Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: fortheDeclaration
Well, let's check the #s: Adrian Gray has Rs leading early voting by .01 with 250,000 cast x 16 (5m less 1 m early votes=4m) or a lead of 1.6%. But you have to subtract something like 70-85,000 absentee advantage Ds had . So that leaves us about 45000 short. However, these are ONLY early voting stats ( which Rs lost huge in 08). If you figure Rs have a propensity to turn out on Election Day, then add 46,000 votes for every 1% advantage Rs have on Nov. 6. And then if Romney has ANY indies, they would pad the lead even more.

In short, Rs need a slight turnout advantage on Election Day itself to win (McCain got that, so I don't think that will be hard.) just a tiny percent advantage with Indies will get you to 52%.

21 posted on 10/27/2012 4:11:18 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies ]


To: LS

Thank you. Nov 6th is going to be very entertaining watching Ohio go to Romney.


24 posted on 10/27/2012 4:47:48 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson