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New ARG Poll in Nevada shows Obama 49%, Romney 47% (last ARG Nevada poll showed Obama +7)
American Research Group ^ | October 23, 2012 | American Research Group

Posted on 10/23/2012 11:24:01 AM PDT by Arec Barrwin

Nevada

Interview dates: October 19-22, 2012

Sample size: 600 likely voters

Margin of error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time

Question wording and responses:

If the general election were being held today between Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, and Mitt Romney for president and Paul Ryan for vice president, the Republicans, for whom would you vote - Obama and Biden or Romney and Ryan (names rotated), or someone else?

Nevada

Obama Romney Other Undecided Likely voters 49% 47% 1% 3% Democrats (43%) 88% 8% - 4% Republicans (37%) 4% 94% - 2% Independents (20%) 50% 44% 3% 3% Men (49%) 48% 49% 1% 2% Women (51%) 51% 45% - 4% 18 to 49 (57%) 51% 46% 1% 2% 50 and older (43%) 47% 48% - 5% White (70%) 42% 54% 1% 3% African American (9%) 95% 3% - 2% Early/absentee (9%) 57% 43% - - Election day (91%) 49% 47% 1% 3% Sep 20-23 51% 44% 1% 4%


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: Nevada
KEYWORDS: nevada; obama; poll; romney
More #Mittmentum in Nevada
1 posted on 10/23/2012 11:24:02 AM PDT by Arec Barrwin
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To: Arec Barrwin

REMEMBER...Harry Reid was down by three points going into the 2010 election, but somehow, MAGICALLY won by about 5!!! NO lead is safe from the Democrat Party.


2 posted on 10/23/2012 11:28:55 AM PDT by Oldpuppymax
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To: Arec Barrwin

What happens in Vegas, stays in Vegas...........


3 posted on 10/23/2012 11:31:18 AM PDT by Red Badger (Why yes, that was crude and uncalled for......That's why I said it..............)
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To: Arec Barrwin

Any State that believes this lying communists black Muslim is a State that is really not part of America. Ass hats in Nevada will probably never wake up and will just ride along in their stupidity using others to save their ass.


4 posted on 10/23/2012 11:37:42 AM PDT by Logical me
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To: Arec Barrwin

If Romney is really over 50% then he has to be winning some of the battleground states. All of these polls come out as close Obama wins contrary to the national number. Something is a mist


5 posted on 10/23/2012 11:39:48 AM PDT by wiseprince
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To: Arec Barrwin
I hate to believe that the voters in Nevada are actually that brain-dead a pile of defective mouth-breathers, but then again, they do have Harry Reid for a Senator...

;-\

6 posted on 10/23/2012 11:42:19 AM PDT by Gargantua ("Barbie O'Bunga ~ America's First Fly-Strewn, Maggot-Gagging Fag President")
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To: Arec Barrwin

If I am reading the internals correctly here they are.

D43%
R37%
I20%

I don’t know how this compares to 2008 or the 2010 elections.


7 posted on 10/23/2012 11:43:19 AM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: wiseprince

“a mist” ?


8 posted on 10/23/2012 11:48:11 AM PDT by dinoparty
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To: Arec Barrwin

IA, CO, NV and NH wins the elction for Romney even without OH


9 posted on 10/23/2012 11:50:03 AM PDT by dinoparty
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To: Parley Baer
If those are the percentages used . . .

Then Obama is actually losing Nevada.

Wow.

10 posted on 10/23/2012 11:51:20 AM PDT by builder (I don't want a piece of someone else's pie)
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To: dinoparty

amiss


11 posted on 10/23/2012 12:00:08 PM PDT by wiseprince
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To: Parley Baer

Those internals are absurd.

Though I usually scoff at “secret voters,” I do think Nevada and Colorado support for Mitt is underpolling a tad because of new Mormon voters likely to come out.

I think Colorado is already Romney, and Nevada will also go Romney. Though without one of either WI or OH, it’s moot.


12 posted on 10/23/2012 12:08:16 PM PDT by TitansAFC (Nice job, Rick Santorum. Mission Accomplished! Grrrrrrrrrr.......................)
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To: Parley Baer
If I am reading the internals correctly here they are.
D43%
R37%
I20%

I don’t know how this compares to 2008 or the 2010 elections.

Here is the Nevada 2012 party affiliation breakdown:

D 40.90%

R 37.24%

I/Other 21.86%

June 1st - http://www.examiner.com/article/nevada-early-voting-numbers-and-party-breakdown-week-1

13 posted on 10/23/2012 12:09:41 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Arec Barrwin

Romney’s strategy last night strongly indicates his internal polling shows he’s up in swing states like NV. He behaved like a basketball team up 14 points with 3 minutes to play in the 4th quarter.


14 posted on 10/23/2012 12:10:58 PM PDT by BlueStateRightist
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To: Arec Barrwin

NRA trying to redeem itself? This is one of the best states for them to spend a few bucks to support the good guys.


15 posted on 10/23/2012 12:24:10 PM PDT by rfp1234
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To: Red Steel

Off topic but just wanted to know if Toledo Ohio was a Democrat stronghold. CNN just gave early voting stats and it is VERY much in favor of the Democrats, by many thousands.


16 posted on 10/23/2012 12:27:13 PM PDT by Irish Eyes
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To: Arec Barrwin

Interesting the national ARG poll that showed Romney up by 2% somehow didn’t make it into the RCP mix, yet they couldn’t wait to show the IBD-TIPP poll that showed Obama ahead by 4.


17 posted on 10/23/2012 12:28:31 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Record high turnout is our hope for sending 0bama home. Pray hard!!!)
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To: Logical me

It would be the Ass Hats in Las Vegas, Northern Nevada wants no part of either Bath House Barry or Dingy Harry.


18 posted on 10/23/2012 12:30:40 PM PDT by Internet Walnut
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To: Gargantua

The defective mouth breathers are pretty much contained to Las Vegas with their SEIU bussing to polls.

The rest of my lovely state of Nevada enjoys being one of the top states for economic and personal freedom.

But do judge us, and forget our OTHER Senator, who is one of the most conservative in the Senate.


19 posted on 10/23/2012 12:53:13 PM PDT by sf4dubya (I rebelled against my parents by becoming a conservative. REJECT THEN STOP SOCIALISM THIS NOV!)
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To: Arec Barrwin

FYI..today, MSNBC’s Chuck Todd just moved Nevada from toss-up into the “leans Obama” group..


20 posted on 10/23/2012 1:01:41 PM PDT by ken5050 (Another reason to vote for Mitt: The Mormon Tabernacle Choir will perform at the WH Christmas party)
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To: BlueStateRightist

“Romney’s strategy last night strongly indicates his internal polling shows he’s up in swing states like NV. He behaved like a basketball team up 14 points with 3 minutes to play in the 4th quarter.”

I thought the same thing. Obama’s strategy suggested the same thing.


21 posted on 10/23/2012 1:36:45 PM PDT by TomEwall
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To: Irish Eyes
Off topic but just wanted to know if Toledo Ohio was a Democrat stronghold. CNN just gave early voting stats and it is VERY much in favor of the Democrats, by many thousands.

View this U-Tube video by a local commentator in Toledo that explains how Romney will win

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EApYNuBwEvE&feature=watch_response

22 posted on 10/23/2012 4:50:18 PM PDT by spokeshave (The only people better off today than 4 years ago are the Prisoners at Guantanamo.)
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To: spokeshave

Thanks spokeshave, I have seen this video and loved it. I did not remember that this was Toledo Ohio.

:)


23 posted on 10/23/2012 9:28:32 PM PDT by Irish Eyes
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To: Oldpuppymax

Vegas is SEIU territory, and they controlled the voting machines when Harry majically won.

Talked to my friend there over the weekend and she said that Obama is scheduled to be there Wednesday (today) and that would certainly cost him some votes because he snarls traffic and all the major roads are cut off during rush hour. LOL


24 posted on 10/24/2012 2:32:50 AM PDT by stilloftyhenight
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To: stilloftyhenight
We are trying! We have many on the ground doing door to door GOTV! This weekend we had GOP women's groups from Ca. 350 of them bused in by mormons to GOTV! IT was amazing! WE are on the phones from 8am until 9pm daily to GOTV! If we loose this state it is SEIU!!! We are all committed to win!

For the Mormon haters, I am a Baptist! I have seen Romney/Ryan 3 times now and Both are awesome! They give us hope! Mitt is now what you think he is! I have met him, and he is a very nice man!

WE voted today after the rally! Had lunch at the Elephant Bar, which was apropos!

25 posted on 10/24/2012 2:37:24 AM PDT by Repub4bush (GOPBRIEFINGROOM.COM the pragmatic site for discussion! We love FR but not the nutcases!)
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To: Repub4bush

Great news!


26 posted on 10/24/2012 5:34:37 PM PDT by stilloftyhenight
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