Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

ABC News Moves Pennsylvania, Minnesota from ‘Safe’ to ‘Lean’ Obama
ABC News ^ | 29 Oct 2012 | Amy Walter

Posted on 10/29/2012 7:13:23 PM PDT by mandaladon

With one week to go, states that were once considered Obama strongholds now look less solid. Republican groups are putting resources into Minnesota and Pennsylvania. Team Obama brushes off these incursions as wishful thinking by Republicans, but noticeably they are putting money and muscle into both states. Minnesota has been added to Bill Clinton’s schedule. And, Obama campaign officials admitted that they will once again start running ads in Pennsylvania.

See all of ABC’s race ratings and make your own electoral map.

So, what is happening in Minnesota? Demographics. As our ABC/Washington Post poll has shown, Romney has a substantial lead among white men. Minnesota is one of the least diverse states in the country with 90 percent of the electorate in 2008 made of white voters. In other Midwestern states with small minority populations, like Iowa and Wisconsin, the Obama campaign has flooded the airwaves for months with anti-Romney ads. They have done nothing of the sort in Minnesota.

Moreover, the airwaves in states like Ohio and Virginia are already heavily saturated. The ground game is the name of the game now in those places. That means that SuperPAC’s with lots of money can get a better return on their investment on the airwaves in places like Pennsylvania and Minnesota than in the eight battleground states where the campaigns have been most heavily engaged.

(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Minnesota; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; mn2012; pa2012; romney
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-66 next last
It keeps getting worse for Obama.
1 posted on 10/29/2012 7:13:23 PM PDT by mandaladon
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: mandaladon

Romney was definitely heading toward a 5-6 point win. But with Sandy, who knows how this will impact the race.


2 posted on 10/29/2012 7:19:07 PM PDT by gswilder
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mandaladon

The ding Obama took to his job approval over Libya last week has taken its’ toll and continued Mittmentum. Obama is trying to use the Hurricane to bring his approval numbers back. I think it will be hilarious if Obama takes OH due to poisoning the airwaves all summer but loses MN, WI, and PA because he took them for granted.


3 posted on 10/29/2012 7:20:06 PM PDT by ez (When you're a hammer, everything looks like a nail.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: gswilder
"Romney was definitely heading toward a 5-6 point win. But with Sandy..."

Romney is still headed for a major blow-out of the Zero... but, with Sandy that blow-out will only be larger.

4 posted on 10/29/2012 7:23:50 PM PDT by Ron C.
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; Ravi; ...

Poll Ping


5 posted on 10/29/2012 7:24:43 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mandaladon

Obama’s firewall is now DC, Harlem, and South Central Los Angeles.


6 posted on 10/29/2012 7:26:45 PM PDT by MuttTheHoople (Pray for Joe Biden- Proverbs 29:9)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mandaladon

7 posted on 10/29/2012 7:35:36 PM PDT by tomkat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ron C.

There was a study I saw referenced here. 3 inches of rain costs Dems 2.5% of their vote. Easier to stay in bed!


8 posted on 10/29/2012 7:45:35 PM PDT by TigerClaws
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: gswilder
Sandy will have no impact on this election. Those of us who live directly in her path will be calling our insurance adjusters, runnng generators to pump out basements, and basically doing what we do after every major storm.

There is no Superdome, no 9th Ward, no caravan of refugees migrating to Houston, no looting, no FEMA trailer camps, no national charity campaign on TV. Just shore residents doing their thing.

No dramatic photo ops, no electoral opportunity.

9 posted on 10/29/2012 7:48:15 PM PDT by wideawake
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: mandaladon

It must have caused them great pain to do this


10 posted on 10/29/2012 7:49:20 PM PDT by Mr. K ("The only thing the World would hate more than the USA in charge is the USA NOT in charge")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mandaladon
It's a good thing for us racist Tea Party types that Minnesota is “one of the least diverse states.”
11 posted on 10/29/2012 7:49:52 PM PDT by outofstyle (Down All the Days)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: gswilder
Romney was definitely heading toward a 5-6 point win. But with Sandy, who knows how this will impact the race.

One thing is for sure: Sandy will tend to reduce Obama's share of the popular vote. It's greatest impact will be on states from Maryland north -- and Obama figures to win all of these states with the possible exception of Pennsylvania and New Hampshire.

His EV total may not be affected. But thanks to Sandy, the turnout in these states will probably be significantly smaller than it might've been

12 posted on 10/29/2012 7:49:57 PM PDT by okie01 (THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA; Ignorance on parade.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: wideawake

I hope you all are right. But someone I still think O will try some tricks to turn this mega storm to his advantage. And the media will help him and trash Romney at every step. I believe Obama will completely suspend his campaign through the election. Therefore trying to force Mitt to do the same.

I see that Romney and Ryan are doing Diaster Relief fundaraisers in OH and WI on Tuesday. Seems like a good strategic move. The dems on twitter are already livid.


13 posted on 10/29/2012 7:51:21 PM PDT by gswilder
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: TigerClaws
"...costs Dems 2.5% of their vote."

Hope that is the difference that causes an even bigger win for Romney than anyone dared to predict!

14 posted on 10/29/2012 7:54:12 PM PDT by Ron C.
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: mandaladon; All

I am a bit concerned with Colorado.

A couple polls show it tied or with Obama ahead there now, including today’s ARG poll....has Romney up 1 where he was ahead by 4 earlier in the month.

What are the reads on Colorado?

I think we win, but the ARG sample was only D+1 and had Romney losing independents, the weirdest thing.

However, I think we will pull of a big win overall nationwide.


15 posted on 10/29/2012 7:57:02 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: wideawake

I wouldnt forget that how the American public views Obama’s response could be critical. It is often said that Bush Sr’s preceived inadequate response to Hurricane Andrew was critical in costing him the 1992 election and introducing American to the Clintons.


16 posted on 10/29/2012 7:58:35 PM PDT by emax
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: gswilder
The dems on twitter are already livid.

It must be a really good idea, then!

17 posted on 10/29/2012 7:58:44 PM PDT by JustaCowgirl (Storm the heavens with your prayers for Mitt Romney tonight.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: wideawake

I don’t think that that’s what they meant. What they’re talking about is Sandy cutting down on the number of people who go to the ballot box and vote.


18 posted on 10/29/2012 7:59:37 PM PDT by Optimus Prime (Do liberals even qualify as sentient beings?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: outofstyle

~~It’s a good thing for us racist Tea Party types that Minnesota is “one of the least diverse states.” ~~

ha!

speaking as a northern Minn gal.... the unions are so big there. no money in
farming or logging anymore so everyone works seasonal construction, mostly
pipeling work. my ex was in the pipefitters and operators, brothers all in the
operators.. and the unions tell you how to vote.. made me sick. and the
farmers are bribed with the farm wellfare farmbill.. ugh


19 posted on 10/29/2012 8:00:51 PM PDT by sdpatriot (Rush:" the media didn't make her, so they can't control her")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: gswilder
If he suspends his campaign now, what will he do? Monitor the progress of the Point Pleasant fire department from the War Room? No, that would be obvious posturing.

Only widespread death and utter devastation would help him look presidential. Sandy will not provide the networks with enough disaster porn.

Remember that the loser in 2008 tried to suspend the campaign and the winner that time refused to go for the bait. The same applies now.

20 posted on 10/29/2012 8:03:46 PM PDT by wideawake
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: mandaladon

MN was settled by Swedish,Norwegion, Germans and others. The first three are mainly all of the Lutheran faith which is very liberal and thus families for generations have voted for Democrats because their great grandfather did.


21 posted on 10/29/2012 8:04:14 PM PDT by YukonGreen
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: wideawake

Obama should have suspended his campaign to help a Libyan Ambassador and other Americans on September 11.


22 posted on 10/29/2012 8:08:43 PM PDT by taterjay
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: MuttTheHoople

“Obama’s firewall is now DC, Harlem, and South Central Los Angeles.”


LOL!


23 posted on 10/29/2012 8:09:36 PM PDT by RCFlyer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: mandaladon; All
The Tea Party Express is watching all of this very closely.
Tea Party Express
View Online   Forward to a friend  

The Obama/Biden Campaign is Heading to Pennsylvania in a Panic!
 

All our hard work is paying off at just the right time! 

With only 8 days to go before the biggest election of our lifetime, the Romney/Ryan campaign is surging in Pennsylvania and causing the Obama/Biden campaign to panic.  Pennsylvania was recently considered 'safe' for the Obama/Biden campaign, but has since moved to 'leaning Obama' and is up for grabs. 

This is the result of better than expected absentee ballot returns coupled with narrowing poll results. The Obama campaign is so concerned that they are taking to the airwaves and sending Joe Biden back to his home state to campaign and try and turn the tide. 


Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan are putting many states back in play that were previously written-off as being safe for President Obama.  We are proving again that the Tea Party is a major force and Obama and the Democrats can't compete with people that have true passion in their beliefs and are motivated by the right reasons. 

Americans know there is another way. Conservative policies are succeeding in states across the nation, while Obama and his big-government ideas are failing in Washington DC.


24 posted on 10/29/2012 8:19:03 PM PDT by Syncro (The Tea Party is Dead-->MSM/Dems/GOP-e -- LONG LIVE THE TEA PARTY!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: wideawake

As long as the voting station is open I will get there even if I have to swim or get a boat to get there, I am voting.


25 posted on 10/29/2012 8:32:21 PM PDT by American Constitutionalist
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: okie01

If it impacts Philly in a major way Romney will win PA.


26 posted on 10/29/2012 8:34:32 PM PDT by American Constitutionalist
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: mandaladon

Minnesota, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, and Iowa will turn out to the ‘Juno, Gold, Omaha, Utah, and Sword’ - the real “Normandy” to recapture our country back, with Ohio being the “Pas de Calais” diversionary point where Obama squandered all of his ‘fire-wall’ resources.


27 posted on 10/29/2012 9:14:32 PM PDT by LibFreeUSA
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: wideawake

“Sandy will have no impact on this election”

I hope you are safe, dry and in a floodfree zone. Those of us here in Wisconsin always hope for a rainy, windy, cold day for any election day. GOP voters will get to the polls no matter what, where Dems want to stay warm and dry and tend not to go vote. ha.

Broken glass GOP - NOTHING will stop us for voting R/R. Take your like minded relatives and neighbors to the polls, BTW.


28 posted on 10/29/2012 9:15:17 PM PDT by WaterWeWaitinFor (Paul Ryan clings to his gun, sits in his deer stand and is going to be our next VP!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Syncro

I’m going to say it. PA will go Romney.


29 posted on 10/29/2012 9:16:59 PM PDT by jdsteel (Give me freedom, not more government.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: Syncro

I’m going to say it. PA will go Romney.


30 posted on 10/29/2012 9:17:07 PM PDT by jdsteel (Give me freedom, not more government.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: mandaladon

It’s Democrat territory that is being fought over, not Republican territory.

That alone tells us who is winning.


31 posted on 10/29/2012 9:28:41 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rwfromkansas

I believe Colorado is still a toss-up. Too close to call.


32 posted on 10/29/2012 9:35:07 PM PDT by annajones (Please Act)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: jdsteel

You can say that again!

From your lips to God’s ear.

He’s the only one that can buffer the voter fraud.


33 posted on 10/29/2012 9:48:30 PM PDT by Syncro (The Tea Party is Dead-->MSM/Dems/GOP-e -- LONG LIVE THE TEA PARTY!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: GeronL

Excellent point!


34 posted on 10/29/2012 9:49:30 PM PDT by Syncro (The Tea Party is Dead-->MSM/Dems/GOP-e -- LONG LIVE THE TEA PARTY!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: rwfromkansas
The ARG sample was 52% women, with Bambi leading them by 8 points. Mitt led by 11 among men.

I don't know what the typical turnout by gender would be, but this may explain why this poll is so close.

35 posted on 10/29/2012 9:56:04 PM PDT by rfp1234
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: wideawake

If obama stayes holed up in the situation room watching the storm he won’t have to answer any questions about Benghazi. But I still don’t think it’s going to help him. The truth of the matter is 45% of the people in this country worship him and think he can do no wrong. Fortunately for the country 45% won’t be enough. From my keyboard to God’s ears.

My wife and I always say grace at the dinner table and we always ask God to help Romney and this country. Tonight I told Him if He’d do this I wouldn’t bother him anymore after the election.


36 posted on 10/29/2012 10:04:14 PM PDT by Terry Mross (To former friends and relatives. Don't ever contact me if you still support obama.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: MuttTheHoople

WRONG. Your forgot Berkeley, Madison Wisconsin and Eugene Oregon.

Hank


37 posted on 10/29/2012 10:05:33 PM PDT by County Agent Hank Kimball (Myth Romney is a vile Fabian Socialist - his opponent is infinitely worse. How did it come to this?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: rwfromkansas

Colorado is in the bag. Early and absentee are R+3.5. In THE swing county in the state, Jefferson County, it’s R+6.5. Hard numbers.

Latest polls show Romney +9 over 0 among UAF’s.


38 posted on 10/29/2012 10:12:40 PM PDT by ModelBreaker
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: gswilder

That is fantastic! Their popularity could go a long way in getting money to help these people who are affected by this terrible hurricane.


39 posted on 10/29/2012 10:14:05 PM PDT by JerseyDvl (Cogito Ergo Doleo Soetoro, ABO and of course FUBO!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: rfp1234

Unfortunately, 52F/48M is right. That’s exactly what it was in 2008.

Hank


40 posted on 10/29/2012 10:45:07 PM PDT by County Agent Hank Kimball (Myth Romney is a vile Fabian Socialist - his opponent is infinitely worse. How did it come to this?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

To: rfp1234

Unfortunately, 52F/48M is right. That’s exactly what it was in 2008.

Hank


41 posted on 10/29/2012 10:45:15 PM PDT by County Agent Hank Kimball (Myth Romney is a vile Fabian Socialist - his opponent is infinitely worse. How did it come to this?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

To: wideawake

If no power though will people turn out at the polls? If so will it be Romney or Obama supporters who turn out? I think this *could* help Romney as the eastern side of NY is the liberal part...if they can be without power for a week then we may have a chance.


42 posted on 10/29/2012 10:46:16 PM PDT by for-q-clinton (If at first you don't succeed keep on sucking until you do succeed)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: for-q-clinton

NY = PA.


43 posted on 10/29/2012 10:46:41 PM PDT by for-q-clinton (If at first you don't succeed keep on sucking until you do succeed)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 42 | View Replies]

To: gswilder
If a certain segment of American society in major USA cities start to loot this week, post-Sandy, due lack of services and police presence as they did in New Orleans or L.A., I know how Middle America and Suburban America will vote watching those terrific scenes (that is, if the MSM does not black them out for fear of tarnishing the tar baby, His Grand Emperor).
44 posted on 10/29/2012 11:02:16 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo (Donate, & walk precincts, not for "Parties", but for individual, principled "Candidates" (& for FR)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: GeronL

Almost like Reagan and Star Wars, bankrupted Russia.


45 posted on 10/29/2012 11:21:33 PM PDT by annieokie (O)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: MuttTheHoople

Not so sure that Obama has a lock on the Black American vote. Oh.....yes he will get 75% of their votes, but......millions of Black folks have no use for this phoney, anti-American, flim/flam, shyster!!! And.....75% of that vote gets Obama voted out of office in a massive landslide loss to Romney/Ryan!!! Not sure how many Blacks will vote for Romney/Ryan, millions will sit on their hands and not voteat all on election day!!!

Fact is: It is literally amazing that so many Black folks still give their support to the great Black failure, Obama, not for the country, but for all American Blacks. Go figure folks!!! I guess they like being Obama slaves, adrift at sea.....on the Obama, NAACP, CBC, Black economic & opportunity slavery Plantation!!! Sad!!!


46 posted on 10/30/2012 12:10:02 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX ( My only objective is defeat and destroy Obama & his Democrat Party, politically!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: emax
Bush Sr. didn't lose the election because of a Hurricane, he lost because he lied about raising taxes and lost his credibility, the same thing Obama has lost.
47 posted on 10/30/2012 12:35:03 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: annajones

CO will go Red. I live in a very Red County and in 2008 I saw a number of Obama signs and bumper stickers. I’ve seen only one Obama sign in my town this year.

This state is a lock for Romney. O has been running TV commercials non-stop here since the summer but they aren’t working this time around.


48 posted on 10/30/2012 1:03:51 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: mandaladon

MSM the last week will be putting up a good face....watch for the period of two days before the election and the begging, to get out and vote coming from the left...


49 posted on 10/30/2012 3:01:56 AM PDT by Doogle ((USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mandaladon

here’s an interesting point of view...from Breitbart

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/10/26/Exodus-Inter-City-Blacks-Fleeing-Obama-Democrats?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter


50 posted on 10/30/2012 3:04:58 AM PDT by Doogle ((USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-66 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson