Skip to comments.Gallup Tracking Poll: R51/O46
Posted on 10/23/2012 10:35:08 AM PDT by tatown
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
Steady, steady, steady....
The beat goes on. My question: has Gallup been doing this with the intention of deflating Romney’s numbers over the next week to make it appear that his campaign is slipping? I don’t trust any of these companies. They are all susceptible to influence by ideologues in their organization or the temptation of federal government contracts.
I can’t wait for big O to drop into the 30’s. From the looks of it - he’ll be there soon!
Now it looks like Ras as well.
Obama ticking up a point is not surprising. Gallup is currently rolling off the days from 10/14,15 and 16. From looking over their rolling average these were days that Romney was polling 54’s and Obama polled 42’s, 43’s and 44’s. Essentially from my estimates Obama only had to poll a 45 yesterday to tick up to 46 in the average because as you might remember Gallup had said that like the 17th and 18th were strong days from Obama which I estimated to be 47’s and 48’s.
Needs A Miracle
No slacking, no matter the tracking. No one can vote for you, so show up.
Back to photo ops with babies...
Zero has fallen down and can’t get up!!!
O picked up one point but that’s okay. I think the Gallup dude was on TV a day or two before the debate saying O had a good day that would show soon in his poll. If this is it..then all is good.
MR still above 50%!!!
GOTV. We need those 51% to show the heck up. I think they will.
Being a tad over 50% in all of the contested states would be much more reassuring.
Gallup and Rasmussen seem to be coming together in Romneys favor. Hehehehehe. The msm can no longer say Gallup is an outlier poll. Bwahahahahahaha.
Obama is highly unlikely to break 47% in the next two weeks. That is his ceiling.
The MSM is deeply disappointed!
We're getting there. Plus, there is this, from Rick Wilson (well connected in GOP campaign circles):
@TheRickWilson Someone is polling Oregon. I hear things.
I figured that a strong trend toward Romney would start showing up in the second-tier swing states, and that Oregon would be the closest of that group. If it is true that the campaign battlefield is starting to expand, then Romney is gaining momentum rapidly.
A sitting president who cannot break 46%, with 2 weeks before the election, is not in an enviable position.
Did someone say 47 percent?
And as Bob Beckel said just last week about the Gallup numbers, “if they are real...it’s over.”
“My question: has Gallup been doing this with the intention of deflating Romneys numbers over the next week to make it appear that his campaign is slipping? “
They are a polling outfit, not Dr. No. If they had some diabolical plan to just f*ck with people, they would have done it easily by just having Romney @ 34% and keeping him there.
Their petulant two year old is gonna take this one on the chin.
What does Gallup have, a D+7 sample?
Gallup doesn’t weight their samples. They use a Likely Voter screen.
Gallup says they don't weight by party affiliation at all.
I’ll worry less when hussein is trailing by 10 points.
I voted Romney/Ryan last night (every county in Washington State is “vote by mail”), and while I’m glad to see Gallup and Rasmussen polling Romney at 50% plus, I’m still very nervous (Allred, Chicago machine, etc).
Rasmussen R/50, O/46 Pretty consistent
Ras 50-46. Gallup 51-46.
Now PPP polling comes to earth.
Mitt 49-47 with a +6D sample
I am worried that MSM pollsters will tank for Obama.. Gallup was steady at 6 and 7 for a number of days, now at 5, and this is before debate.
What has happened prior to debate, if tomorrow it`s back up to 6 or 7 OK, but could be the pressure getting to Gallup, they have been attacked from Chris Wallace to Larry Sabato to Obama, to you name it.
Gallup 51-46. Ras 50-46. PPP 49-47. Now ABC 49-48.
What do they have in common? Romney leading all. PPP poll is a plus 6D sampling.