Skip to comments.Gingrich on the Benghazi email trail [Newt says Romney wins w/ 300+ EVs and Reps take Senate]
Posted on 10/25/2012 8:50:51 PM PDT by JediJones
Over 300 EVs
Republicans take the Senate (including VA and WI)
NC is in the bag for Romney...VA and FL coming next
MI and PA starting to be in play
"Pretty optimistic" that OH is coming together in the right kind of way...war on coal has alienated segments of the state...he believes Romney will carry OH and Republicans will win the Senate race in OH
Greta chimes in, thinks WI will go for Romney
Obama is rattled, flashing back to loss to Bobby Rush, uncomfortable with thought of being an ex-President
Obama didn't show up in the 1st debate, was far too aggressive in the next two
Biden looked irrational in his debate, like he drank 5 Red Bulls (LOL)
(Excerpt) Read more at video.foxnews.com ...
Thank you very much for the links.
Will watch now.
fingers crossed and all that
Anybody have any real numbers yet to support these lofty predictions of a total EV blowout in Romney’s favor? Not trying to be a downer here, but I’m awful skeptical.
Well, if Newt is boasting about it, the GOP is screwed.
Ping for later viewing.
For political reasons they located an embassy in a dangerous country, for political reasons they refused to provide it security, for political reasons they refused to send help, for political reasons they refuse to call it terrorism, for political reasons they accused Romney of shooting off at the mouth for calling it terrorism, for political reasons they blamed a Youtube video for weeks, for political reasons they say the Republicans are the only ones who think this is important at all.
They put the re-election of Barack Obama above everything else.
He may be right. There seems to be a wave coming.
Don’t understand the pleasure you get in always badmouthing GOP prospects on here.
Anyway, I heard Newt on the radio Wednesday saying the internal polling showed Romney up 2 in Ohio and 1 in Wisconsin and the trend was moving heavily in his direction.
As long as he wasn’t bluffing, that is extremely encouraging news.
I watched the show...you did an excellent play by play report!!! Thanks!
Because of barry covering up the libya scandal Mitt is winning easily
The coverup is worse then the crime and barry should of known that shame shame shame lol
I have not seen the videos yet. Did Newt sound convincing about those predictions? Did he make good points about those predictions?
Just wonder, if that hurricane comes, it could dominate the news cycle and maybe freeze the race where it is. That could help make sure Obama doesn’t make a comeback.
Yes, and anybody with Twitter or Facebook or email or whatever should be pushing this Benghazi issue along with the economy of the US and debt.
Newt says if the polls are tied, that means the incumbent is losing. Yippy!
Wouldn’t a Romney blow out be hilarious?
A satisfying end to a mad administration.
Check out my blog The Obama Clarifier http://obamaclarifier.blogspot.com/
drip drip drip this is why barry wants the early votes
Newt is the best republican politician for pushing the GOP agenda, bar none. He is smooth, never loses an argument and is great on the stump. Romney could have picked him as running mate and then the debate with Biden would have been a total smackdown.
I think you could say Newt’s using Dick Morris methodology to get these numbers. He did say he’s basing it on years of experience in campaigns. He sounded less certain when discussing Ohio specifically than he did of the overall totals, could be my imagination.
Gingrich debating Zero would have murdered him..
Sure Zero would have had extremely nasty ads against him..
But the nastyness would have gotten sympathy because of the bile..
And then you would had Newts TV spots to highlight Zeros incompetence..
Newt would have decimated Zero..
BEYOND the polls, the other signs also point to a signifcant Romney win. Obama is losing it very frankly. A sitting president calling a challenger a “BS....” on the record. The #MyFirstTime ad is desparation and will backfire big time with women and indys.
Obama trotting out a 20 page economic plan 12 days before the election (and have the pages have his pictures on them). Big Bird, Binders, Bayonettes and Romnesia. Come on, O knows he is losing. Frankly I don;t really think he wants to be president 4 more years. But he cannot believe he is losing to Romney.
You're wrong about that.
His ego will NEVER recover from a defeat.
He's pulling out all the stops to win this election.
He said it was something Carville told him years ago.
He also said they just discovered a bunch of oil in Ohio waiting to be tapped and it would create thousands of jobs. Said Ohio could become the next North Dakota.
Hope he continues to pull out the stops, at this rate, he and the Rats will be over the cliff in no time with their latest ads.
Yes. LS, Ravi, and TonyinOhio have been looking at the numbers beyond polling. It may interest you.
Wait.... Sohhhh, you think this was political? /s
Why did they put the embassy there in the first place? It was not safe, the country was not stabalized.
—> They wanted to be seen supported the victors; they wanted Americans to see a foreign policy win
Why did they refuse it additional security?
—>It would tick off our “allies” and look as if we didn’t trust them, not such a foreign policy win after all.
Why didn’t we send help?
—>Hard to focus group in the middle of the night, besides Obama was tired.
Why did they blame a video?
—> Because Romney and Republicans were going hard core bashing the terrorists and they needed to show the country that the Republicans were wrong. Even if they weren’t. It only has to work until the election.
Everything about it was political
I did see some of LS’s posts re: early voting in OH sounds promising as hell, no doubt. I’m just wondering why it’s not being picked up elsewhere. Surely there can’t be some total media conspiracy blackout about the true electoral rumblings going on in that state.
We so pray!
He can't win. He must lose this election.
[ O knows he is losing. Frankly I don;t really think he wants to be president 4 more years. But he cannot believe he is losing to Romney. ]
Could be he (and others) believe they have screwed up the economy so bad it cannot be repaired.. along with much other malfeasance.. He may be expecting to loose.. and let the republicans receive THE BLAME for all he has done.. when they cannot fix it..
It depends on what Romney if elected has the BALLS to do.. Because it will take balls to do what needs to be done.. Little doubt RIOTS are already planned organized and will be orchestrated.. Maybe even some domestic terrorism to throw monkey wrenches into it all.. or even international terrorism or both..
It will take some massive BALLS to deal with this.. and huge unity among the republican Congress and the President.. I do not think the people that organized Obamas Coup D-Etat of federal givernment are STUPID.. They havn’t been so far.. Saul Alinskys “Rules for Radicals” has been pulled off like pure genius so far.. Romneys WINNING could indeed part of the plan...
God I hope I’m wrong.. but the progressives have executed their plans brilliantly so far.. and I doubt ANY REPUBLICAN is ready for the reverse logic of it.. Seems Annapolis is graduating morons these days.. Sun Tsu seems to be long ago forgotten..
“Well, if Newt is boasting about it, the GOP is screwed.”
He has years of experience and is a very intelligent man when it comes to politics. What do you have to offer?
It just really irks you to see the Kenyan losing. Why is that?
I think Rove yesterday on O’Reilly said something about Democrats’ normal advantages in early voting being much less this year.
I’ve no doubt that Democrat voting is indeed down and that their enthusiasm level this cycle is deflated compared to what it has been. I’ve also no doubt that Republican enthusiasm is way up. Nobody need convince me on either of these two points.
My skepticism is that this simply isn’t going to be enough come election day once the voting is tallied. That the political demographics of this country have irreparably shifted to the point where there will never be enough excited Republicans/Others to outvote the tumorous mass of Democrats/Liberals no matter how listless they are.
Honestly, I was rather concerned in ‘10 evendespite major GOP gains in the House as well as in Local/State offices around the countrythat the electoral backlash against Obama/et al wasn’t bigger, given all the recent public outrage against Obamacare and what not at the time. Yes, it was a good night that Nov. 2nd but frankly, all things considered, the aftermath nevertheless struck me as something too little, too late and left me with a “that’s it?” feeling.
What concerns me is that no president has won an election since 1980 without winning BOTH Nevada and Ohio. Yet Romney hasn’t been ahead in polls for either of these states yet. He can make up for that if he really can win states like Wisconsin and Penn., but that would make for an odd electoral map.
You mean other than the #s we’ve posted here for 2 months showing OH Ds ar off their 08 absentee pace by a net 175,000 ballots?
I’ve no doubts that D voting is way down this cycle. My concern is whether there’ll be enough enthused Rs to win, even with depressed D turnout.
Why don’t you look @ the nmbers instead of speculating?
It's simple math. It's possible for Romney to get to 270 without Ohio if he pick up several other smaller swing states. If he takes those plus Ohio, he's already up near 300 EV. Add in Michigan and/or Pennsylvania, and it starts turning into a rout.
Not saying it will happen, but the margins are tight enough in even MI and PA that a late break toward Romney does make it possible. Personally, I'm thinking Obama is rapidly approaching his floor of support and the middle-of-the-fence voters are going to break hard for Romney, better than the typical 3:1. Prediction: Romney 53, Obama 45 (Others 2) and Romney with 320+ EV.
FWIW, I did glance through some of your post history sometime last week after someone name-dropped you re: OH early voting, and the #s you were were posting do indeed sound fantastic.
If you’ve a comprehensive breakdown of the data posted anywhere, I’d be more than happy to look at it. Or likewise revealing numbers others have compiled.
I’m not really trying to debate anyone, I just don’t want to be perceiving this election through rose-colored glasses and waking up Nov 7th hungover from delusion.
Have at it. BTW, the last time I looked at this was Mon. or Tues., so there may be some very minor changes.
Ohio is where Republicans are spinning the most, and unfortunately some reporters are buying it. Take CNN, which headlines "Republicans point to early vote gains in Ohio."Based on what McDonald is saying here, I'm not so sure there's much chance of OH not going to Obama basically by default. Esp. when you've got 1.1mil Ds who voted in their meaningless 2012 primary, compared to ~1.2mil Rs (with some probable turncoats) who voted in their vitally important 2012 primary that should've had more of the base fired up. And considering OH only tabulates "Party" by "last primary voted in", this implies there's likely scores of D voters unaccounted for.
The primary source for this story is the Romney campaign, which is promoting party registration statistics to back up their claims. Only at the bottom of the story, does CNN's Peter Hamby write that Ohio does not have party registration. "Party" in Ohio is a record of the last party primary an individual voted in. Worse, Peter Hamby reports this as a he-said-she-said story, noting that it is the Obama campaign who points out Ohio does not have party registration, something he could have easily discovered on his own.
As of Thursday's report, there are 124,967 Cuyahoga registered voters who most recently participated in a Republican primary, or 13 percent of all registered voters. There are 17,133 such persons who have voted, or 21 percent of all voters. So far the story is mostly true; perhaps it is based on an earlier Cuyahoga report.
But what about the voters who last participated in a Democratic primary? They are 343,392 of all registered voters, or 37 percent. 49,720 of these folks have voted, or 60 percent. Comparably, a larger percentage of "Democrats" have voted early in Cuyahoga than Republicans, compared to their base registration statistics.
Before we draw that conclusion, let's understand what is really going on here. 2.4 million Ohioans voted in the 2008 Democratic primary, compared to 0.5 million in the Republican primary. Over the course of four years, some of these people were purged from the voter rolls. In 2012, 1.1 million Ohioans voted in the Democratic primary, and 1.2 million voted in the Republican primary. I suspect that there were a good number of Democrats who crossed over and voted in the Republican primary just because it was the more interesting race from the presidential perspective. In Ohio, all of these folks are now labeled Republicans. "Party" is so hopelessly confounded in Ohio that it is next to meaningless to divine who is ahead.
The Cuyahoga numbers do reveal something about early voters. They are highly participatory people who tend to vote in primaries. There are 458,193, or 49 percent, Cuyahoga registered voters who have no record of voting in any primary. Only 15,835 have voted so far, or 19 percent. Let me put this another way, people who vote the earliest are people who just generally vote.
If he wins all the 2004 Bush states except NM (5) and OH (18), then it’s a 269-269 tie. That includes Romney winning NV (6) and IA (6).
To break the tie he’s got to flip one of these 2004 blue states.
ME (at least 1 EV)
I continue to think NV is the most vitally important state for Romney to win. WI seems like the next one to go for, because it can make up for losing IA and break the tie that results from losing OH.
The fact that Romney is campaigning at all in ME tells me that he thinks he might lose OH. There’s no other reason to go for that 1 EV unless it’s needed as a tiebreaker, and the tie can only happen mathematically given the current swing states if OH is lost.
Yikes this is uncomfortably close if Romney’s up there scrambling around in ME for that +1 EV.
Glad to see Newt is welcome back on Fox:) I am on a pro Newt fb site and they are all supporting Romney now too.
Pray Newt is right! nothing scarier than 4 more years of Obommie the Commie.
I’m almost certain Obama’s camp has been anticipating a 2004-style election. All Kerry had to do was to peel off Ohio in 2004 to win. Hence Obama’s early and intense focus on that state.
Because of census shifts in electoral votes though, that wouldn’t put Obama over the top this time. He needs New Mexico, which he’ll almost certainly get, to tie it, and one other Bush state to win it. That one other state could be Iowa or Nevada.
The Gallup demographic polling posted today shows that party identification is almost the same as it was in 2004, way different from the Dem advantage in 2008, but with Repubs 3 points ahead of where they were in 2004. That’s a little cushion for Romney if true, but not enough to rely on.
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