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To: tatown

I hope the libs continue to ignore these polls and hold up the D+7-D+9 Ohio polls right through election day. It’s what we did in 2008.

Notice the meme now is that Obama can win EVs and lose national vote. I have seen several of these narrative-building stories in the MSM over the past 3-4 days.

Bottomline: If Romney wins the national vote by 3-4-5 it is statistically impossible to lose the electoral college vote. Only if the national vote is under 1.5% can this happen.


8 posted on 10/27/2012 7:14:42 AM PDT by nhwingut (Single Issue Voter: Obama Must Go!)
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To: nhwingut

I completely agree with you.

As I mentioned earlier, IF Gallup is correct and this turnout ends up being R+1 Romney will win this thing by 10+ points and every single state will be in play (including CA). FWIW, a poll released yesterday showed Obama at a meek 53% in CA and that number does not assuming a huge R wave....


11 posted on 10/27/2012 7:17:48 AM PDT by tatown (Obama was right, it was a 'one term proposition')
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To: nhwingut

I somewhat disagree, Obama can win with 2-2.5 point deficit in national poll, but it would be very unusual. Rasmussen has Romney back up by four national, which is outside Obama’s credible win the electoral college but lose the national vote window.

Saturday, October 27, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 50% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 46%


13 posted on 10/27/2012 7:18:07 AM PDT by barryobi
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