Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Rasmussen Daily: SUN: 10/28: R:50 0:47 Obama -12%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/28/2012 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 10/28/2012 6:34:32 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 50% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate,...

Read more

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: election; obama; rasmussen; romney
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-51 next last
To: nhwingut

Thanks, that kinda answers my question - and poses new ones.

On one hand, who really thinks Romney lost 6% of Independents overnight?

On the other, I’d like to believe that Obama’s support amongst Independents dropped 10% overnight, but where did it go? Back to “Undecided” I guess, since Romney’s numbers didn’t go up proportionally.

I think I’ll leave poll-analysis to your guys!


21 posted on 10/28/2012 6:52:39 AM PDT by bigbob
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: SoftwareEngineer

An Endorsement: America Needs Mitt Romney in Oval Office

The News & Advance is located at 101 Wyndale Drive, Lynchburg, Va. 24501.

http://www2.newsadvance.com/news/2012/oct/28/endorsement-america-needs-mitt-romney-oval-office-ar-2314480/


22 posted on 10/28/2012 6:53:38 AM PDT by KeyLargo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg

Obama stuck at 47%?

Where did I see that number 47 before.... sounds familiar /s


23 posted on 10/28/2012 6:54:31 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: SoftwareEngineer

That seems to allude to my thesis. I guess the under 40 crowd has not been battered enough yet or their drug saturated minds are to whithered to note they have no future with this asshat in office.

The only good news, is older people tend to vote!


24 posted on 10/28/2012 6:55:14 AM PDT by Mouton (Voting is an opiate of the electorate. Nothing changes no matter who wins..)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: Eric Pode of Croydon

Bengazi? Isn’t that the football team in Cincinnati?


25 posted on 10/28/2012 6:55:31 AM PDT by MaxMax
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

And barely at 47% (46.67). If he drops a tenth of a point today, he’s back down to 46%.


26 posted on 10/28/2012 6:56:27 AM PDT by nhwingut (Single Issue Voter: Obama Must Go!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

Something looks odd:
10/27 Obama
Indies 35% * .25 = 8.75
Total = 45.89 (46%)

10/28 Obama

Indies 25% * .25 = 10.25
Total = 46.67 (47%)

35% = 8.75 but then 25% = 10.25. Did the sample size change? The other figures did not change. Just looks odd.


27 posted on 10/28/2012 7:11:45 AM PDT by jafojeffsurf (Return to the Constitution)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: jafojeffsurf

That was a typo. Its 41% (indie support) x .25 for 10.25. The math does not change. I do it in excel then type into FR. My data input error.


28 posted on 10/28/2012 7:14:30 AM PDT by nhwingut (Single Issue Voter: Obama Must Go!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

Thanks figure it was something like that.


29 posted on 10/28/2012 7:16:07 AM PDT by jafojeffsurf (Return to the Constitution)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: SoftwareEngineer

How funny would it be if Obama lost w 47% of the vote?


30 posted on 10/28/2012 7:18:36 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bigbob

See my post above. The Indie support for Obama today is 41% (not 25%), hence 41% * .25 = 10.25. The result does not change.

It was my transfer/typing from Excel to FR. I had 25% on mind (as that’s the multiplier). Sorry for the confusion.

Here is is again, edited.

10/27
Romney
Republicans 88% * .36 = 31.38
Democrats 11% * .39 = 4.29
Indies 58% * .25 = 14.50
Total = 50.47 (rounded down to 50%, but so close to 51%)

Obama
Democrats 86% * .39 = 33.54
Republicans 10% * .36 = 3.6
Indies 35% * .25 = 8.75
Total = 45.89 (rounded up to 46%)

10/28
Romney
Repubs 90% * .36 = 32.4
Dems 12% * .39 = 4.68
Indies 52% * .25 =13
Total = 50.08

Obama
Dems 86% * .39 = 33.54
Repubs 8% * .36 = 2.88
Indies 41% * .25 = 10.25
Total = 46.67


31 posted on 10/28/2012 7:20:14 AM PDT by nhwingut (Single Issue Voter: Obama Must Go!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut; Arthurio; LS; Ravi; tatown; InterceptPoint; Perdogg; ConservativeGuy; HamiltonJay; jrg; ..

NHWingUT,

Just superb analysis from you! Simply superb, the breakdown you give on Rasmussen

Again, I do believe Scott is an honorable guy and as the President of Rasmussen Reports and a well respected analyst, he is fully entitled to his (well earned) opinion about the D+3 sample

However, by providing us with these internals, you allow those of us that think the election will be D+1 at best, to better formulate our numbers

Keep up the good work for the next 9 days. We are counting on you!

God Bless!


32 posted on 10/28/2012 7:24:16 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Chickenshit Barry


33 posted on 10/28/2012 7:25:27 AM PDT by devolve ( ---- ---- ---- -CHEESEBURGER_CHEESEBURGER_CHEESEBURGER- ---- ---- ---- ---- John Belusi ---- ----)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Mouton

I read a lot of politics but don’t know what,”wymn”, means. I think I saw it once,but don’t remember the details.


34 posted on 10/28/2012 7:28:03 AM PDT by StandAndDeliver1
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut; Arthurio; LS; Ravi; tatown; InterceptPoint; Perdogg; ConservativeGuy; HamiltonJay; jrg; ..

NHWingUT,

Just moving the above sample from D+3 to D+1 changes the totals for today (based on your calculations) to:

R: 50.88
O: 45.77

51-46

This assumes a R/D/I sample of 36/37/27


35 posted on 10/28/2012 7:30:46 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: SoftwareEngineer

Approval index gets worse for Obama, he goes up in poll. Obama’s approval gets better for him and he loses an overall point or two.

Funny. Yet I trust Rass.


36 posted on 10/28/2012 7:33:47 AM PDT by Jake8898
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

Thanks for the explanation - great work!

(Hey, at least you know we’re reading your posts!)


37 posted on 10/28/2012 7:35:32 AM PDT by bigbob
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: SoftwareEngineer

All stays the same, the final score likely to be 52-47 (1% other). Benghazi story gets any real legs and it will go to 54-45. 45% is the Marxist’s floor. Unemployment report on Friday will have an unpredictable effect.


38 posted on 10/28/2012 7:37:12 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

To: StandAndDeliver1

Misspelled: Womyn, the lefty way of saying women.


39 posted on 10/28/2012 7:50:24 AM PDT by Mouton (Voting is an opiate of the electorate. Nothing changes no matter who wins..)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]

To: BlueStateRightist
"Well, remember there will be a doctored unemployment rate released by the Ministry of Labor Disinformation at the end of the week. Romney needs to build a better cushion by Friday."

Hi noob! Everyone knows someone who is unemployed. That hasn't happened since...Carter. < / argument >

40 posted on 10/28/2012 8:03:13 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, CO, IA, NH = 285EV)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-51 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson