Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Minnesota Poll: 0bama 47%, Romney 44%
Minnesota Star Tribune ^ | 10-28

Posted on 10/28/2012 4:16:30 AM PDT by Arthurio

As the presidential race tightens across the country, a new Star Tribune Minnesota Poll has found that it is narrowing here as well, with President Obama holding a 3-point lead and Republican Mitt Romney making gains in the state.

The poll shows Obama with support from 47 percent of likely voters and Romney earning backing from 44 percent -- a lead within the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

Last month, Obama had an 8-percentage point advantage in the Minnesota Poll. Romney has apparently cut into the Democrat's advantage among women since then and picked up support from Minnesotans who were previously undecided or said they would vote for a third-party candidate.

(Excerpt) Read more at startribune.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: Minnesota
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; mn2012; poll; polls; romney; romney2012

1 posted on 10/28/2012 4:16:32 AM PDT by Arthurio
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Arthurio

Haha, this kind of backs up the Rasmussen poll from earlier this week which had Obama only up by 5.


2 posted on 10/28/2012 4:17:54 AM PDT by sunmars
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arthurio
Obama is pushing early voting because his lies are about to be exposed.

His approval numbers are dropping like a rock.

3 posted on 10/28/2012 4:18:40 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Admin Moderator

Headline should be changed to reflect that Romney’s number is 44%, not 43%. Thank you.


4 posted on 10/28/2012 4:18:53 AM PDT by Arthurio
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arthurio

What’s the Democrat oversample they had to do to get this result? 20?


5 posted on 10/28/2012 4:19:55 AM PDT by COBOL2Java (I'm not voting for Obama, so therefore I must be helping Romney!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arthurio

Most important number: Obama at 47%.


6 posted on 10/28/2012 4:21:59 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arthurio

An incumbent whose numbers are below 50% is in deep trouble.


7 posted on 10/28/2012 4:29:31 AM PDT by SauronOfMordor (To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize - Voltaire)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arthurio

MN turning purple?

O’s numbers must be falling on hard times if he can’t crack 50% in a traditionally Blue State.

Romney may want make a push here.... if only to force Obama to spend time and money to keep MN in his column.


8 posted on 10/28/2012 4:40:16 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arthurio

Dick Morris is starting to look like a polling maven.


9 posted on 10/28/2012 5:01:21 AM PDT by Kahuna
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: COBOL2Java
What’s the Democrat oversample they had to do to get this result? 20?

From the article:  In this survey, 38 percent of respondents identified themselves as Democrat, 33 percent Republican and 29 percent independent or other.  The poll results show a 3% lead for Romney because the sample was 5% over sampled for Democrats.

10 posted on 10/28/2012 5:03:20 AM PDT by expat_panama
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: expat_panama

I think that’s way too high... even with 1+ or 2+ Democratic turnout in MN, Romney is probably well ahead. NO GOP presidential candidate has carried the state since 1972.

And if the only way Obama is ahead there is by unrealistically exaggerating Democratic turnout, he’ll lose. Don’t write off MN.

It could be the upset surprise of the 2012 election!


11 posted on 10/28/2012 5:09:01 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]



VIVA LAS VEGAS



STAND

STAND

STAND


DOWN

DOWN

DOWN


12 posted on 10/28/2012 5:17:15 AM PDT by devolve ( ---- ---- ---- -CHEESEBURGER_CHEESEBURGER_CHEESEBURGER- ---- ---- ---- ---- John Belusi ---- ----)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arthurio
Minneapolis Star Tribune= pravda on the Missisippi.

CC

13 posted on 10/28/2012 5:47:44 AM PDT by Celtic Conservative (Q: how did you find America? A: turn left at Greenland)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arthurio
Reich tweets 73% of Republicans are "racist, homophobic" and more

Looks like the Liberals are getty loony with the thought of Mitt Romney getting so close to winning November 6th. Here's what former Labor Secretary under Bill Clinton, Robert Reich, tweeted Saturday afternoon at 4:24 PM:

http://illinoisreview.typepad.com/illinoisreview/2012/10/reich-tweets-73-of-republicans-are-racist-homophobic-and-more.html

14 posted on 10/28/2012 5:55:25 AM PDT by KeyLargo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arthurio

Hope it continues to narrow. Would love to see MN turn bright republic red! :)


15 posted on 10/28/2012 6:00:58 AM PDT by LUV W (All my heroes wear camos!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arthurio; LS; Ravi; tatown; nhwingut; ConservativeGuy; InterceptPoint; HamiltonJay; SoFloFreeper; ..

This is fantastic news


16 posted on 10/28/2012 6:13:45 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SoftwareEngineer

I get around the twin cities a bit more than the average joe. On Friday I counted a total of two oblame-o yard signs in St Paul. None in my neighborhood. Last time they were everywhere.


17 posted on 10/28/2012 6:17:44 AM PDT by shelterguy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: Arthurio

Good Lord! Obama at 47% in Minnesota!! If this is true, Romney may sweep the entire upper midwest!


18 posted on 10/28/2012 6:22:30 AM PDT by cotton1706
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arthurio

My staunch Dem, Minnesota lawyer step-daughter is not fond of Obama. Ditto for her husband who would vote for a Republican but doesn’t like Romney. My all-pubbies-are-evil step-daughter will vote for Obama but reluctantly. Which means there’s a lot of disillusioned Dems in Minny who might stay home on Nov. 6.


19 posted on 10/28/2012 6:28:29 AM PDT by driftless2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: cotton1706

I expect that. Michigan should turn red. Other states considered forever blue by the lamestream media will turn red, e.g., NM, Oregon. Ozero’s approval numbers starting to nosedive.


20 posted on 10/28/2012 6:30:00 AM PDT by Combat_Liberalism
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: Arthurio
Two thoughts:

1) Minnesota voting Republican is every bit as fool's gold as Pennsylvania, and at least Pennsylvania elected Republicans across the board in 2010 and now has their Senate candidate in striking distance. In Minnesota, while the Republicans did take over the House and Senate, the Demorcats won the governorship (albeit from a GOP candidate who ran one of the worst campaigns in memory), and it's been predicted that at least one of the chambers will go back to the DFL and our DFL Senator is cruising to re-election.

2) On the other hand, historically the Red Star poll is about 5 - 7 off the actual results, and as has been mentioned, the fact that Obama is under 50% bodes well. Minnesota also has 2 constitutional amendments that seem to be in position to pass - marriage amendment and voter i.d. amendment - which obviously makes it favorable for a split vote as well.

Bottom line: would not count on it going for Romney, but for a state that hasn't gone for a Republican since Nixon, this is as good a year as any.

21 posted on 10/28/2012 7:11:14 AM PDT by GreatOne (You will bow down before me, Son of Jor-el!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GreatOne
This is good news. It would benefit us in 3 ways for the GOPs, Romney/Ryan,super PAC to buy some air time in the closing days. Especially near Iowa ,where some polls have it even at 48-48%, and Wisconsin same there even at 49-49%.
I would even suggest that Romney and Ryan go there to Minnesota.
22 posted on 10/28/2012 7:34:39 AM PDT by Orlando (The Father Rights Support Romney/Ryan...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: GreatOne

This is an interesting poll. When everyone was all up in arms for the D+9 polling I went to Minnesota’s history. In 2000 and 2004 the outlying portions of the state are predominately Republican ( Even Wright county which is the stomping grounds of HH Humphrey ) So like always high concentrations around universities tend to get the groupthink.

In 2008 that trend was halted and many traditional red counties went blue. I am inclined to think that is not going to happen again.

Unless you are in downtown Golden Valley or St Louis Park I would like to offer I see hardly any sings at all! Romney or Obama sings are few and far between. I think I know why.

In Minnesota liberals can be downright MEAN. So if you put the RR signs up you are asking for trouble.. but we have more than our share of Road Signs that say things like “ think things are bad now wait to see what Obama can do in the next 4”.

Remember in 2010 we kicked and cleaned out the Democrats and put Republicans in the house and senate. For some reason Mark Dayton became our govenor.......I know I know....but if Minnesotans had not put the Pubbies in control of the house and senate we would have an upside down budget and would never have been able to consider a new Vikings stadium.

So think of 2010. There is still that momentum.


23 posted on 10/28/2012 7:41:55 AM PDT by olesrus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: GreatOne

This is an interesting poll. When everyone was all up in arms for the D+9 polling I went to Minnesota’s history. In 2000 and 2004 the outlying portions of the state are predominately Republican ( Even Wright county which is the stomping grounds of HH Humphrey ) So like always high concentrations around universities tend to get the groupthink.

In 2008 that trend was halted and many traditional red counties went blue. I am inclined to think that is not going to happen again.

Unless you are in downtown Golden Valley or St Louis Park I would like to offer I see hardly any sings at all! Romney or Obama sings are few and far between. I think I know why.

In Minnesota liberals can be downright MEAN. So if you put the RR signs up you are asking for trouble.. but we have more than our share of Road Signs that say things like “ think things are bad now wait to see what Obama can do in the next 4”.

Remember in 2010 we kicked and cleaned out the Democrats and put Republicans in the house and senate. For some reason Mark Dayton became our govenor.......I know I know....but if Minnesotans had not put the Pubbies in control of the house and senate we would have an upside down budget and would never have been able to consider a new Vikings stadium.

So think of 2010. There is still that momentum.


24 posted on 10/28/2012 7:42:22 AM PDT by olesrus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: GreatOne

This is an interesting poll. When everyone was all up in arms for the D+9 polling I went to Minnesota’s history. In 2000 and 2004 the outlying portions of the state are predominately Republican ( Even Wright county which is the stomping grounds of HH Humphrey ) So like always high concentrations around universities tend to get the groupthink.

In 2008 that trend was halted and many traditional red counties went blue. I am inclined to think that is not going to happen again.

Unless you are in downtown Golden Valley or St Louis Park I would like to offer I see hardly any sings at all! Romney or Obama sings are few and far between. I think I know why.

In Minnesota liberals can be downright MEAN. So if you put the RR signs up you are asking for trouble.. but we have more than our share of Road Signs that say things like “ think things are bad now wait to see what Obama can do in the next 4”.

Remember in 2010 we kicked and cleaned out the Democrats and put Republicans in the house and senate. For some reason Mark Dayton became our govenor.......I know I know....but if Minnesotans had not put the Pubbies in control of the house and senate we would have an upside down budget and would never have been able to consider a new Vikings stadium.

So think of 2010. There is still that momentum.


25 posted on 10/28/2012 7:42:45 AM PDT by olesrus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: olesrus

Dayton was elected (barely) because a former Republican ran as a third party candidate and siphoned off just enough votes to be a spoiler.


26 posted on 10/28/2012 7:52:31 AM PDT by daler
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: Arthurio

Whoa! MN has not gone GOP since 1972! Obama is in huge trouble when deep blue MN is in play!


27 posted on 10/28/2012 7:57:40 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: fortheDeclaration

Early voting also provides the opportunity to come back and vote again.. and again.. and again.. as opposed to voting just once on election day.


28 posted on 10/28/2012 8:24:09 AM PDT by libh8er
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: GreatOne
for a state that hasn't gone for a Republican since Nixon

Until yesterday the Des Moines Register hadn't gone for a Republican since Nixon.

29 posted on 10/28/2012 8:29:27 AM PDT by libh8er
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: driftless2

“My staunch Dem, Minnesota lawyer step-daughter is not fond of Obama. Ditto for her husband who would vote for a Republican but doesn’t like Romney. My all-pubbies-are-evil step-daughter will vote for Obama but reluctantly.”

See if you can subtlety suggest the virtues of 3rd party candidates are no vote at all :)


30 posted on 10/28/2012 9:07:34 AM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: COBOL2Java

38/33/29

The sampling is probably just right.


31 posted on 10/28/2012 9:15:05 AM PDT by MeanGreen2008
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Arthurio

The mental picture I have of the residents of Minnesota is hardy, self-reliant, big on personal responsibility, willing to lend a hand to a neighbor, outdoor enthusiasts and hunters, believers in the Divine.

Sam Campbell nature books. Guess there are not so many of those folks now.


32 posted on 10/28/2012 9:31:25 AM PDT by Roses0508
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


If you agree, please click the "Like"

33 posted on 10/28/2012 9:51:05 AM PDT by RedMDer (https://support.woundedwarriorproject.org/default.aspx?tsid=om93destr)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: catnipman

I know Obama is in trouble when all my liberal friends are lamenting the need for a third party. They would go to the mat for Obama a year ago but now that he has an indefensible record they are lost.

If Minnesota goes Republican I would wager California will go that way as well...which means that the house and senate are also in play for the Pubbies. I mean that! Why do you think Pelosi and Reid have been so quiet?...lay low and hope the storm does not take them out as well.


34 posted on 10/28/2012 10:26:39 AM PDT by olesrus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: driftless2
Perhaps you can suggest that she stay home in protest of a non viable alternative! ;)

In other news--stepkids--aren't they wonderful? (tongue planted firmly in cheek)

35 posted on 10/28/2012 11:20:03 AM PDT by AbolishCSEU (Percentage of Income in CS is inversely proportionate to Mother's parenting of children)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: Arthurio

I have posted two brief comments on the StarTribulation web site, and the censors have shot them down. Both are jabs at the Sec. of State, Mark Ritchie, (D-Acorn). My point is that Franken and Dayton both won by just enough votes.


36 posted on 10/28/2012 1:46:51 PM PDT by irgbar-man (had to sell my good tagline for food)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arthurio

Well over on Daily Kos, the staunch leftists are insisting Romney is gonna win Ohio, North Carolina and Ohio, and also that the media was too biased towards Romney in the 3 debates and that clearly Obama won the 2nd and 3rd one. Sounds absurd and inane, I know, but that is what they are saying : http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/28/1151644/-AP-Analysis-Obama-is-poised-to-win-the-election


37 posted on 10/28/2012 3:19:44 PM PDT by emax
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: emax

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/28/1151644/-AP-Analysis-Obama-is-poised-to-win-the-election

About 90% of the comments are about race.

What is the matter with these people?


38 posted on 10/28/2012 6:36:26 PM PDT by RightWingNilla
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 37 | View Replies]

To: Arthurio
Disclaimer: Romney isn't going to win in Minnesota. He has to overcome 30,000 to 50,000 dead Chicago voters to do that.

Nevertheless, this is the Minnesota Poll. It's owned by the Minneapolis Star and Tribune. They only poll Democrats i.e. Romney is within three among Democrats.

If you can ever elininate fraud in Minnesota, a conservative can have a respectable if losing result.

39 posted on 10/28/2012 6:46:56 PM PDT by stevem
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: RightWingNilla
Here is one post that stood out:
"The idea that this country would elect an ordained bishop president scares the s#!t out of me, and I don't particularly care which religion we're talking about. If only Mormons wore their badge of faith out in the open instead of under their clothes, I bet it would be a different story...."
He got some agreeing posts.

Socialists will always be socialists no matter if they are called National Socialists or Democrats

40 posted on 10/30/2012 4:34:41 PM PDT by Steve Van Doorn (*in my best Eric Cartman voice* 'I love you, guys')
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 38 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson