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To: gswilder

Correct. Romney up 5 means he wins NH, NV, CO, IA, and probably WI. I dont think he’ll need Ohio ... but he’ll get it.
Ohio has voted within 1-2% of the popular vote for the last 4 or 5 elections.


28 posted on 10/27/2012 10:39:07 PM PDT by WOSG (REPEAL AND REPLACE OBAMA. He stole America’s promise!)
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To: WOSG

I so like the way you put it...Ohio has voted with the rest of the country in the past, within a very close range.

The way so many nervous Nellies and concern trolls put it, Ohio is determinative of how the country goes. Because somehow its electoral votes are gonna decide the whole election and we’ve got to be afraid that OH is going the wrong way from America.

Au contraire - your stated way is the correct one - OH mirrors the nation, it does not control it.


29 posted on 10/28/2012 4:28:32 AM PDT by txrangerette ("...hold to the truth; speak without fear". (Glenn Beck))
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To: WOSG

And the other thing these nervous types do - they confuse POLLs a couple of weeks, or one week, OUT from vote counting day, with the final ELECTION RESULT.

When we know that polls not only can, and do, NATURALLY change to reflect closing trends, but also that the pollsters change their assumptions as THE DAY nears.

They are trying to be close to RIGHT, because that represents their track record and is money - or not - in the bank next time.

So, rule of thumb, do not confuse polling a week or two out with final results.

You have it.

Wish (sigh) more on our side did.


31 posted on 10/28/2012 4:37:54 AM PDT by txrangerette ("...hold to the truth; speak without fear". (Glenn Beck))
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