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RCP Watch: Battle for the Senate
RCP ^ | 10/29/12 | RCP

Posted on 10/29/2012 10:23:32 AM PDT by Eccl 10:2

Moving our way again! Was D-48 R-43 Tossups-9. Now D-46, R-44, Tossups-10.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: senate
Tossups:

AZ: Open (R) CT: Open (D) IN: Open (R) MA: Brown (R) MO: McCaskill (D) MT: Tester (D) NV: Heller (R) OH: Brown (D) VA: Open (D) WI: Open (D)

1 posted on 10/29/2012 10:23:32 AM PDT by Eccl 10:2
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To: Eccl 10:2; Political Junkie Too
 
10/28/12 Race for the U.S. Senate Ranked Roughly From Most to Least Likely GOP Win

State

Republican Candidate Democrat/IND Candidate Hold OR Gain
NE* Debra Fischer Bob Kerrey GAIN
ND* Rick Berg Heidi Heitcamp GAIN
WI* Tommy Thompson Tammy Baldwin GAIN
NV Dean Heller+ Shelley Berkley HOLD
IN* Richard Mourdock Joe Donnelly HOLD
AZ* Jeff Flake Richard Carmona HOLD
MT Denny Rehberg Jon Tester GAIN
MA Scott Brown+ Elizabeth Warren HOLD
VA* George Allen Tim Kaine GAIN
OH Josh Mandel Sherrod Brown+ GAIN
FL Connie Mack Bill Nelson+ GAIN
CT* Linda McMahon Chris Murphy GAIN
PA Tom Smith Bob Casey+ GAIN
MO Todd Akin Claire McCaskill+ GAIN
MI Pete Hoekstra Debbie Stabenow+ GAIN
NM* Heather Wilson Martin Heinrich GAIN
HI* Linda Lingle Mazie Hirono GAIN
ME* Charles Summers Angus King (Ind.) HOLD
*Open Seat          +Incumbent  

 

2 posted on 10/29/2012 10:42:34 AM PDT by randita
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To: Eccl 10:2

Using the RCP average is a waste of time.

Go Check Rassmusen and you’ll see that it’s straight up 50/50, with the 6 tossups objectively split.

Ryan will be very busy!


3 posted on 10/29/2012 11:24:15 AM PDT by G Larry (Which of Obama's policies do you think I'd support if he were white?)
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To: G Larry

Anecdotal:

A campaign event for Tammy Baldwin and Jennifer Schilling (who ousted Dan Kapanke for his State Senate seat in the WI recall last year, got to complete his term and now must win again)at a downtown coffee shop in La Crosse, had, as of an hour ago, 10 people attending.

The restaurant in La Crosse that has long been the DNC HQ or HQ annex, The Bodega, has no campaign posters on its exterior this time. Likely, it really hurt their business and they aren’t risking that, for 0 or any of the others.

This is SW WI.


4 posted on 10/29/2012 11:32:54 AM PDT by reformedliberal
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To: G Larry

Update on the La Crosse Baldwin-Shilling campaign event:

They finally just closed & locked the DNC local HQ and brought everyone over to the coffee shop so they would have a *crowd*.


5 posted on 10/29/2012 7:32:43 PM PDT by reformedliberal
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