Sandoval’s political adviser predicts Romney will lose Nevada

Las Vegas Sun ^ | Tuesday, Oct. 23, 2012 | 3:58 p.m. | By Anjeanette Damon (contact)

[redreno]

One of Gov. Brian Sandoval’s top political advisers is predicting Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney will lose Nevada this year.

In an interview on "Nevada Newsmakers," Republican political adviser Pete Ernaut said Nevada’s split-ticket voters will likely side with both President Barack Obama and Republican Sen. Dean Heller.

“I think Obama will carry the state somewhere (between 1-3 percentage points), something like that, and I think that is the margin of victory for Heller,” Ernaut said.

[oldplayer]

Not good.

Oldplayer

[Combat_Liberalism]

Thanks, Pete. With GOP allies like you, who needs enemies? Got any more wet blankets to throw on the campaign to oust the Kenyan? Maybe you should call Chicago with your next idea.

[Steven W.]

So far Republican early voting is looking very good in NV - if they can put Mitt over the top then they can come back and finish rebuilding the state party.

[EDINVA]

The man is an expert on NV politics, and gave an honest assessment as he sees it based on his experience. We can’t go attacking everyone whose observations we want to be wrong.

[comebacknewt]

Gary Johnson hurts Romney in Nevada, no doubt.

Still, Barack is having a very tough time opening a decent lead or surpassing 50%.

As long as the current trajectory doesn’t change, I like Mitt’s chances there.

[luvie]

And just why should he be believed?

[Bernard Marx]

Translation: Obama will win the union vote in Las Vegas and Reno and will be the choice of most of the horde of California transplants living in NV to escape CA taxes.

[Combat_Liberalism]

I’ll agree with your point but why publicize this view except to aid the opponent?

[Katiana Kalashnikova]

The man is an expert on NV politics, and gave an honest assessment as he sees it based on his experience. We can’t go attacking everyone whose observations we want to be wrong.My sister (I have 8!) lives in Nevada and is a Romney volunteer. She tells me that that Obama's supporters are demoralized and many are not expected to vote. She added that if they did all vote, Obama would carry the state. but this is not 2008. There are just a handful of Obama stickers. "Hope and change" didn't happen. Obama believers are fading away, disappointed.

[TigerClaws]

1-3 points.

That’s nothing. Turnout and motivation is the key.

[EDINVA]

Your sister’s perception to God’s ears ;)

Seriously, how ANYONE in LV or NV can vote for Obama is beyond me. Have they forgotten one of his first public statements after being elected was telling people NOT to go to Las Vegas, and how that one comment cost millions upon millions of dollars to the city and state?

[wiseprince]

Everything I read has Romney losing just about every toss-up state, PA,NV,MI,WI,IA,OH. usually he’s winning (with fairly small margins) FL,VA,NC and NH. How exactly is he at 50% in the polls while carrying virtually nothing? Somehow everyone is managing to suggest that if Romney wins 51% - 46% he’ll still lose the electoral...

[Crapgame]

You mean the union vote in Las Vegas. Reno has little to offer in that regard. Washoe County has more registered R’s than D’s this election cycle which bodes well for Romney in Nevada’s only swing county. Recall that Obama won Washoe County by a considerable margin in 2008. That all said, Ernaut is well placed in Nevada politics and he is a very highly paid lobbyist who works both sides of the aisle. He has also managed campaigns throughout the state.

[woweeitsme]

Could it be that the South is carrying his numbers so high? I’m guessing in some of these southern states, he’s up by massive amounts.