Skip to comments.PPP (D) National Tracking Poll: R 49%, 0 48% - 0 job approval at 44%!!
Posted on 10/27/2012 9:30:16 PM PDT by Arthurio
PPP (D) National Tracking Poll: R 49%, 0 48% - 0 job approval at 44%!!
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
1200 LV, 10-25 to 10-27
If even the push-pollers like PPP have Romney up, BO is going to get trounced.
O is beginning to flatline - he could get 44% maybe less - its going downwards for the One and October isn’t history yet!
PPP poll ping. They must be shaking their fists.
I wonder how Obama has a 50% unfavorable rating yet still gets 48% of the vote.
More unfavorable towards Romney (a pox on both houses)?
Trend is positive.
“I wonder how Obama has a 50% unfavorable rating yet still gets 48% of the vote.”
Sure makes one wonder. It might be the weighting of the sample is wrong. If so, Mitt would probably be a couple of points higher going by the 50% unfavorable rating Obama got.
If this is a PPP poll, then I reckon the true numbers are closer to Gallup’s Romney + 6
Isn’t this the first time R has led in this lefty poll?
Also why did ABC/Wapo not release daily today. I saw in twitter they are releasing early Sunday(thu Fri), early Monday(thru sat) and 5pm Monday (thru sun).
Hurricane impacting them?
PPP? In real life, this is like Romney 60-Obama 38.
I don’t think PPP weights their polls, I think they just go by whatever the random sample of the respondents ends up being. Maybe Ds are more easily contacted in their samples, or more likely to finish the polling process, or there’s less Rs these days. Who knows.
Implosion is hard for these folks to report is why they drag their feet to report a Romney trend. This helps average out the cratering that increases now daily. I believe Gazigate IS getting through the black out around the fifth column.
Romney +16 with indies. Romney only +1. How can this be? PPP is expecting major turnout among the young, the moronic and the illegal I suppose.
Oversampling Dems, duh! that’s how.
Q1 The candidates for President are Democrat
Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney. If
the election was today, who would you vote
Barack Obama................................................ 48%
Mitt Romney.......................................... 49%
Their poll states D+3 (unless that’s a lie). Not much of an over-sample, and certainly better than most that have the election tied or Obama slightly ahead.
Nobody accused them of being good at arithmetic, or of being so ethical that they wouldn’t invite participants to vote twice.
In prior days of this poll, it had been as much as + 7 Dem.
This is a Thursday Friday Saturday poll with Friday and Saturday very much traditionally good Democrat polling days.
It doesn’t look good for the O’Bumbler.
D+3 is not as bad as many of the media polls out there.
The sample has whites - only 70% pf likely voters, which is below Gallup’s estimate of likely voters being 78% white.
This should be in the bag. After watching my football team get trounced by Notre Dame this evening these polls will help me sleep better.
Wow, Gallup’s Obama job approval # is also crashing, down 7 pts in 10 days.
The crosstabs, for once, aren’t crazy.
39% Dem is high, but in the range of normal. The last time Dems were more than 39% of the electorate was 1980, but they hit 39% in 1996, 2000 and 2008.
36% GOP is also in the range of normal. 2004 (38%) and 2008 (32%) are the only elections I could find since 1980 where GOP didn’t make up either 35% or 36% of the electorate. It’s quite remarkable how stable GOP turnout has been over the last three decades.
What I found most interesting is that PPP found only 46% with a favorable opinion vs 50% unfavorable. A candidate with a poor job approval rating can still win if people like him. PPP is suggesting Obama doesn’t even have that. Voters don’t like him and think he’s doing a bad job.
Like Rush Limbaugh says, even the most biased pollsters have to eventually show results that are somewhere near reality or they will be totally discredited after election day. That's why in these final two weeks we've seen many polls that had Obama up by a sizable margin, narrow substantially, by election day they will be in the same neighborhood as Ras or Gallup and all anyone will remember was they were pretty close on election day.
By the way, I don't think Obama was EVER up five or more points like many of these polls had him before the debates. I think before the debates it was probably a tie and now Romney has a five point lead. The entire goal of these liberal pollsters showing Obama up by a supposedly insurmountable margin in September was to try and knock Romney out early by creating the narrative that he was another John McCain who just couldn't win against Obama.
This is a lefty poll. The Kenyan is in deep doo doo.
Approve 44 and disapprove 52!?
Obama is underwater in approval in every poll, by a lot!!
Out of curiosity, does anybody know what ryme or reason Realclearpolitcs.com uses to decide what polls it includes in it’s average of polls. They seem to use the PPP state polls even though PPP is a democrat polling outfit, but they don’t seem to be using the PPP national poll. Also they use to include Reuters/Ipsos but they haven’t included it the last couple weeks. The only four daily’s they seem to always use are Gallup, Ras, IBD/TIPP, and ABC/Washpost. But then sometimes they’ll include some podunk college poll that nobody has ever heard of. Then last week they threw in both a Time magazine poll and a Zogby poll, neither of which I’d seen them include the entire year (and both of which were bad for Romney which brought down the average).
(and both of which were bad for Romney which brought down the average).
Which is the reason they were included. The whole idea is to keep people coming back by showing the race neck and neck. Kinda like watching a ball game. If the score becomes 10-1 you are likely to turn it off but if it’s 1-1 you are likely to stay tuned.
That's a rounding error. Not evidence of anything.
This is a DEMOCRAT poll!
Rounding. E.g., Romney 48.7, Obama 47.6, Other 3.7.
Rounding. E.g., Romney 48.7, Obama 47.6, Other 3.7.
PPP is a democrat polling operation, so you are right, Romney has to be up by a bunch.
I totally agree. The polls were used to try and shape public opinion instead of capture it. I never thought that was the case, especially in this terrible 4 year Obamaeconomy.