Posted on 10/24/2012 11:44:43 AM PDT by Laissez-faire capitalist
Strongly Obama 184 Strongly Romney 166
Favors Obama 17 Favors Romney 3
Leans Obama 32 Leans Romney 26
Tossup 110
The TPM Electoral Scorebooard is powered by PollTracker.com, the most accurate and up-to-date poll tracking and averaging service on the web. Our scoreboard is designed to be highly reactive to the twists and turns of public opinion! Only states with less than a 2 point margin go into the tossup category. We aso keep editorial assignment of states to an absolute minimum: as long as poll data is available, we let the numbers tell the story.
(Excerpt) Read more at core.talkingpointsmemo.com ...
Accurate to a T, my ass.
This is already dated.
It’s getting down to ther wire...
Please, no ad homs or attacking the messenger (me or the PollTracker.com average, etc, etc) or other red herrings and diversionary tactics.
FWIW Polltracker has Obama 49.1/Romney 46.9.
http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contests/us-president-12
Maybe someone else can talk about why this ‘average of polls’ is so much more favorable to Obama than RCP.
Many of the polls included in the compilation employ D+7 or higher skews. RCP does not include all polls on its site; as an example, they continue to show Obama ahead in PA by 4.8 because they did not include a recent poll showing Romney up by 5 points there.
The polls have to start showing Obunny up, so when the fraud kicks in, there won’t be questions!
Polls are odd this year.
Personally I think it’s caused by a large independent Romney (anti-Obama) vote this year vs a large pro-Obama independent vote in 2008.
http://today.yougov.com/news/2012/10/23/obama-stays-ahead-just/
A lib-leaning pollster’s view.
And I hope Ohio’s numbers are skewed by Obama’s fantastic 2008 turnout.
Anyway, it’s probably close.
DU is already celebrating, they know there are enough fraudulent votes to make this happen. The news is full of voter fraud today!
If Obama wins, it will be solely by voter fraud. I’ve never seen anything like the atmosphere surrounding this election.
Or, could it be that they have been doctoring these polls, to create the impression that Obama is more popular than he really is?
The last polls before the election should be the most accurate, as the pollsters will want to prove how reliable they are.
Unskewed at
is showing 324 EVs for R and R.
This organization tries to use turnout projection AND polling.
My projection is 357 or ~ 2:1.
Do you mean the Obama who slept while four Americans were slaughtered in Benghazi?
It's the Chicago thug way!
What is the history of unskewedpolls re. accuracy?
They’ve got Arizona as a toss-up; Tennessee is “leaning Romney”. Not sure what else. Wasn’t sure this was the right year or right election I was looking at.
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