Notice how the liberal pollsters are focusing their efforts on OHIO.
This means one thing folks -— THAT IS *THE* STATE that will elect our next President according to the electoral college.
Forget the National Polls. Ohio it is!!
Actually, forget the Ohio polls, and follow the national polls, because the national polls are the Ohio polls.
What has been ignored in all the discussion about polling is that, historically, the GOP candidate's share of the vote in Ohio correlates very closely with his share of the national vote.
In 2008, McCain earned 46.5% of the national popular vote; his Ohio share was 47.3%. In 2004, George W. Bush earned 50.7% of the national popular vote; his Ohio share was 51%. In 2000, George W. Bush earned about 48% of the national popular vote; his Ohio share was 52%.
You can go back even further, but the results are the same - GOP candidates tend to equal or overperform their national popular vote percentage. I feel confident in predicting that if Romney is leading in the national polls on Election Day, he will carry Ohio.
Well, not really. Mittens can win without Ohio, but Obama can’t.