For reference, Bush beat Kerry in Ohio by 2.1% in 2004.
Here’s hoping for a large national Bradley effect.
Very encouraging. Most polls even had Kerry at 50%.
Of course the “early vote” fraud wasn’t going on back then, but still, very encouraging. Thanks for sharing.
You should email this to Rush.
I am sure his listeners would love to have Ohio put into historical perspective.
Great post! Thanks!
It’s snowing in He!!.
The Columbus Dispatch endorses.....Mitt Romney.
It would be interesting to see the last week or two of polling before each firm’s final poll. Sometimes a firm will show a significant move in the results over this period of time, and often in different directions than other polling firms. Were the 2004 Ohio polling numbers leading up to the final polls all over the map?
Very interesting. Thanks for the research.
A tidbit: Newt Gingrich was on Greta last night and was making some wild predictions. He said it would be a Romney landslide, 53-47.
He mentioned his experience in reading polls, going back to his House days. He claimed all the national polls showing Obama at 45-46-47 are where he will be on 11/7. He referred it to the Carville model or something. But it is also what Dick Morris uses (as does the Suffolk polling).
Do the math.