Skip to comments.Iowa: O 50 R 46. (RIDICULOUS D+6 sample)
Posted on 10/26/2012 6:58:51 AM PDT by KansasGirl
· President Obama currently leads Governor Romney by 4 percentage points in Iowa, 50 to 46 percent.
· Governor Romney leads President Obama with independent voters by a margin of 48 to 36 percent. Both candidates received more than 90 percent support from members of their own party.
· There is a wide gender gap in this survey. Romney leads by 18 percent among men while President Obama leads by 23 percent with women.
· Iowans are divided nearly equally on whether they approve of President Obamas job performance. 47 percent approve of his performance while 46 percent do not approve of President Obamas job performance.
(Excerpt) Read more at gravispolls.com ...
2008 Exit Poll D 34, R 33, I 33
2004 Exit Poll D 34, R 36, I 30
If these numbers hold, Romney WINS Iowa. I seriously doubt the turnout will be Rat + 6 when even in 2008 it was only D +1!
Laughable on its face. So they are telling us that the electorate will be 41% D, when in FACT its never been over 34%?!!! Are you effing kidding me?
I agree it makes no sense! Democratic turnout in reality, will either be even or 1+. Romney will win IA.
The MSM has to go to farcical lengths to make O appear still viable.
With a D+6 sample and the best they can pull off is O at 50%, THEY ARE IN DEEP COW PATTIES.........
Gravis Marketing? Who are they and why does the press even cover them?
I was looking over the electoral map yesterday and was convinced that Iowa would go for Romney. After seeing this poll, I’m more convinced than ever. If the MSM has to go to these crazy lengths to keep the race close, that bodes very well for the Governor.
Can anyone answer this (rhetorical) question: Why would Americans, after ALWAYS voting their pocketbook, be any different this time around?
Needy Abused Girlfriend Syndrome (NAGS) again.
If you take the T&A out of GRAVITAS, you get GRAVIS.
Good analysis of thr numbers.
Wisconsin poll coming out later today which will be good news for Romney!
And they are all showing up on November 6th.
We’d be better served looking at the 2010 turnout for the corrected sample level.
“Vote like you’re buying chicken sandwiches!”
Is this outfit factoring in early voting? Hasn’t Iowa had a high pro-Obama tilt among the early voters?
I believe Iowa will go R&R.
One big problem in Iowa, though, is all of the satellite voting stations. 53 voting locations will be on college campuses, used by students (many from out-of-state) after celebrity/musician visits. The students will be in large groups subject to peer pressure.
The local news also showed a satellite voting location that was located in a Mexican grocery store.
Only 100 signatures are needed to obtain a satellite voting location wherever the Dems deem one would benefit them.
The two gender gaps alone are enough to throw out this poll.
Rasmussen is using a D+6 sample too. Almost every polling firm is picking up a fairly significant D+ party ID gap.
Of course, to prove they are not bias.
Except when Rasmussen polls specifically for party id, he gets R +2.
The demographics of Iowa haven’t changed that much in 4 yrs. Are you seriously suggesting that since 2010 the electorate has lunged left?
Holy crap. If this kind of self-delusion continues for another 11 days, the schadenfreude generated by the weeping and gnashing of teeth on the Democrat side with be more delicious than the finest steak.
I can’t wait to dig in!
Rebalancing this polls gives me a result of:
Romney - 49.9%
Obama - 45.2%
Which seems more in line with other recent polls from Iowa, which have shown a small, within the MoE lead for Romney.
My wife, newly registered Republican daughter and I went and voted early for Mitt in Crescent, IA the other day.
I don’t think the problem is the +6 (although historically that seems to never be the case). The bigger problem is D41, quite unlikely
I saw a little bit of a FOX show yesterday with a reporter for some Des Moines newspaper, that claimed that Iowa had a huge influx of Hispanics, with almost half of them registered to vote.
Another BS stat. National polls and other state polls have shown Romney has narrowed the gender gap down to single digits. Looks like they pulled this stat out of their ass.
And what change has occurred has been positive for Republicans. The number of active registered republican voters is greater than democrats for the first time in six years. Not by much, but more nonetheless.
Obama .... leads Romney ... 50 to 46 percent.Jeez Louise. How STOO-PID™ can the MSM get - don't answer that ;-)
Sample. D 41, R 35, ~~~
They continue to over-sample democrats, mirroring the national turnout like in 2008 but that will never, ever, EVER -- happen again. But since those percentages are the only ones that make Obama look like he's winning, the collective Ministries Of Propaganda keep using it.
Unfortunately there's too many uninformed voters, aka - democrats, that will believe the nonsense thrown out for consumption by the sheeple and when Barry goes down in FLAMES they'll naturally think something was rigged, the election was 'stolen', and the thug vote will start riots across the USA.
And the MSM morons like Chrissy Matthews will smugly sit back, 'confirm' something was up, and/or Obama lost due to racism and all the riots by 'Holder's People' are justified as 'whitey had it coming' for 'hating Obama just because he's black'.
So IMHO on Nov 7th everyone better Lock & Load. And the heck with any 'gun control laws' -- pack heat wherever you go for your own and loved ones safety. Even in 'safe suburbs' as there's still that Section Eight apartment complex close to your abode.
(you can take the thug out of Da Hood but you can't take Da Hood out of the thug)