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Rassmussen New Hampshire - Romney 50 Obama 48
rasmussen ^

Posted on 10/24/2012 8:35:44 AM PDT by Perdogg

The presidential race in New Hampshire remains neck-and-neck, with Mitt Romney stretching to a two-point lead. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely New Hampshire Voters, taken the night after the final presidential debate, finds Romney earning 50% support, while President Obama has 48% of the vote. One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, and another one percent (1%) is undecided. This New Hampshire survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 23, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; nh2012
I have no crosstabs. In 2008 it was also D +2 (Dem 29, Rep 27, Ind 45) and in 2004 it was R+7 (Dem 25, Rep 32, Ind 44).
1 posted on 10/24/2012 8:35:47 AM PDT by Perdogg
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To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; Ravi; ...

ping


2 posted on 10/24/2012 8:38:37 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Perdogg

Romney will have his only win of the night in New England... he will carry NH.


3 posted on 10/24/2012 8:39:09 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Perdogg

Won’t matter if the Hugo Chavez brand voting machines cast an Obama vote for you anyways/


4 posted on 10/24/2012 8:39:44 AM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: goldstategop

and ME-CD2


5 posted on 10/24/2012 8:40:11 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Perdogg
Sounds good.This one's gonna be a close one,EV-wise,despite what anyone here believes or wishes.Four EVs won it for W in 2000...the same could be true this year.
6 posted on 10/24/2012 8:40:44 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Ambassador Stevens Is Dead And The Chevy Volt Is Alive)
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To: goldstategop

I’ll take it. New Hampshire plus Colorado plus Wisconsin means we don’t have to win Ohio, IIRC.


7 posted on 10/24/2012 8:41:43 AM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: Perdogg

Yep!


8 posted on 10/24/2012 8:42:34 AM PDT by GOPsterinMA (The Glove don't fit, but it's better than a burqa.)
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To: Perdogg

Romney now has Virginia and New Hampshire to go with North Carolina and Florida.

If he can gain Iowa, Colorado, and Nevada, then he has won the election. Colorado appears to be his. I believe he was down one in Iowa and down 2 or 3 in Nevada.

Won without Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Wisconsin.

Michigan and Massachusetts will be feeling odd that they denied their own favorite son president at just the moment it would be in their best interest to support him.


9 posted on 10/24/2012 8:42:57 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True supporters of our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: goldstategop
Romney will have his only win of the night in New England... he will carry NH.

The talk here in New England is that he could get one EV from Maine (which splits its EVs).

10 posted on 10/24/2012 8:42:58 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Ambassador Stevens Is Dead And The Chevy Volt Is Alive)
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To: Perdogg
And the Romney campaign is going on the air in the Boston market to seal the deal.

ARG, PPP, and Rasmussen have all come to the same result - a 1-2 point Romney lead.

And then there's the goofy UNH survey with Obama +9.

NH could be a key part in one of the more unlikely electoral vote scenarios (Romney wins without Ohio, Romney wins without Virginia, and so forth).

11 posted on 10/24/2012 8:45:00 AM PDT by Skulllspitter
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To: xzins
If he can gain Iowa, Colorado, and Nevada, then he has won the election.

I read yesterday that the Republican Governor of Nevada is saying (privately) that Baraq will probably take the state.

12 posted on 10/24/2012 8:45:06 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Ambassador Stevens Is Dead And The Chevy Volt Is Alive)
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To: WashingtonSource

Or NH+CO+IA.

Might be able to work around OH after all.


13 posted on 10/24/2012 8:45:30 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Record high turnout is our hope for sending 0bama home. Pray hard!!!)
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To: Skulllspitter
And the Romney campaign is going on the air in the Boston market to seal the deal.

About 90% of the ads I see on Boston TV that are directed at NH are Rats' ads...Baraq,the Commies running for Governor and the House....

14 posted on 10/24/2012 8:47:56 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Ambassador Stevens Is Dead And The Chevy Volt Is Alive)
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To: Gay State Conservative

I wouldn’t argue with the republican governor of the state. At the same time, Rasmussen had Romney down only 2 yesterday.


15 posted on 10/24/2012 8:50:26 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True supporters of our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: Gay State Conservative

Sorry, that was ARG poll, not rasmussen.


16 posted on 10/24/2012 8:53:45 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True supporters of our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: ScottinVA
Or NH+CO+IA.
Might be able to work around OH after all.

That only goes to 267. Adding one EV from Maine is 268 - one shy of a tie.

17 posted on 10/24/2012 9:11:28 AM PDT by Yossarian ("All the charm of Nixon. All the competency of Carter." - SF Chronicle comment post on Obama)
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To: xzins

Iowa radio this morning is reporting Romney with a slight lead in the latest Ras poll. Monday, it was reported by Ras that Iowa was tied 48-48 with registered voters, but Romney ahead 49-47 with the likely voters. It was a 500 person sample.

This week, I met two more Obama voters who have switched to Romney. I believe Iowa will go to Romney.


18 posted on 10/24/2012 9:44:28 AM PDT by Brent Calvert 03969-030
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To: xzins

If Romney wins Nevada, he will have won Ohio and Wisconsin anyway.

In relation to national polling, I have...

North Carolina, Florida, Virginia, Colorado, ***National***, New Hampshire, Ohio ,Iowa, Wisconsin, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Michigan


19 posted on 10/24/2012 9:48:23 AM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: Perdogg

From the crosstabs of this survey

Republican 32%
Democrat 30%
Other 38%


20 posted on 10/24/2012 9:52:06 AM PDT by Massimo75
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To: goldstategop

“Romney will have his only win of the night in New England... he will carry NH...”

Looks good for Romney in New Hampshire.

But he also has a shot at picking up a single vote from that one Congressional district in Maine that leans to Republicans.

He is going to need every EV he can get.

Regardless of the puffery and over-optimism shown by many here on FR, I believe this is going to be a -very- close election, at least in the Electoral College.

Based on the stats I see at Rasmussen’s electoral college scoreboard right now, looks to me like the election could go Romney - 277, Obama - 252 (assuming Mr. Romney gets the one Congressional district in Maine that is leaning towards him, otherwise, it will be 276-253).
(you can view Ras’ electoral scoreboard at
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/2012_electoral_college_scoreboard)

This assumes Romney wins New Hampshire, Ohio, and Iowa (the latter two states show a “tied race” right now, 48-48 in both).

I’m hoping Mr. Romney can pull this off...


21 posted on 10/24/2012 10:27:33 AM PDT by Road Glide
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To: wolfman23601

In your list I’d change the side of Colorado and Ohio.

Colorado was voting Republican more than the nation years ago, but with the demographic change they had in the last decade or so the trend is going the other way. In 2008 it gives an almost 9 point lead to Obama while nationally he had a 7.2 points lead.
Ohio on the other hand is much closer to the national average but typically gives slightly a better than the nation result to the GOP guy,and a little worst than the nation result to the dem, with the exception of 2004 when Kerry had practically the same in Ohio that he had nationally.


22 posted on 10/24/2012 10:37:21 AM PDT by Massimo75
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To: wolfman23601

The certainty that goes “if state X goes to Romney, state Y will also go to him” is faulty. Though their party IDs and history may have some bearing on these things, the way campaigning has gone in in each state, as well as the economic and social conditions specific to it, also have a bearing. States which have not been accosted over the last two months by carpet-bombing political ads may react very differently in the next two weeks.


23 posted on 10/24/2012 11:09:10 AM PDT by AFPhys ((Praying for our troops, our citizens, that the Bible and Freedom become basis of the US law again))
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To: WashingtonSource
"I’ll take it. New Hampshire plus Colorado plus Wisconsin means we don’t have to win Ohio, IIRC."

2008 + IN, NC, FL, VA, NE1, CO, IA, NH, NV = 273EV

2008 + IN, NC, FL, VA, NE1, CO, IA, WI = 273EV

2008 + IN, NC, FL, VA, NE1, CO, IA, NH, WI = 277EV

24 posted on 10/24/2012 11:17:00 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, CO, IA, NV, NH = 291EV)
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To: Massimo75

not a bad sample.


25 posted on 10/24/2012 11:34:59 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Road Glide
"But he also has a shot at picking up a single vote from that one Congressional district in Maine that leans to Republicans. He is going to need every EV he can get."

Really? Where's the realistic scenario where ME2 does jack squat? Where also is the polling that shows ME2 going Romney before WI or PA?

26 posted on 10/24/2012 11:43:53 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, CO, IA, NV, NH = 291EV)
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To: Massimo75
"Ohio on the other hand is much closer to the national average but typically gives slightly a better than the nation result to the GOP guy,and a little worst than the nation result to the dem, with the exception of 2004 when Kerry had practically the same in Ohio that he had nationally."

Oh my God, don't talk perfect sense to these people...Romney wins National PV, he wins Ohio. Period.

2004 National 50.7 48.3
2004 Ohio 50.8 48.7

27 posted on 10/24/2012 12:03:22 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, CO, IA, NV, NH = 291EV)
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To: Perdogg
I'm so glad Romney's leading, i see light in the future!
28 posted on 10/24/2012 1:09:55 PM PDT by johnsondavid841
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