Skip to comments.California Poll: 0 53%, R 41%
Posted on 10/25/2012 5:15:37 PM PDT by Arthurio
President Obama and Vice President Joe Biden maintain a lead over Republican challengers Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan (53% to 41%) among California likely voters in the upcoming presidential election. Findings were similar last month and in July. The second presidential debate occurred while the survey was being conducted. Likely voters nationwide remain closely divided (47% Obama, 47% Romney), according to an NBC/Wall Street Journal poll conducted at about the same time as our survey.
Overwhelming majorities of Democratic and Republican likely voters support their partys candidate, while independent likely voters are divided (44% Obama, 43% Romney). Obama led Romney by a wider margin among independents in September (13 points) and July (16 points). While both men (50% Obama, 43% Romney) and women (57% Obama, 38% Romney) prefer Obama, women do so by a larger margin.
Latinos (74%) overwhelmingly support Obama, while half of whites (42% Obama, 52% Romney) support Romney.
The youth vote played an important role in Obamas 2008 victory; in California, likely voters under 35 still support him by a wide margin (69% to 23% for Romney). A similar share of young voters supported Obama in October 2008 (65%). Voters 35 to 54 are divided (47% Obama, 46% Romney), while voters age 55 and older have a slight preference for Obama (51% Obama, 44% Romney). Obama has a solid lead among those with lower household incomes (63% less than $40,000), while about half of those earning more support Obama.
Majorities of likely voters in Los Angeles and the San Francisco Bay Area prefer Obama, while a majority of Other Southern California voters (53%) prefer Romney. Voters in the Central Valley are divided. Majorities of evangelical Protestants (58%) and mainline Protestants (53%) support Romney; Catholics prefer Obama. Those with no religion strongly support Obama.
(Excerpt) Read more at ppic.org ...
That breaks my heart.
Someone has to be on the front lines - I guess it's us. And there is nothing like our "fellow conservatives" for wishing we'd fall off into the ocean.
Dependable. Reliable. Kinda almost gives you the warm fuzzies after a dozen years or so.
This place, where I too still live, is circling the drain.
Reality is that California’s 55 electoral votes represent the singular reason any Democrat can be elected to the presidency. The GOP needs to start making inroads in the cities and California. It can be done but needs some creative thinking.
I think back to what Yoda said in Empire Strikes Back... “Slimy?! Mudhole?! My Home This Is!”
A question for whomever can answer it. How would the electorial votes pan out IF California let each congressional district pick (based upon voting in that district) to whom the districts EV goes? Would there be many or just a few EVs going to Romney.
I suspect that the “winner take all” system heavily favors a dem candidate. I think that CA probably has a great many congressional districts where a GOP pres candidate would win. Is this true?
That's up to you. If you want to live in a socialist hellhole, stay in California. I'd leave if I were stuck there and had the means to get out, but I can understand why others choose a different path. There is an argument to be made that states like yours can never recover if all the good conservatives bail. Kinda like the brain drain Cuba has suffered.
CA is just a gaudy more expensive version of MA. It no longer is a bellwether state.
True, but can you imagine if we forced the Dems to defend it?
Exactly. Voter education is the way. No educated voter would vote for the Communist Muslim. Is it achievable? I doubt it.
We feel bad for ya, but you can always vote with your feet. I think Reagan said that.
California will NEVER award its EV to a GOP national popular vote winner.
The day that ever happens, CA Democrats will swiftly withdraw the state from the so-called “popular vote” compact.
Texas and California have the exact same percentage of Hispanics (both 31%), what saves Texas is fewer Catholics, and more Evangelicals.
LATINOS = MEXICANS
My County will go for Romney.
Unbfortunately there are too many Obama voters in the other counties to carry the state.
So he's got four percent more support now among young likely voters than he did four years ago. I don't believe it.
You are correct. The majority of the state, geographically, is rural and conservative. The urban areas of Lost Angeles and San Francisco drag us into the sewer every time. Orange County used to be solidly, reliably, conservative - not anymore.
Changing demographics are a big part of it, but Anglos thinking it wouldn’t happen or ignoring the consequences greatly contributed to the “Changing demographics”
Young people can’t even get a job with a college degree. What’s to like about Obama?