In U.S., 15% of Registered Voters Have Already Cast Ballots (Romney leads 52 to 45 per Gallup!)

Gallup ^ | 10/29 | Gallup

[tatown]

Romney currently leads Obama 52% to 45% among voters who say they have already cast their ballots. However, that is comparable to Romney's 51% to 46% lead among all likely voters in Gallup's Oct. 22-28 tracking polling. At the same time, the race is tied at 49% among those who have not yet voted but still intend to vote early, suggesting these voters could cause the race to tighten. However, Romney leads 51% to 45% among the much larger group of voters who plan to vote on Election Day, Nov. 6.

[RoseofTexas]

Just voted today and I have to tell you there was a steady stream of people going and coming from the voting building. I live in a very staunch RAT part of Texas and it’s scary when you see so many folk voting and you know EXACTLY who they are voting for. Don’t underestimate Obumber’s voting block...they will turn out and what I saw they ARE voting. WE HAVE TO OUT NUMBER THEM...so start encouraging folk on our side to VOTE. I hope this lights a fire under our feet and GTVO!!

[Windflier]

"Romney leads 51% to 45% among the much larger group of voters who plan to vote on Election Day, Nov. 6."

[tatown]

Just seen a report this weekend from a local Houston publication that shows McCain counties early voters are up 13% from 2008 while Obama areas are slightly down.

[LS]

It’s been fun, although I’m math challenged so all the numbers are formidable. Romney was to have been here in Dayton tonight and I had front row seats-—would have been the third US president I saw-—Reagan, Bush (in the Oval Office), and Romney.

[Windflier]

First it was Obama blowing out numbers, now it’s Romney, at the end of the day it is a survey of people who could be blowing smoke, since nobody that I am aware of can share actual results of early votes until election night. Count me skeptical.

[Windflier]

i think you can be safe to say that Obama will declare a national emergency and cancel elections due to Sandy.

Please stop repeating that paranoid, panty wetting delusion.

The POTUS does not have the power to cancel or postpone a national election. If he even tried, he'd likely spark the 2nd American Revolution, and cause the total dissolution of the US government.

Read your US Constitution and bone up on this. If that doesn't convince you, then bone up on gun sales over the last four years.

[2111USMC]

I wonder how many of these early “Democrat” voters are actually pulling the lever for RR?

I don’t think we should assume that all of them are going to vote strictly by party affiliation.

[Ravi]

CO R’s ahead by 2.5 %. For OH, I’ll post updates later tonite - we have definitely breached their early voting firewall by reducing their advantage. I can show you this.

Rose, i voted in tarrant county this weekend. You can vote in any county polling place. We happened to be in downtown on saturday and voted at a close to downtown location. High AA population. Anecdotal, but we were in and out in 10 minutes.

[SoftwareEngineer]

This poll is very interesting as the data is obviously collated from their daily samples that they use for the daily update

So, two things strike me as unusual about Gallup:

1. They are obviously quite willing to stick their neck out with the +5 Republican outcome in the final election. They are getting this due to not applying a screen. They must be pretty confident to go this route

2. They must be polling very heavily in certain regions on certain days. Nothing else can explain the huge shifts in Presidential approvals each day. However, some of you will argue that if the approvals shift so much, why does the race stay broadly stable. I would argue that shows the Independents and Democrats. People who are willing to say “Somewhat approve” about the President but when pushed into making a choice, they say “Governor Romney”. I call these guys the “he is not bad.. but we could do better” group

In 8 days we find out if Frank Newport is a Freeper like us and has been drinking our Kool Aid or if we here on FR are geniuses and Frank Newport knows that Nate Silver is a hack.

[SoftwareEngineer]

I voted in the safe comfort of NE Tarrant County :-)

[RedMDer]

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[tatown]

1. Nate Silver isn’t a pollster, he’s a number scrambler.

2. Gallup’s position is a much less popular position thus requiring a bigger pair of vegetables to defend.

3. Gallup has a long standing reputation and a hell of a lot more experience than Silver.

I’ll go with Gallup (and Ed Goeas) on this one.

[neveralib]

Me, me, me. Count me as one of them in Florida.

And my vote was not for the fascist, commie, either or for any other "RAT" on the ballot!

[cripplecreek]

I detest early voting as it invites fraud.

Same here. Nothing like reporting to the democrats a tally of how many votes they need to create. That's been the game in Detroit for years. They refuse to hand in their official tallies till after everyone else in the state has done so and only then do they announce the democrat winner.

Every drug sodden slacker I know votes now because they don't have to get off the couch to do it.

[GEC]

Last year, or maybe earlier this year, it may have been Wisconsin or Michigan, there was one pubbie poll worker who held back reporting her results until the dem counties had all reported. They were so pissed because she beat them legitimately at their own game, and the pubbie won.

[PJ-Comix]

I saw another HUGE line of early voters today here in South Florida. I don’t think many are standing for so long on line to vote FOR Obama.

[CSinIL]

I am in the 15%. Wife and I voted last week for Romney (we are in Illinois so it won’t really count). Turnout seemed very high for these republican leaning suburbs but Chicago will overwhelm the rest of the state.

I hope and pray Gallup is right. All the conflicting polls and projections have me very worried.

[ConorMacNessa]

I've lived in the People's Republic of Maryland for over fifty years. My vote is nothing more than a statement of defiance to the evil powers that hold sway here. It's a Statement of defiance that I will reiterate until I die!



Genuflectimus non ad principem sed ad Principem Pacis!

Listen, O isles, unto me; and hearken, ye people, from far; The LORD hath called me from the womb; from the bowels of my mother hath he made mention of my name. (Isaiah 49:1 KJV)

[Jet Jaguar]

Poll ping.

[tbw2]

Who are the other 3% voting for?