Skip to comments.New ARG Poll in Nevada shows Obama 49%, Romney 47% (last ARG Nevada poll showed Obama +7)
Posted on 10/23/2012 11:24:01 AM PDT by Arec Barrwin
Interview dates: October 19-22, 2012
Sample size: 600 likely voters
Margin of error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time
Question wording and responses:
If the general election were being held today between Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, and Mitt Romney for president and Paul Ryan for vice president, the Republicans, for whom would you vote - Obama and Biden or Romney and Ryan (names rotated), or someone else?
Obama Romney Other Undecided Likely voters 49% 47% 1% 3% Democrats (43%) 88% 8% - 4% Republicans (37%) 4% 94% - 2% Independents (20%) 50% 44% 3% 3% Men (49%) 48% 49% 1% 2% Women (51%) 51% 45% - 4% 18 to 49 (57%) 51% 46% 1% 2% 50 and older (43%) 47% 48% - 5% White (70%) 42% 54% 1% 3% African American (9%) 95% 3% - 2% Early/absentee (9%) 57% 43% - - Election day (91%) 49% 47% 1% 3% Sep 20-23 51% 44% 1% 4%
REMEMBER...Harry Reid was down by three points going into the 2010 election, but somehow, MAGICALLY won by about 5!!! NO lead is safe from the Democrat Party.
What happens in Vegas, stays in Vegas...........
Any State that believes this lying communists black Muslim is a State that is really not part of America. Ass hats in Nevada will probably never wake up and will just ride along in their stupidity using others to save their ass.
If Romney is really over 50% then he has to be winning some of the battleground states. All of these polls come out as close Obama wins contrary to the national number. Something is a mist
If I am reading the internals correctly here they are.
I don’t know how this compares to 2008 or the 2010 elections.
“a mist” ?
IA, CO, NV and NH wins the elction for Romney even without OH
Then Obama is actually losing Nevada.
Those internals are absurd.
Though I usually scoff at “secret voters,” I do think Nevada and Colorado support for Mitt is underpolling a tad because of new Mormon voters likely to come out.
I think Colorado is already Romney, and Nevada will also go Romney. Though without one of either WI or OH, it’s moot.
Here is the Nevada 2012 party affiliation breakdown:
Romney’s strategy last night strongly indicates his internal polling shows he’s up in swing states like NV. He behaved like a basketball team up 14 points with 3 minutes to play in the 4th quarter.
NRA trying to redeem itself? This is one of the best states for them to spend a few bucks to support the good guys.
Off topic but just wanted to know if Toledo Ohio was a Democrat stronghold. CNN just gave early voting stats and it is VERY much in favor of the Democrats, by many thousands.
Interesting the national ARG poll that showed Romney up by 2% somehow didn’t make it into the RCP mix, yet they couldn’t wait to show the IBD-TIPP poll that showed Obama ahead by 4.
It would be the Ass Hats in Las Vegas, Northern Nevada wants no part of either Bath House Barry or Dingy Harry.
FYI..today, MSNBC’s Chuck Todd just moved Nevada from toss-up into the “leans Obama” group..
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