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PPP Nevada poll: Obama 51, Romney 47
politico ^ | 10/24/12 | Alexander Burns

Posted on 10/24/2012 6:23:47 PM PDT by cdchik123

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1 posted on 10/24/2012 6:23:48 PM PDT by cdchik123
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To: cdchik123

Those four guys that Barry has over Romney are the same four guys who showed up at the Jiffy Lube in Reno to see Sandy Fluke last week.


2 posted on 10/24/2012 6:27:32 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Big Bird, Binders, Horses and Bayonets! Sorry that’s all we’ve got! - the DNC)
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To: cdchik123

Wow! 12% of blacks and 28% of hispanics for Romney? That’s amazing and will only grow.


3 posted on 10/24/2012 6:27:48 PM PDT by gotribe (He's a mack-daddy http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AV415yit7Zg)
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To: cdchik123

I hate to say if but if the people of Nevada vote for Obama they deserve what befalls them. It was, after all, Obama who admonished American businesses and vacationers not to go to Vegas...not to spend their money there!!!
Their unemployment is much higher than the national average and his policies have done NOTHING to inspire confidence amongst the populace that would encourage them to spend disposable income for travel and entertainment which is about all Nevada has to offer !!
I hope they come to their senses...but they keep sending Harry Reid back to Washington so I’m not counting on it!


4 posted on 10/24/2012 6:30:06 PM PDT by Froggie
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To: cdchik123

Doesn’t shock me. Even though it’s a left-leaning pollster, all of the polls show Obama up in Nevada by a few points.

I have Romney at 261 (or 262 if you include ME-01). If Romney can take OH or WI, it’s over.


5 posted on 10/24/2012 6:30:12 PM PDT by NYRepublican72
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To: cdchik123

SIGH.... PPP again (double sigh).

So, what’s the D/R/I breakdown of the Nevada Poll this time... is it going to be D+9 again?


6 posted on 10/24/2012 6:31:12 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: cdchik123

Did Obama trash Las Vegas at one point? And NV is one of the worst states in terms of unemployment.

Have we reached a critical mass of stupidity in this country?


7 posted on 10/24/2012 6:31:36 PM PDT by RightWingNilla
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To: Froggie

Exactly. The parasites are getting close to overcoming the host.


8 posted on 10/24/2012 6:33:02 PM PDT by RightWingNilla
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To: SeekAndFind

D +6

42 D, 36 R, 23 I


9 posted on 10/24/2012 6:35:01 PM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: cdchik123
Nevada--whores, crooks and union thugs--- yep, definitely sounds like obama country.
10 posted on 10/24/2012 6:36:21 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: Froggie

They re-elected Ried in 2010. I think RR ought to concede NV. They can, and will, win without it.


11 posted on 10/24/2012 6:37:31 PM PDT by outofstyle (Down All the Days)
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To: cdchik123

Even though this is PPP, it is consistent with the Rasmussen poll.

It looks like Iowa and NH are moving Romney’s way. With Nevada that would have cancelled out making Ohio essential...although I seriously doubt that if the more Democrat leaning states of Iowa and NH have moved to Romney that Ohio would not also end up in his column as that is a more Republican state.


12 posted on 10/24/2012 6:39:45 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: NYRepublican72

Can you advise all on what percentage threshold of votes cast must be achieved to gain a split in Maine?

(I ask here because others may also wonder)


13 posted on 10/24/2012 6:40:15 PM PDT by Michael.SF. (Obama Lied, Stevens died.)
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To: cdchik123

I have a very good smart conservative friend that lives in NV with very good “connections”. Obama by 3-4%.


14 posted on 10/24/2012 6:41:53 PM PDT by TaMoDee ( Lassez les bons temps rouler dans les 2012! Allez Pack!)
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To: cdchik123
Besides casino work and public education, what other employment opportunities exist there? Housing construction has to be very slow after the bubble burst with so many homes in default in that state. Is the B.O. lead simply a reflection of the HUGE union presence there?

Amazing that the low information voters cut off their noses to spite their faces and don't even know it. Sad.

15 posted on 10/24/2012 6:42:07 PM PDT by PLK
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To: Michael.SF.

Don’t know the numbers, saw a poll where the CD in ME was trending Romney.


16 posted on 10/24/2012 6:43:15 PM PDT by NYRepublican72
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To: NYRepublican72

“I have Romney at 261 (or 262 if you include ME-01). If Romney can take OH or WI, it’s over.”

What about hitting the needle with NH and Wisconsin?
Maybe Iowa is the better combo with NH.

Okay, let’s run the table!

Gotta get it and Mittmomentum is working.


17 posted on 10/24/2012 6:43:35 PM PDT by romanesq (For George Soros so loved the world, he gave us Obama)
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To: romanesq

261 assumes NH holds. WI would then put Romney over the top without OH.


18 posted on 10/24/2012 6:44:38 PM PDT by NYRepublican72
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To: KansasGirl

2004
D 35
R 39
I 26

2008
D 38
R 30
I 32


19 posted on 10/24/2012 6:45:16 PM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: PLK

“Is the B.O. lead simply a reflection of the HUGE union presence there?”

Yes.


20 posted on 10/24/2012 6:46:15 PM PDT by romanesq (For George Soros so loved the world, he gave us Obama)
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To: Michael.SF.

It is by congressional district, not percentage threshold.


21 posted on 10/24/2012 6:46:49 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: cdchik123

not a huge sample.....

PPP surveyed 636 likely voters from October 22nd to 24th. The margin of error for the
survey is +/-3.9%


22 posted on 10/24/2012 6:51:40 PM PDT by bitt (These Commies are making it impossible to stick to my self-imposed moratorium on foul language)
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To: Republican Wildcat

dang. That makes it tough to get one.


23 posted on 10/24/2012 6:58:00 PM PDT by Michael.SF. (Obama Lied, Stevens died.)
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To: Froggie

Nevada’s problem = SEIU


24 posted on 10/24/2012 7:03:12 PM PDT by cblue55 (The original point and click interface was a Smith and Wesson.)
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To: RightWingNilla

“Did Obama trash Las Vegas at one point? And NV is one of the worst states in terms of unemployment. Have we reached a critical mass of stupidity in this country?”

Barack Elizondo Mountain Dew ObamaCamacho was elected President in 2008. Isn’t that all the proof you are ever going to need?


25 posted on 10/24/2012 7:04:27 PM PDT by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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To: Froggie
I hope they come to their senses...but they keep sending Harry Reid back to Washington so I’m not counting on it!

IMHO "they" keep sending Reid back to the District of Corruption because the largest employer in NV is gambling and they SEIU has a stranglehold. Remember the mandate to vote for Reid?

Harrah’s Bosses Put Squeeze on Employees to Vote in Pro-Reid Effort
November 2, 2010 11:45 A.M.
By Elizabeth Crum
here
26 posted on 10/24/2012 7:15:35 PM PDT by Cheerio (Barry Hussein Soetoro-0bama=The Complete Destruction of American Capitalism)
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To: hinckley buzzard

No state income tax.

One of the top states for economic & personal freedom.

Republican governor, congress critters and one of two senators is a Conservative Republican.

Keep trashing it.


27 posted on 10/24/2012 7:17:28 PM PDT by sf4dubya (I rebelled against my parents by becoming a conservative. REJECT THEN STOP SOCIALISM THIS NOV!)
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To: RightWingNilla

no Nevad reached a critical mass of “i want free candy”


28 posted on 10/24/2012 7:31:57 PM PDT by dalebert
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To: cdchik123

PPP is a certified Dem party front group and push poll outfit !

They are beyond discredited !!

They got caught doing Dem
Party advocacy push polling in WI !

Their polls are garbage and pure fraud !


29 posted on 10/24/2012 7:49:29 PM PDT by ncalburt (Axelrod Psych OPS has gone to 24/7 non stop - "The election is over " status until Nov)
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To: Republican Wildcat

No the Ras poll,
Has a difference of 2 pts not 4 pts but Romney was winning
Indies by huge margins which means iRas had a + 6 Dem .

Do notvtrustbthis polls by PPP or with huge Dem margins !

The Mormon population in NV is huge and very quiet but they vote .
Reid carried NV because he was Mormon !

The media hides that fact .


30 posted on 10/24/2012 7:54:09 PM PDT by ncalburt (Axelrod Psych OPS has gone to 24/7 non stop - "The election is over " status until Nov)
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To: KansasGirl

What was 2010 ?


31 posted on 10/24/2012 7:56:08 PM PDT by ncalburt (Axelrod Psych OPS has gone to 24/7 non stop - "The election is over " status until Nov)
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To: RightWingNilla
"Have we reached a critical mass of stupidity in this country?"

Yep! Pretty much!

vaudine

32 posted on 10/24/2012 8:02:51 PM PDT by vaudine
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To: Froggie

I agree with you and I live here in Nevada. Problem is all in Clark County, AKA Las Vegas.. out here in Pahrump its SOLID Romney, along with other rural areas.. but Reno and Vegas ruin it for the state which stinks. Our town had record turn out for early voting so far AND the good part is it was mostly Republican voters and we have also gained about 1000 new Republicans out here.

Hopefully the sheeple in Vegas will wake up and remember the words “You cant go to Las Vegas”


33 posted on 10/24/2012 8:20:40 PM PDT by eXe (Si vis pacem, para bellum)
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To: outofstyle

That’s because we nominated a moron, Angle, to take on Reid.


34 posted on 10/24/2012 8:43:10 PM PDT by muwarriors92
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To: cdchik123

In 2008, early voting stats in NV had a D vs R ratio of 51.5% of 31.3%. This year, it’s been 47.3% to 35.9%. A 20.2% difference has shrunk to 11.4%. Obama won in 2008 by 12.5%. While NV is not out of Romney’s reach, it appears to be tilting Obama for 2012. Romney is counting on independent voters to provide his margin of victory.

2012 NV early voting stats:
http://nvsos.gov/Modules/ShowDocument.aspx?documentid=2491

2008 NV early voting stats:
http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2008/10/31/early-voting-suggests-nevada-victory-at-hand-for-obama/


35 posted on 10/24/2012 9:06:28 PM PDT by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always.)
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To: muwarriors92
That’s because we nominated a moron, Angle, to take on Reid.

The non-morons knocked each other out.

36 posted on 10/24/2012 9:14:26 PM PDT by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always.)
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To: KansasGirl

2008 NV Exit polls

38 - D
30 - R
32 - I

2004 NV Exit Polls

35 - D
39 - R
26 - I


37 posted on 10/24/2012 9:16:46 PM PDT by MeanGreen2008
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To: cdchik123
Among those who say they've already voted he has a 61/39 advantage. Romney is up 51/46 with those planning to vote between now and election day...cute, but it doesn't say what percentage has already voted - probably not large in just one week - 51-46 is a pretty good edge for Romney if the number left to vote is large enough.......
38 posted on 10/24/2012 9:20:59 PM PDT by Intolerant in NJ
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To: eXe

I think Steve Wynn came out against Obama this year didn’t he? That should carry some weight.


39 posted on 10/24/2012 9:23:03 PM PDT by Duchess47 ("One day I will leave this world and dream myself to Reality" Crazy Horse)
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To: Duchess47

Wynn donated to McCain in 2008 and generally gives to R’s. He’s not donated a dime to Obama.

http://www.newsmeat.com/billionaire_political_donations/Steve_Wynn.php


40 posted on 10/24/2012 9:35:06 PM PDT by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always.)
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To: outofstyle
They re-elected Ried in 2010. I think RR ought to concede NV. They can, and will, win without it.

Screw that!

Romney/Ryan just drew a crowd of 10,000 in Henderson (outside Las Vegas). PPP is not a conservative organization -- anything but -- now is the time to fight harder. Get EVERY vote.

This BS about pulling out of states prematurely is the worst advise anyone could give. I'm proven right by PA, NH, and CO just to name a few.

Fight on, fight hard, make calls, go door-to-door. With a D+6 poll, we have every bit as much likelihood of taking the state as the Demonrats!!!

Dick Morris is right (he made the call in 2010) -- when you have the momentum, go bigger -- go for more!

Made sense in 2010, and it makes sense in 2012!!

41 posted on 10/24/2012 9:53:29 PM PDT by The Citizen Soldier (Peace is that brief glorious moment in history when everyone stands around reloading.)
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To: Duchess47
I think Steve Wynn came out against Obama this year didn’t he?

Steve Wynn came out STRONGLY against Obama about one month ago. He spoke with Sean Hannity for an extended segment and was EXTREMELY critical of Obama.

In particular, he indicated that he resented that the President was fostering ill-will between him (owner) and his employees, by constantly harping on the rich. Steve Wynn indicted that he has given his employees three raises in the past 18 months, at a time when business has been off (remember Obama was telling people not to visit Las Vegas).

I'm sure Steve Wynn has put his money where his mouth is. He may prefer to do it behind the scenes. No matter, he is an outspoken critic of Obama who has not pulled any punches!

42 posted on 10/24/2012 9:59:22 PM PDT by The Citizen Soldier (Peace is that brief glorious moment in history when everyone stands around reloading.)
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To: The Citizen Soldier

I think Nevada may surprise people this year and go Romney. There are a lot of folks here who really dislike Obama - we have no jobs, no tourists and homes being lost every second. There are the liberal idiots but I believe they are a minority.


43 posted on 10/24/2012 10:15:26 PM PDT by Duchess47 ("One day I will leave this world and dream myself to Reality" Crazy Horse)
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To: ncalburt

I don’t have 2010.


44 posted on 10/25/2012 6:26:02 AM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: cdchik123

Too bad about Nevada... it seems to be turning into CA’s easternmost county.


45 posted on 10/25/2012 7:33:57 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Record high turnout is our hope for sending 0bama home. Pray hard!!!)
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To: RightWingNilla
Have we reached a critical mass of stupidity in this country?

Apparently the streets are lined with government checks, EBT cards and Obamaphones out there.

46 posted on 10/25/2012 7:35:59 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Record high turnout is our hope for sending 0bama home. Pray hard!!!)
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To: Duchess47
we have no jobs, no tourists and homes being lost every second

Obama loves it when a plan comes together.

47 posted on 10/25/2012 7:39:32 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Record high turnout is our hope for sending 0bama home. Pray hard!!!)
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To: Republican Wildcat

“Even though this is PPP, it is consistent with the Rasmussen poll.”

Ras has Inds: R 59% / O 37%!


48 posted on 10/25/2012 8:44:48 AM PDT by WOSG (REPEAL AND REPLACE OBAMA. He stole America’s promise!)
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To: NYRepublican72

Could be wrong but don’t feel Wisconsin will be there in the end. Iowa and another string to get there...

That’s just my gut. I’d take WI though!


49 posted on 10/25/2012 12:27:46 PM PDT by romanesq (For George Soros so loved the world, he gave us Obama)
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To: NYRepublican72

I have the same numbers. A one state flip, or a IA and NV combo wins it.


50 posted on 10/25/2012 1:09:27 PM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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