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Dem warning: Obama could lose Wisconsin
The Washington Examiner ^ | 10/28/12 | Alan Blinder

Posted on 10/28/2012 2:30:11 PM PDT by markomalley

The Democratic mayor of Denver said Sunday that President Obama could lose the battleground state of Wisconsin if the incumbent’s supporters fail to increase early voter turnout in the Badger State.

“If the election was held today, President Barack Obama would lose the state of Wisconsin because where his base is, we have not turned out the vote early," Mayor Michael Hancock told a Democratic rally. "The suburbs and rural parts of Wisconsin – the Republican base – are voting. President Obama’s base has yet to go vote.

"We've got to get our people to go vote," Hancock said.

Early voting, which began in Wisconsin on Oct. 22, is a central component of Obama’s strategy to win the state. The president won Wisconsin four years ago by 14 percentage points, but recent polls show the race with Republican Mitt Romney tightening, and that is fueling Republican enthusiasm about their chances of seizing the state.

In a later interview with The Washington Examiner, Hancock said he was confident Obama would emerge from Wisconsin victorious.

“There’s a great deal of enthusiasm,” Hancock said. “We expect clearly that President Obama will win the state of Wisconsin.”

But he also said that it’s vital for Obama’s base to make it to the polls in Wisconsin.

“This is a very close race, and the point we’re trying to make is make sure the base shows up, turns out and begins to vote early,” Hancock said. “I saw where the votes were rolling in, and I said we’ve got to make sure that where the president’s base is, they get out and vote.”

Hancock was in Wisconsin to stump for Obama, but the Obama campaign said their surrogates portrayal of where the race stands doesn't match the early voting statistics they've seen.

“We are very grateful that Mayor Hancock came and did what we need to do, which is keep people enthused. He is absolutely right that we have to get our base out,” Joe Zepecki, a spokesman for Obama’s campaign in Wisconsin, said. “But the numbers we are seeing do not back up his assessment that our base is not turning out.”

Zepecki said the campaign remains optimistic nine days from Election Day.

“We are seeing a lot of enthusiasm and a lot of turnout in the places where we need to see it,” Zepecki said. “We’re very confident.”


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: 2012swingstates; bho2012; wi2012
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To: markomalley

21 posted on 10/28/2012 3:09:28 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: Reaganez

Early voting is easier to fraud up.


22 posted on 10/28/2012 3:20:36 PM PDT by Thebaddog (Remember, Obama said he's only 60% done with his agenda.)
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To: Reaganez

The more people they can get to vote early, the less people they have to round up on election day. So they can stretch their resources further.

But Romney is doing this as well, so no advantage to Dems on this.


23 posted on 10/28/2012 3:30:03 PM PDT by randita
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To: markomalley

amazing if true.

could be the desperate Dems trying to GOTV


24 posted on 10/28/2012 3:35:03 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: markomalley

Say it ain’t so, Joe.


25 posted on 10/28/2012 3:39:09 PM PDT by CPT Clay (Follow me on Twitter @Clay N TX)
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To: CPT Clay

They haven’t voted early in Wisconsin because they are still on the buses coming back from voting early in Ohio.


26 posted on 10/28/2012 3:47:13 PM PDT by Glenmore
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To: markomalley

Uh Mikey, why don’t you focus your efforts on your home state which had the exact date of early voting? Or better yet, get Denver’s house in order before venturing into someone else’s state
Oh that’s right, because CO is going Romney regardless of attempts of fraud


27 posted on 10/28/2012 4:02:17 PM PDT by ebersole
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To: markomalley
we have not turned out the vote early

What on earth does early voting have to do with it?
28 posted on 10/28/2012 4:14:27 PM PDT by andyk (I have sworn...eternal hostility against every form of tyranny over the mind of man.)
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To: markomalley

Will lose Wisconsin.... I am also expecting something totally unexpected...something like victory in PA or MI which will then negate the significance of the Ohio vote.


29 posted on 10/28/2012 4:20:00 PM PDT by 3Fingas (Sons and Daughters of Freedom, Committee of Correspondence)
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To: markomalley

“The Democratic mayor of Denver said Sunday that President Obama could lose the battleground state of Wisconsin if the incumbent’s supporters fail to increase early voter turnout in the Badger State”

Great news!

no sense for u rats to vote now. waste of your time. the state is a battleground and you might get hurt or something.

just smoke your dope and go to bed.

blessings, bobo


30 posted on 10/28/2012 4:22:58 PM PDT by bobo1
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To: Verginius Rufus

You homeless folks can cough to death once you vote..

The Daley machine in Chicago held a Irish Stew Dinner in skid Row in Chicago on election day in the late 50’s..

They were swamped and it appeared to have worked too well.. They ran out of food in mid afternoon, and they had hardly any meat in it when they resupplied in the early evening..

You could see the emotions start to become ominous, as the tempers grew.. When the tables started to get flipped, the big Irish Cops started to beat the bums with billy clubs..

When it was cleared up and hundreds were ushered away in paddy wagons it was already known that they would never do it again.. HA!


31 posted on 10/28/2012 4:41:54 PM PDT by carlo3b (Less Government, more Fiber..)
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To: 3Fingas

Let’s root for the Giants to sweep the Tigers in the World Series tonight.
Many Zero voters in Michigan will be too bummed to vote. Every little bit of irrationality helps in close elections...


32 posted on 10/28/2012 5:19:33 PM PDT by rfp1234
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To: rfp1234

I was kind of happy for Detroit. They would have something to cheer about. Not much of that going on today in that wonderful failed experiment of a city. But, it looks like they may come out of the World Series more depressed than ever.


33 posted on 10/28/2012 5:27:42 PM PDT by 3Fingas (Sons and Daughters of Freedom, Committee of Correspondence)
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To: 3Fingas
Not just the Tigers; the Red Wings will probably have the whole season cancelled by the NHL lockout (+ the big-revenue outdoor Winter Classic at the UM football stadium.)

I like both teams, but I'm just disappointed that a great owner / pizza businessman like Mike Ilitch is a Zerobama supporter.

34 posted on 10/28/2012 5:44:01 PM PDT by rfp1234
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To: muawiyah
Astute and succinct at the same time.

Consider yourself *highly* recommended.

Cheers!

35 posted on 10/28/2012 5:45:19 PM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: Reaganez

They are becoming unhinged!

How sweet it is.


36 posted on 10/28/2012 5:48:36 PM PDT by Gumdrop
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To: markomalley

Considering that Ryan is from Wisconsin, the state should be a near-lock for Romney.


37 posted on 10/28/2012 5:49:25 PM PDT by Teacher317 ('Tis time to fear when tyrants seem to kiss.)
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To: 3Fingas

There is no way Romney wins either Ohio, PA or MI and then loses Wisconsin.

Of those four states, Romney has his best shot here, hitching onto the Scott Walker machine.


38 posted on 10/28/2012 5:59:40 PM PDT by SteveAustin
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To: zencycler
I've been enjoying RealClearPolitics.com and their polling graphics.

They show the Electoral College as 201-191 (if you include the leaning plus likely plus locks) with 146 undecided.

Incumbents are generally told to worry if they're polling under 50% before the election, because they drop 1-3% after the votes are counted, and rarely get the majority of the undecideds. Obama has not been over 50% in quite a long time.

Obama would have to get at least 69 of the remaining 146 undecided states to win the Electoral College. I don't see that happening. The Left is just having pipe dreams about winning one split that way to "make up for" 2000. They're infantile, nothing more.

The 146 Electoral College votes that are "undecided":
Florida (29)
Pennsylvania (20)
Ohio (18)
Michigan (16)
North Carolina (15)
Virginia (13)
Wisconsin (10)
Colorado (9)
Nevada (6)
Iowa (6)
New Hampshire (4)

Romney needs 79 of those. Obama needs 69. Hence, Obama has an "easier" road. No one state means that the rival needs to "run the table"... but FL + PA + OH puts Obama within 2 votes. Just sayin'.

Personally, I see MI as Obama's (too much fraud in Detroit), along with CO, NV (Reid's machine), and NH. I also see WI as Romney's (Ryan is from WI), along with NC and IA. That makes it 236-222 Obama, with 4 states left to call - OH, PA, FL, and VA (80 total). If I'm right, Obama needs FL and one other... or all 3 (OH, PA, and VA) without FL.

Since it's close, watch for the MSM to NOT call ANY states until after ALL polls are closed (because they are soooo ethical)... unlike what they did in 2008, when Obama needed the assist.

39 posted on 10/28/2012 6:02:18 PM PDT by Teacher317 ('Tis time to fear when tyrants seem to kiss.)
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To: SteveAustin

Agreed. Supposedly the Republican ground game in your state is a well-oiled machine due to the Walker recall efforts.


40 posted on 10/28/2012 6:03:34 PM PDT by 3Fingas (Sons and Daughters of Freedom, Committee of Correspondence)
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