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Gallup Tracking Poll: R50/O47
Gallup ^ | 10/24 | Gallup

Posted on 10/24/2012 10:04:13 AM PDT by tatown

R50/O47

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; gallup; poll
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Narrowed by 2 points since yesterday.
1 posted on 10/24/2012 10:04:13 AM PDT by tatown
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To: LS; Perdogg; SoftwareEngineer; nhwingut; HamiltonJay

Ping


2 posted on 10/24/2012 10:05:10 AM PDT by tatown (Obama was right, it was a 'one term proposition')
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To: tatown

Ugh.


3 posted on 10/24/2012 10:05:59 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist
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To: tatown

Gallup dude was on TV a few days ago and said a couple of good days from Obama would be showing soon in his poll. Still sucks though. Seems as tho zer0 got a small bounce from the foreign policy debate.

Meh whatever. this is gonna be close folks. stop yapping about landslides. that ain’t happening.


4 posted on 10/24/2012 10:07:54 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: tatown

As predicted, there’s Obama’s 47% again.


5 posted on 10/24/2012 10:08:07 AM PDT by GEC (We're not drilling in ANWR because....)
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To: tatown
Uploaded from the Photobucket iPhone App
6 posted on 10/24/2012 10:08:17 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA (The truth hurts)
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To: tatown

There is a new trend, Obama is on the rise and it’s clear now. New poll has Obama up in NV 50/47, tied in OH. Check my history, I’m no fan of Obama but I won’t bury my head in the sand. Romney is NOT moving up in the swing states. The media won’t report on anything that may be damaging to Obama and they will elevate anything that will damage Romney. I’m disappointed but this went from 7 to 3 points in less than a week


7 posted on 10/24/2012 10:08:52 AM PDT by wiseprince
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To: tatown

Probably wasting my time in the face of the onslaught of “concerned” posters, but this is a 7 day tracking poll. You cannot extrapolate today’s numbers with recent events. It may be nothing more than unusually good Romney days from LAST WEEK are rolling off the 7 day average.


8 posted on 10/24/2012 10:09:38 AM PDT by Arthurio
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To: ConservativeInPA

a lot of wild swing in Gallup polls 4 years ago. From 2 to 10 in 4 days. Not likely


9 posted on 10/24/2012 10:11:22 AM PDT by wiseprince
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To: ConservativeInPA

Looks like Romney is sitting almost exactly where Obama was in 2008.


10 posted on 10/24/2012 10:11:30 AM PDT by tatown (Obama was right, it was a 'one term proposition')
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To: Arthurio

I guess you’re right, it could also be a very good day for Obama that just came on


11 posted on 10/24/2012 10:13:19 AM PDT by wiseprince
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To: tatown

Obama’s job approval also jumped up 5 to +11.

Americans are still having difficulty breaking that emotional bond with Obama. They know time is getting short and it appears they’re becoming frightened about going on without him.


12 posted on 10/24/2012 10:15:01 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Record high turnout is our hope for sending 0bama home. Pray hard!!!)
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To: tatown

O is not going to break 47%.

When you look at enthusiasm and the crowds RR are getting at their campaign stops, day to day polls averages don’t matter much.

This is not going to stop the Mittmentum.


13 posted on 10/24/2012 10:15:06 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: tatown

Not sure why Bambi has gained 4 points in three day, certainly wasn’t the Debate IMO


14 posted on 10/24/2012 10:15:23 AM PDT by DAC21
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To: wiseprince

More likely it is simply statistical noise. Take a look at the table posted above containing 2008 daily results. The numbers bounced considerably day to day.


15 posted on 10/24/2012 10:16:02 AM PDT by tatown (Obama was right, it was a 'one term proposition')
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To: snarkytart

It is my belief from examining this poll is that the 14th, 15th and 16th were extremely bad polling days for Obama, today’s poll just dropped off the last of them, the 16th. The 17th and 18th(after the 2nd debate) were the days that the Gallup guy said had “good” Obama polling. So tomorrow I believe we will know more, because likely Obama will be losing a 48 or 49% polling day from the 17th in tomorrow’s results. We’ll see.


16 posted on 10/24/2012 10:17:29 AM PDT by MarkFLA77
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To: tatown
The Gallup of four years ago also showed a tightening of the race at this point in 2008. Check it out, I think McCain/Palin got within two on the Gallup on or around Oct 24 before Obama started pulling away again.

At any rate, so long as Obama remains under 50%, he is the one that needs to sweat out the next 10 days regardless of how the polls move from day to day.

17 posted on 10/24/2012 10:19:18 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: tatown

I continue to believe that Gallup has been setting us up. The threats from the Obama campaign have worked. I simply have no faith in Gallup. Gallup wants to help the MSM start an “Obama the Comeback Kid” attempt at creating a bandwagon effect.


18 posted on 10/24/2012 10:19:23 AM PDT by olrtex
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To: wiseprince

LOL. Why the hand-wringing? Obama is the incumbent. He is in the 40s this close to an election. Polls have margins of error. Gallup is just one of many. The trend is still towards Romney nationally and in the battleground states. The Obama campaign is acting like they are losing, e.g., publishing a 20 page brochure with their agenda for the next four years. Mitt has the momentum and the bucks. Drive to the finish.


19 posted on 10/24/2012 10:19:38 AM PDT by kabar
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To: ConservativeInPA

i like that sheet - thanks for posting!


20 posted on 10/24/2012 10:20:41 AM PDT by Principled (Vote Romney to stop Obama. Vote for conservative Reps and Senators to stop Romney. [ZET 7/30/12])
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To: ScottinVA

Meh..i don’t think too many people are emotionally attached to Obama in 2012. Just black people and some hardcore leftists. But even traditional dems are not enthusiastic.


21 posted on 10/24/2012 10:23:36 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: ScottinVA
Americans are still having difficulty breaking that emotional bond with Obama. They know time is getting short and it appears they’re becoming frightened about going on without him.

After a couple more days, the debate and Obama and his "bounce" will be forgotten.

22 posted on 10/24/2012 10:24:12 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: wiseprince

State polling lags a little. NV isn’t going for Romney I fear. It’s all about Ohio. I doubt PA is going for R either...they are always a tease but never follow through.


23 posted on 10/24/2012 10:25:26 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: olrtex

The polls show some tightening. But the overall outcome is never in doubt.

This election for want of a better term, is now Romney’s to lose.


24 posted on 10/24/2012 10:27:39 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop

For job approval, Gallup polls Adults, on a 3 day basis. Why Gallup polls anything other than registered voters this close to an election is a mystery.


25 posted on 10/24/2012 10:28:38 AM PDT by Arthurio
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To: MarkFLA77

thank you. i’m on edge with all the polls.


26 posted on 10/24/2012 10:28:45 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: snarkytart

If a three point gap remains in all these polls for another week, and Romney sits at 50% or higher, it is going to be a landslide...not a 1980 level landslide, but a very decisive one sided victory. Assuming Ohio goes in that scenario, we’ll also see a host of states with us...IA, NH, CO, and maybe WI and one other.

1980-88 landslides won’t happen again as parties have evolved. Each side is going to get 46% minimum and each side has regions of the country that are locked down.


27 posted on 10/24/2012 10:29:30 AM PDT by ilgipper (Obama supporters are comprised of the uninformed & the ill-informed)
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To: tatown

Obama had a good day then, hopefully not a trend,
but the bottom line is other polls like Monmouth U and Ras are showing Romney leads of 2-4 pts as well.


28 posted on 10/24/2012 10:33:07 AM PDT by WOSG (REPEAL AND REPLACE OBAMA. He stole America’s promise!)
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To: snarkytart

Watch where the respective campaigns devote their resources and time to.

The front-runner can afford to widen the battlefield and force his opponent to defend his turf.

Romney’s internals must be very good - a lot better than the ones we get to see. That drives how his campaign budgets its time and where its next moves are going to be.

Have faith!


29 posted on 10/24/2012 10:33:27 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: wiseprince

Actually we have Romney leading in the last Rasmussen in New Hampshire and Colorado, Tie in Iowa and in Ohio but he was one and two points down respectively in the previous polls.
I don’t necessarily buy all those results, but if there’s a new trend is not showing in polls so far.


30 posted on 10/24/2012 10:37:22 AM PDT by Massimo75
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To: goldstategop; ilgipper

okay, okay. I’ll have faith. You both calmed my nerves a little.
:)


31 posted on 10/24/2012 10:38:18 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: tatown
"Looks like Romney is sitting almost exactly where Obama was in 2008."

Exactly so. Concern trolls, eat this.

32 posted on 10/24/2012 10:39:48 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, CO, IA, NV, NH = 291EV)
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To: tatown

Gallup is fake. Setting up the fake Obama come back the media is now running with. Set up Romney in last debate to play defense.


33 posted on 10/24/2012 10:41:32 AM PDT by rurgan (Sunset all laws at 4 years.China is destroying U.S. ability to manufacture,makes everything)
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To: wiseprince
There is a new trend, Obama is on the rise and it’s clear now. New poll has Obama up in NV 50/47, tied in OH. Check my history, I’m no fan of Obama but I won’t bury my head in the sand. Romney is NOT moving up in the swing states. The media won’t report on anything that may be damaging to Obama and they will elevate anything that will damage Romney. I’m disappointed but this went from 7 to 3 points in less than a week.

Gallup has a history of wild swings in their data if you have followed them in any recent election.

Romney has clearly moved up in all of the swing states. Going from a significant deficit to a tie in Ohio is moving toward him, and he was behind or tied in multiple other swing states where he is now clearly in the lead.

I don't want to falsely accuse you of being a concern troll, but what you said is clearly incorrect...and the fact you asked "check my history" and felt the need to say "I'm not fan of Obama" before anyone had even said anything casts another shadow of suspicion over you...

34 posted on 10/24/2012 10:45:45 AM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: rurgan

Lol..you actually think that Romney was setting his strategy based on Gallup’s daily tracking poll? Seriously??


35 posted on 10/24/2012 10:46:24 AM PDT by tatown (Obama was right, it was a 'one term proposition')
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To: Republican Wildcat

As i stated before last debate, the narrowing would continue to show a big swing. Never thought we were up 7.


36 posted on 10/24/2012 10:46:29 AM PDT by shoedog
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To: Republican Wildcat

As i stated before last debate, the narrowing would continue to show a big swing. Never thought we were up 7.


37 posted on 10/24/2012 10:47:17 AM PDT by shoedog
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To: wiseprince



38 posted on 10/24/2012 10:53:18 AM PDT by o2bfree (All us minorities got us an Obamaphone!!!)
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To: StAnDeliver

“”Looks like Romney is sitting almost exactly where Obama was in 2008.”

Exactly so. Concern trolls, eat this.”

Also... They have O’Bozo at 11% UP the day before the election, and he actually won by less than 7%. That means they’re probably giving him a 4-5 point cushion, so hopefully, he get DESTROYED by AT LEAST that amount!


39 posted on 10/24/2012 10:55:13 AM PDT by RogerWilko
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To: Arthurio
It may be nothing more than unusually good Romney days from LAST WEEK are rolling off the 7 day average.

About my favorite analysis comes from CAC via Ace of Spades. He predicted a Romney drop yesterday or today, and for that exact reason: strong days rolling off the back end of running average. Makes me feel better about this.
40 posted on 10/24/2012 10:58:12 AM PDT by verum ago (Some people must truly be in love, for only love can be so blind.)
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To: snarkytart

After the first debate Romney just gave up on the debates. He would go there to mark present but the passion and energy of the first debate was gone.


41 posted on 10/24/2012 11:01:19 AM PDT by libh8er
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To: RogerWilko

“Concern Troll” is a term coined over at DU to disparage any deviation of worship for the one.

It belittles any honest evaluation of what is going on in the polls and has no place on FR.


42 posted on 10/24/2012 11:02:10 AM PDT by Blackirish
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To: goldstategop

You are upbeat and consistent day after day. I don’t feel as good as you do about any of this, but I love your positive attitude.


43 posted on 10/24/2012 11:08:55 AM PDT by Gator113 (I would have voted for NEWT, now it's Ryan and the other guy.~Just livin' life, my way~)
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To: libh8er

Well Romney got a bounce from BOTH the first and second debate and snapshot polls after both showed this. Even the focus groups favored Romney. I think after the first debate he didn’t feel the need to go for the throat like the first debate. Also, the townhall debate was filled with people asking questions like “How are you different than Bush” ...the deck was definitely stacked against him.


44 posted on 10/24/2012 11:13:55 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Blackirish

I think Romney is a decent guy who cares about others! I can’t vote for him because I don’t agree with his worldview. That said, I still wish him the best and pray that G-d give him the wisdom to be a good President!

I will support him in office when he does the right things and I will oppose him on things that are not good for our country. I’m the opposite of a “Concern Troll.” I’m concerned for this country and its future - all I can say is Romney has not earned my vote. But he has a chance to earn my support.

I know I will be accused by some of an Obama plant and someone who doesn’t give our candidate undeviating worship! I am not and will never be that kind of person. I see things with a critical eye and I try to do what I feel is the right thing to do regardless of what any one else thinks.

And I would like for our country to get the President we deserve. A great burden is upon Romney and I hope he meets it!


45 posted on 10/24/2012 11:15:42 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: tatown
Could be statistical noise, a good R day dropping off the back end, a good O day added to the front end, an indicator of a new trend... Could mean anything... Or nothing...

Rasmussen:

"The single night of interviews conducted after the debate is similar to the two-point advantage Romney has enjoyed recently rather than the current four-point spread."

Won't be surprised if it's R +2 in tomorrows Rasmussen poll.

All I know for certain... This thing appears to be a lot closer than I would like it to be...
46 posted on 10/24/2012 11:15:59 AM PDT by TBBT
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To: wiseprince
If Obama is "on the rise," sure missing it in early voting. In my county---a key swing county in OH which went Obama big in 08---D early voting down 80% from 2008 (and I'm giving the Ds EVERY early vote, which clearly is not right, but I just want to do so for effect). At this rate, he'll lose OH by 4% or so. Just so you know.

You might look at early/absentee voting numbers rather than polls. Polls measure a STATED future INTENT to do something. Votes represent PAST EVIDENCE of something that already happened.

47 posted on 10/24/2012 11:17:37 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: tatown

No what I said was Gallup Trying to set up Romney and setting up the fake Obama comeback. you don’t really believe what it was a 7 point lead a few days ago now 3? and now the media is going with the Obama comeback and using this poll.


48 posted on 10/24/2012 11:18:46 AM PDT by rurgan (Sunset all laws at 4 years.China is destroying U.S. ability to manufacture,makes everything)
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To: Gator113

We should all think positively and believe things will work out for the best! Even when its dark, the sunny uplands lie before us. We should not fear for the future of our country or doubt the wisdom of those who have seen the error of the recent past and let us start anew! Sometimes we make mistakes - but always out of a good heart and never out of malice. The best days of America are not behind her; the best days of America are yet to come!

Let’s win one for the Gipper!


49 posted on 10/24/2012 11:21:12 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: tatown

Romney had a chance to give the coup-de-grace to Obama on Monday night but ole Milquetoast chose to play it safe.


50 posted on 10/24/2012 11:21:34 AM PDT by central_va ( I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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