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Gallup Daily: R:51 O:46
Gallup ^ | 10/26/2012 | Gallup

Posted on 10/26/2012 10:07:49 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer

Likely Voters

Romney 51% +1 Obama 46% -1 7-day rolling average

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; election; gallup; obama; romney
Gallup is back to being +5
1 posted on 10/26/2012 10:07:50 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: SoftwareEngineer
Uploaded from the Photobucket iPhone App
2 posted on 10/26/2012 10:08:31 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA (In a previous life I was ...)
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To: Ravi; LS; Perdogg; tatown; nhwingut; InterceptPoint; HamiltonJay; SoFloFreeper

They are back to being tied in Registered voters and President Obama’s approval numbers fell by 3% to 48%


3 posted on 10/26/2012 10:10:19 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: SoftwareEngineer

It’ll be 10+ by the end of next week. This on entering into the last weekend of October.

And with Gallup projecting a R+1 advantage for 2012, O will be crushed in a blowout.

Max O will get is 45% on November 6th.


4 posted on 10/26/2012 10:11:34 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

It’s over. No more analyzing and crunching. Time to soak in the end of America’s first dictatorship.

Woo hoo!!


5 posted on 10/26/2012 10:11:47 AM PDT by nhwingut (Single Issue Voter: Obama Must Go!)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Excellent.


6 posted on 10/26/2012 10:12:12 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: nhwingut

Don’t get over confident, let’s drive Obama’s numbers down more and get a mandate. Also, it’s still about the electoral votes


7 posted on 10/26/2012 10:13:43 AM PDT by wiseprince
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Nate Silver says this should increase Obama’s likelihood from 70.124 to 74.345 (the decimal places added to garner statistical credibility).

LOL!


8 posted on 10/26/2012 10:14:22 AM PDT by nhwingut (Single Issue Voter: Obama Must Go!)
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To: nhwingut

Nate Silver ....(snicker)

9 posted on 10/26/2012 10:16:56 AM PDT by BookmanTheJanitor
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To: SoftwareEngineer

This race is settling into its pattern, Obama won’t swing it back, too many people made up minds now.


10 posted on 10/26/2012 10:18:34 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: nhwingut

The time to soak in the end of Obama’s term is in the hours after the polls close on Nov. 6 - take umbrage but persevere. The time is now and the opportunity is at hand. GOTV + GO R&R GO!


11 posted on 10/26/2012 10:18:40 AM PDT by Steven W.
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To: FReepers
Complacency Delenda Est !


GO !

VOTE ! !


             

12 posted on 10/26/2012 10:18:45 AM PDT by tomkat
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To: BookmanTheJanitor; nhwingut

If Nate Silver is as good as he says he is he would be someone’s Karl Rove working in the back room.


13 posted on 10/26/2012 10:19:30 AM PDT by Raycpa
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To: goldstategop

Comes close to my prediction RR 55% O 45%.


14 posted on 10/26/2012 10:20:28 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: SoftwareEngineer
This is what election day is going to look like:


15 posted on 10/26/2012 10:21:32 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Government is the religion of the psychopath.)
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To: Raycpa

Nate Silver is all in. He is the hero over at the DUmp.

Every day that goes by he doubles down on Obama’s chances on winning.


16 posted on 10/26/2012 10:22:10 AM PDT by over3Owithabrain
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To: goldstategop

Is this using Gallups new R+1 formula?


17 posted on 10/26/2012 10:22:56 AM PDT by traderrob6
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To: wiseprince

Agreed. I want to see his numbers crushed.


18 posted on 10/26/2012 10:24:27 AM PDT by grimalkin (“Underlying most arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself.” Friedm)
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To: over3Owithabrain
Nate Silver is all in. He is the hero over at the DUmp.

Every day that goes by he doubles down on Obama’s chances on winning.

Makes for more entertainment on November 6th watching the crash and burn.

19 posted on 10/26/2012 10:26:07 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Raycpa

If Nate Silver is as good as he says he is he would be someone’s Karl Rove working in the back room.
++++++++++
Take a look at his website : Excellent presentation. Fundamentally good methodology using weighted polls. Statistical use of MOEs.

But ...

His bias ruins the soup. He favors D biased polls and weights them on the heavy side. He includes polls that shouldn’t be on any honest list.

In a nutshell: it’s garbage in - garbage out. So much talent, so few brains.


20 posted on 10/26/2012 10:27:58 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: traderrob6

Gallup does not use a model. They poll (a huge sample), and that is what they go with. They don’t weight.

What they are seeing is what they released today re: electorate makeup.


21 posted on 10/26/2012 10:28:19 AM PDT by nhwingut (Single Issue Voter: Obama Must Go!)
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To: goldstategop
Max O will get is 45% on November 6th.

If Bengazi gets worse for them and the Weather on the East Coast, does he languish @ 42%? That is my Million Dollar question. Again if Bengazi breaks open I think it will hurt them bigtime...

22 posted on 10/26/2012 10:28:46 AM PDT by taildragger (( Fubarward Obama 2012, think about it :-) ))
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To: InterceptPoint

Exactly who is this guy and why should we listen to him?


23 posted on 10/26/2012 10:29:54 AM PDT by surrey
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To: InterceptPoint
His bias ruins the soup. ......In a nutshell: it’s garbage in - garbage out. So much talent, so few brains.

He could have had such a bright future in climate science field.

24 posted on 10/26/2012 10:30:58 AM PDT by Raycpa
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To: grimalkin

OK, Might have to start Friday happy hour early.


25 posted on 10/26/2012 10:31:27 AM PDT by malos (Call Me Inpressed)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
This is what election day is going to look like:

Will they let you Vote with a CFA shirt on? LOL!!!!

Yes many here saw it as a pre-cursor to 11/6, including me, they have no idea what is about to hit them politically.......

26 posted on 10/26/2012 10:31:39 AM PDT by taildragger (( Fubarward Obama 2012, think about it :-) ))
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To: BookmanTheJanitor
I would love for Romney to beat Obama in a landslide on election day if for no other reason than to thoroughly discredit that limp wristed liberal Nate Silver. His predictions are the only spark of hope the left has to cling to and any poll I post on message board, I am immediately inundated by liberals with “Nate Silver” this and “Nate Silver” that. They seem to have defied him as the demigod of polling.
27 posted on 10/26/2012 10:38:16 AM PDT by apillar
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To: SoftwareEngineer
WE can win this if dems know we'll prosecute and jail those who commit voter fraud.
28 posted on 10/26/2012 10:39:36 AM PDT by GOPJ ('TRUTH is the Enemy of Democrat Thuggishness: Spread it like Napalm!' w/apology to Eric Allen Bell)
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To: surrey

You shouldn’t listen to him. He’s a shill.for the Dems. Talented but just wrong.


29 posted on 10/26/2012 10:39:58 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: ConservativeInPA

Looking good! I’m starting to believe that we in this time will save freedom and America by stopping this Muslim ,communist dictator called Obama and by electing Romney. Don’t let up , vote, tweet,post, call, it’s up to us to save individual liberty. This is America’s and freedom’s last stand.


30 posted on 10/26/2012 10:41:43 AM PDT by rurgan (give laws an expiration date:so the congress has to review every 4 years to see if needed)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

YES!

I knew the narrowing to 3 was only a temporary blip. Obama probably had one “good” polling day and Romney one bad. Now it’s starting to climb back where it belongs.


31 posted on 10/26/2012 10:45:13 AM PDT by IsaacDian
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32 posted on 10/26/2012 10:46:21 AM PDT by TheOldLady
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To: ConservativeInPA

Omg the approval/disapproval is even better new than the LV!

Yesterday there was a -2 drop in approval and +2 in disapproval and now we went from R+3 to R+5.

Today there is a -3 in approval and +3 in disapproval!! That’s a 6 point swing in ONE day! That’s HUGE! He was +11 in Gallup approval a few days ago, and now he is at 48/47


33 posted on 10/26/2012 10:46:33 AM PDT by IsaacDian
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To: ConservativeInPA

An interesting thing about that table - McCain was *NOT* the actual incumbent himself - when you see the LOSER with numbers 4x (45,46,47,48 in ALL polls) - and that candidate (Obama) is the INCUMBENT - that’s an added whammy when contrasting the 2008 vs. 2012 races :)


34 posted on 10/26/2012 10:48:56 AM PDT by Steven W.
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To: SoftwareEngineer

We need to get this up around R 54 D 43 and I would feel much better.


35 posted on 10/26/2012 11:15:09 AM PDT by Logical me
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To: traderrob6

Gallup does not use those weightings for polls.


36 posted on 10/26/2012 11:35:26 AM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: goldstategop
And with Gallup projecting a R+1 advantage for 2012, O will be crushed in a blowout.

Where do you see that? I saw they thought the electorate would be just like 2008.

37 posted on 10/26/2012 11:42:02 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: SoFloFreeper; goldstategop
"And with Gallup projecting a R+1 advantage for 2012, O will be crushed in a blowout."

Where do you see that? I saw they thought the electorate would be just like 2008.

The headline was misleading. Gallup was saying that the electorate would be just like 2008 -- demographically.

But, in terms of party ID, they were projecting turnout of 35D/36R/29I. More like 2004...only better.

Blowout.

38 posted on 10/26/2012 11:52:19 AM PDT by okie01 (THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA; Ignorance on parade.)
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To: SoFloFreeper
I saw they thought the electorate would be just like 2008.

The Gallup story mislead their findings. The electorate is similar (i.e. post grads, minorities, etc). But the party leanings have changed dramatically.

From D39/R29 (D+10) (2008) to D35/R36 (R+1) (2012).

From Dem/Lean Dem 54 Repub/Lean Repub 42 (D+12)(2008)

To Dem/Lean Dem 46 Repub/Lean Repub 49 (R+3)(2012)

Huge!
39 posted on 10/26/2012 11:52:30 AM PDT by nhwingut (Single Issue Voter: Obama Must Go!)
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To: wiseprince
Don’t get over confident, let’s drive Obama’s numbers down more and get a mandate.

The defeat of a sitting President by any margin IS a mandate.

40 posted on 10/26/2012 11:54:14 AM PDT by Mike Darancette (Obama didn't fix it.)
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To: nhwingut; okie01

Thanks for the clarification...I did not read that.

Now why the HELL would they headline it like they did?? If I were the editor of that web page, the BIG news is the turnaround in PARTY affiliation...NOT that there are *still* “x % of whites” and “x % of hispanics”, etc.


41 posted on 10/26/2012 12:18:52 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: SoFloFreeper

I am going to post this in a couple threads I am watching, because I just think it is important: Today I finally donated to the Romney campaign. My feeling was that if it came to this point and he wasn’t winning, my money wasn’t going to help. I figured that if he was tied or winning, it would help get him over the hump or help beat the O soundly. It really felt good to pour it on today. If you have been waiting around to open the wallet, now is a great time to give! Nothing scares the left than finding out that the Romney war chest is overflowing, and they will find out. It is almost as good as voting twice lol..


42 posted on 10/26/2012 12:49:00 PM PDT by Outraged At FLA
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To: SoftwareEngineer

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2950558/posts


Read the comments  -
AWESOME!!

43 posted on 10/26/2012 1:15:42 PM PDT by preacher (Communism has only killed 100 million people: Let's give it another chance!)
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To: SoftwareEngineer
They are back to being tied in Registered voters and President Obama’s approval numbers fell by 3% to 48%

Rules...

44 posted on 10/26/2012 3:54:38 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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Support Free Republic
b a m a
Campaign headquarters


Keep the pressure on the Lying Marxist

45 posted on 10/26/2012 4:02:24 PM PDT by RedMDer (https://support.woundedwarriorproject.org/default.aspx?tsid=om93destr)
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To: wiseprince
I donated again today....along with a few other races...I can't turn Mia Love down...

our motto now...HOPE AND PRAY for the CHANGE!

46 posted on 10/26/2012 4:26:16 PM PDT by cherry
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