“This has me concerned if it is true.”
No need to be “concerned”.
I hope you’re right. From what I have read it is almost axiomatic that if the incumbent doesn’t have 50% going into election day they will lose because undecideds break for the challenger. If that holds, then Romney is golden. But I’ve also read that Obama is trying to overcome this with the ground game in Ohio that he has been building since he was elected. But early indications are that the Republicans have significantly cut the early voting edge the democrats had in 2008 and that the early voting Republicans are more likely to be “unlikely voters” compare to the early voting democrats.
Need more data to feel better.