debate saying O had a good day that would show soon in his poll. If this is it..then all is good.

MR still above 50%!!!


10 posted on 10/23/2012 10:45:54 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: snarkytart

GOTV. We need those 51% to show the heck up. I think they will.


11 posted on 10/23/2012 10:48:14 AM PDT by rlbedfor
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To: tatown

Being a tad over 50% in all of the contested states would be much more reassuring.


12 posted on 10/23/2012 10:55:43 AM PDT by Paladin2
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To: tatown

Gallup and Rasmussen seem to be coming together in Romneys favor. Hehehehehe. The msm can no longer say Gallup is an outlier poll. Bwahahahahahaha.


13 posted on 10/23/2012 10:59:41 AM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: Parley Baer

Obama is highly unlikely to break 47% in the next two weeks. That is his ceiling.

The MSM is deeply disappointed!


14 posted on 10/23/2012 11:04:57 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Paladin2
Being a tad over 50% in all of the contested states would be much more reassuring.

We're getting there. Plus, there is this, from Rick Wilson (well connected in GOP campaign circles):

@TheRickWilson Someone is polling Oregon. I hear things.

I figured that a strong trend toward Romney would start showing up in the second-tier swing states, and that Oregon would be the closest of that group. If it is true that the campaign battlefield is starting to expand, then Romney is gaining momentum rapidly.

15 posted on 10/23/2012 11:04:59 AM PDT by TonyInOhio (Defend Freedom / Defeat Obama)
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To: tatown

A sitting president who cannot break 46%, with 2 weeks before the election, is not in an enviable position.


16 posted on 10/23/2012 11:06:33 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: goldstategop
Obama is highly unlikely to break 47% in the next two weeks. That is his ceiling.

Did someone say 47 percent?

/snicker.

:D

17 posted on 10/23/2012 11:06:54 AM PDT by NeoCaveman ("If I had a son he'd look like B.O.'s lunch" - Rin Tin Tin)
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To: Parley Baer

And as Bob Beckel said just last week about the Gallup numbers, “if they are real...it’s over.”


18 posted on 10/23/2012 11:07:14 AM PDT by RoosterRedux (Obama: "If you've got a business -- you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen.")
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To: littleharbour

“My question: has Gallup been doing this with the intention of deflating Romney’s numbers over the next week to make it appear that his campaign is slipping? “

They are a polling outfit, not Dr. No. If they had some diabolical plan to just f*ck with people, they would have done it easily by just having Romney @ 34% and keeping him there.


19 posted on 10/23/2012 11:07:48 AM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: tatown

Their petulant two year old is gonna take this one on the chin.


20 posted on 10/23/2012 11:09:20 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: tatown

What does Gallup have, a D+7 sample?


21 posted on 10/23/2012 11:15:33 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: littleharbour
They are all susceptible to influence by ideologues in their organization or the temptation of federal government contracts.

Well if you are concerned about Federal contracts, and your own polling is showing Romney likely to win, wouldn't you gravitate towards the strong horse?


22 posted on 10/23/2012 11:20:02 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: SoFloFreeper

Gallup doesn’t weight their samples. They use a Likely Voter screen.


23 posted on 10/23/2012 11:52:12 AM PDT by TomEwall
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To: SoFloFreeper
What does Gallup have, a D+7 sample?

Gallup says they don't weight by party affiliation at all.

24 posted on 10/23/2012 12:02:55 PM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: tatown

I’ll worry less when hussein is trailing by 10 points.


25 posted on 10/23/2012 12:04:52 PM PDT by bgill (Evil doers are in every corner of our government. Have we passed the time of no return?)
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I voted Romney/Ryan last night (every county in Washington State is “vote by mail”), and while I’m glad to see Gallup and Rasmussen polling Romney at 50% plus, I’m still very nervous (Allred, Chicago machine, etc).

14 days.


26 posted on 10/23/2012 12:31:21 PM PDT by Kinger87
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Rasmussen R/50, O/46 Pretty consistent


27 posted on 10/23/2012 12:32:16 PM PDT by mgist
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To: tatown

Ras 50-46. Gallup 51-46.

Now PPP polling comes to earth.

Mitt 49-47 with a +6D sample

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/102010211022TrackingPoll.pdf


28 posted on 10/23/2012 1:01:55 PM PDT by commonguymd (The enemy within is our MSM. War starts there imo. twitter @commonguymd)
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To: tatown; littleharbour

I am worried that MSM pollsters will tank for Obama.. Gallup was steady at 6 and 7 for a number of days, now at 5, and this is before debate.

What has happened prior to debate, if tomorrow it`s back up to 6 or 7 OK, but could be the pressure getting to Gallup, they have been attacked from Chris Wallace to Larry Sabato to Obama, to you name it.


29 posted on 10/23/2012 1:45:35 PM PDT by Friendofgeorge (SARAH PALIN 2012 OR BUST)
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To: tatown

Gallup 51-46. Ras 50-46. PPP 49-47. Now ABC 49-48.

What do they have in common? Romney leading all. PPP poll is a plus 6D sampling.


30 posted on 10/23/2012 2:10:14 PM PDT by commonguymd (The enemy within is our MSM. War starts there imo. twitter @commonguymd)
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To: demkicker
So many of you are deluded. Romney blew it last night and its yet to be seen in the polls. Obama has the momentum. Polite doesn’t sell.
31 posted on 10/23/2012 10:06:31 PM PDT by Sam Gamgee (May God have mercy upon my enemies, because I won't. - Patton)
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To: Sam Gamgee

Sure. BOOKMARK!


32 posted on 10/24/2012 3:29:11 AM PDT by snarkytart
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