Skip to comments.Rasmussen Daily: SUN: 10/28: R:50 0:47 Obama -12%
Posted on 10/28/2012 6:34:32 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 50% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate,...
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Thanks, that kinda answers my question - and poses new ones.
On one hand, who really thinks Romney lost 6% of Independents overnight?
On the other, I’d like to believe that Obama’s support amongst Independents dropped 10% overnight, but where did it go? Back to “Undecided” I guess, since Romney’s numbers didn’t go up proportionally.
I think I’ll leave poll-analysis to your guys!
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Obama stuck at 47%?
Where did I see that number 47 before.... sounds familiar /s
That seems to allude to my thesis. I guess the under 40 crowd has not been battered enough yet or their drug saturated minds are to whithered to note they have no future with this asshat in office.
The only good news, is older people tend to vote!
Bengazi? Isn’t that the football team in Cincinnati?
And barely at 47% (46.67). If he drops a tenth of a point today, he’s back down to 46%.
Something looks odd:
Indies 35% * .25 = 8.75
Total = 45.89 (46%)
Indies 25% * .25 = 10.25
Total = 46.67 (47%)
35% = 8.75 but then 25% = 10.25. Did the sample size change? The other figures did not change. Just looks odd.
That was a typo. Its 41% (indie support) x .25 for 10.25. The math does not change. I do it in excel then type into FR. My data input error.
Thanks figure it was something like that.
How funny would it be if Obama lost w 47% of the vote?
See my post above. The Indie support for Obama today is 41% (not 25%), hence 41% * .25 = 10.25. The result does not change.
It was my transfer/typing from Excel to FR. I had 25% on mind (as that’s the multiplier). Sorry for the confusion.
Here is is again, edited.
Republicans 88% * .36 = 31.38
Democrats 11% * .39 = 4.29
Indies 58% * .25 = 14.50
Total = 50.47 (rounded down to 50%, but so close to 51%)
Democrats 86% * .39 = 33.54
Republicans 10% * .36 = 3.6
Indies 35% * .25 = 8.75
Total = 45.89 (rounded up to 46%)
Repubs 90% * .36 = 32.4
Dems 12% * .39 = 4.68
Indies 52% * .25 =13
Total = 50.08
Dems 86% * .39 = 33.54
Repubs 8% * .36 = 2.88
Indies 41% * .25 = 10.25
Total = 46.67
Just superb analysis from you! Simply superb, the breakdown you give on Rasmussen
Again, I do believe Scott is an honorable guy and as the President of Rasmussen Reports and a well respected analyst, he is fully entitled to his (well earned) opinion about the D+3 sample
However, by providing us with these internals, you allow those of us that think the election will be D+1 at best, to better formulate our numbers
Keep up the good work for the next 9 days. We are counting on you!
I read a lot of politics but don’t know what,”wymn”, means. I think I saw it once,but don’t remember the details.
Just moving the above sample from D+3 to D+1 changes the totals for today (based on your calculations) to:
This assumes a R/D/I sample of 36/37/27
Approval index gets worse for Obama, he goes up in poll. Obama’s approval gets better for him and he loses an overall point or two.
Funny. Yet I trust Rass.
Thanks for the explanation - great work!
(Hey, at least you know we’re reading your posts!)
All stays the same, the final score likely to be 52-47 (1% other). Benghazi story gets any real legs and it will go to 54-45. 45% is the Marxist’s floor. Unemployment report on Friday will have an unpredictable effect.
Misspelled: Womyn, the lefty way of saying women.
Hi noob! Everyone knows someone who is unemployed. That hasn't happened since...Carter. < / argument >
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