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Swingometer: Gallup Party ID figures predict solid Romney win
Red State ^ | October 26th, 2012 | Neil Stevens

Posted on 10/26/2012 1:19:56 PM PDT by Palmetto Patriot

We always talk about the independent, swing vote in elections because those tend to be the persuadables. But party ID numbers matter as well, because those partisan voters tend to split better than 90/10 for their party.

It is for that reason that Gallup’s new partisan ID split, one that mimics what Rasmussen has been saying all along, predicts nothing less than doom for the Democrats, and a solid, national win for Mitt Romney this year.

Ignore Gallup’s headline. They’ve buried the lede so far deep, they’ll be fracking in Australia to bring it to the surface. Demographically the country hasn’t changed in a few years, naturally, but the difference between 2008 and 2012 is in the TEA party. The TEA party happened, dictated the 2010 elections, and has now resulted in a large partisan ID and registration shift in this country since.

(Excerpt) Read more at redstate.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: gallup; polling

1 posted on 10/26/2012 1:19:58 PM PDT by Palmetto Patriot
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To: Palmetto Patriot

Weren’t the SOCIALIST DEMOCRATS going to destroy the TEA PARTY with the OCCUPY OUTHOUSE COFFEE PARTY. I’ll have to make a point and ask VAN and THE FOREIGNER how that’s going.


2 posted on 10/26/2012 1:26:28 PM PDT by spawn44 (moo)
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To: Palmetto Patriot

“......predicts nothing less than doom for the Democrats, and a solid, national win for Mitt Romney this year.”

Such beautiful words.


3 posted on 10/26/2012 1:29:34 PM PDT by Gator113 (I would have voted for NEWT, now it's Romney & Ryan.~Just livin' life, my way~)
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To: Palmetto Patriot

4 posted on 10/26/2012 1:31:09 PM PDT by smokingfrog ( sleep with one eye open (<o> ---)
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To: smokingfrog

We can only HOPE and Pray...and vote


5 posted on 10/26/2012 1:33:37 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Palmetto Patriot

I believe that this will be a crushing defeat for Obama, and I hope that Romney has the stones to pursue criminal prosecutions of Obama, Clinton, Holder and the other cretins in this clown car of a presidency.


6 posted on 10/26/2012 1:34:40 PM PDT by patriotsblood
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To: Palmetto Patriot
The October Surprise scheduled for this election has been preempted. In its place we will bring you the Benghazi September surprise instead. We apologize for any inconvenience.
7 posted on 10/26/2012 1:37:55 PM PDT by fhayek
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To: spawn44

The difference? Occupy Wall Street was a fabrication, the Tea Party was real and true to life. Sure, some in the OWS movement were real and believed in their cause, but again, their cause was a fabrication and most reality based folks saw it as that... they’ve had two years to mimic the TP, but they had no lasting power, they are all washed up, all petered out... their effect was ZERO!


8 posted on 10/26/2012 2:18:59 PM PDT by dps.inspect (rage against the Obama machine...)
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To: Palmetto Patriot

My guess is that Romney voters are less likely to agree to participate in polls. I wonder how the pollsters control for that.


9 posted on 10/26/2012 2:28:33 PM PDT by FreedomForce (Lesser Evil 2012)
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