C’mon. Does anybody really believe that Romney is going to get only 88-90% of the GOP vote? Historically it’s has been 94-95% of GOP base. However, Obama is beginning to have a base problem with 11-12% of Dem vote going to Romney. This should up the Romney lead another 2.0-2.5 pts.
Agreed. If Romney can get the base support up to even 93% (which is the historical base number for Repubs - even McCain got 93% as did Bush in 2004), that’s an extra point overall.