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To: Perdogg

RE: Thirty-seven percent of respondents identified as Democrats, while 28 percent were Republicans and 29 percent Independents.

OK, someone knowledgeable from Ohio tell me what the more realistic D/R/I breakdown should be in the Buckeye State because the above sampling sounds suspiciously unhinged to me.


8 posted on 10/24/2012 2:42:57 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

“OK, someone knowledgeable from Ohio tell me what the more realistic D/R/I breakdown should be in the Buckeye State because the above sampling sounds suspiciously unhinged to me.”

Well, 2008 would be the pinnacle of Dem support and that was +8 in a CNN exit poll. The numbers were likely much tighter as the exit polls tend to oversample dems. So this is higher than even that. But, it gets worse. Despite this advantage the results for those that haven’t voted yet still tied. They mixed in a separate poll of voters that already voted and it was a tiny sample size of 145 and it way oversampled Dems by D+14, (numbers suggest it should be D+6), and even worse there were twice as many females as males sampled. They also overweighed this part of the poll to reflect 20% of the total when it’s no where near that.

The most pathetic part of all is that this is a weighted poll. They didn’t just get those #’s and run with them, they chose to weigh the poll this way.


37 posted on 10/24/2012 7:54:36 PM PDT by Bigjimslade
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