Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

NPR Poll: R 48%, O 47% (+4 D)
http://media.npr.org/documents/2012/oct/NPROctpoll.pdf ^

Posted on 10/30/2012 4:53:55 AM PDT by MeanGreen2008

Romney wins on Jobs, Economy, Taxes, and Deficit


TOPICS: Breaking News
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; alteredtitle; notbreakingnews; repost; sourcetitlenoturl
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-65 next last

1 posted on 10/30/2012 4:53:57 AM PDT by MeanGreen2008
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: MeanGreen2008

Somewhat less biased D+ oversampling.

Even with that, O cannot exceed 47% and we have six days to go in this election.


2 posted on 10/30/2012 5:01:54 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop
First Letterman, now NPR ...

He's dead, Jim.

3 posted on 10/30/2012 5:08:28 AM PDT by knarf (I say things that are true ... I have no proof ... but they're true)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop

54% women/46% men. That will skew the results.


4 posted on 10/30/2012 5:15:34 AM PDT by tatown (Obama was right, it was a 'one term proposition')
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: tatown

Romney will win 60% of the white vote - about 60% with men and 45% with women.

And he has a 2-1 advantage among independents. This election is not close at all.


5 posted on 10/30/2012 5:20:45 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: MeanGreen2008

Unfortunately we will see his approval start rising bc of his storm response. This could be bad for R.. I hope that is not the case though.. Frick I wish it was a week from today already


6 posted on 10/30/2012 5:20:55 AM PDT by JoshuaLawrenceChamberlain
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop; tatown

Numbersmuncher

NPR national poll has Romney up 1, 48-47 (was O+7 last month). Romney up 12 w/ independents. Sample is D+4.

JaycostTWS

Party ID reported at bottom of poll is D+4. Must be a rounding thing. Very common.


7 posted on 10/30/2012 5:21:02 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: MeanGreen2008

The insides of many Priuses will be spattered with brains after their drivers’ heads explode upon hearing this on their radios today.


8 posted on 10/30/2012 5:25:34 AM PDT by matt1234 (As Obama sowed in the Arab Spring, so he is reaping in the Arab Fall.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MeanGreen2008

The liberal/MSM politicos know it and yet refuse to pipe in, but an incumbent at 47% is a sure loser.

The undecideds will break for Romney by at least 2 to 1, more likely 3 to 1.

If this were a Repub incumbent consistently polling at 47%, the media would be pointing this nugget, i.e. look at Obama’s number, not the horse race/topline.


9 posted on 10/30/2012 5:26:16 AM PDT by nhwingut (If you are concerned, you are not paying attention (or you are a troll). It will be a landslide.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MeanGreen2008

Just tell me one thing: given the warnings provided the State Dept, CIA, JCS, and White House.....given that, why was there no security already in place on 9/11/2012?


10 posted on 10/30/2012 5:27:16 AM PDT by Rapscallion ( Has the House Judiciary Committee also gone AWOL?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop

Why in the world do people think Obama is better on foreign policy? Aren’t they aware of what happened in Benghazi, or the rules of engagement our military are under? It doesn’t cease to amaze me how intellectually challenged some Americans are.


11 posted on 10/30/2012 5:27:19 AM PDT by Catsrus (Ma)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

No mention of the “magical” 47% and its correlation with the percentage of people who don’t pay income taxes...

This ought to be well played up.

The left thought they had a “Romney killer” with that “gaffe”, but it turns out to be very true.

To a leftist, telling the truth about them or their ideology is “hate speech”.


12 posted on 10/30/2012 5:29:07 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop

I’m kind of thinking it may end up as a blowout. It looks like either a total nail-biter where Obama sneaks in a couple of critical states or something close to a double digit Romney will. Hopefully it’s the later.


13 posted on 10/30/2012 5:29:25 AM PDT by tatown (Obama was right, it was a 'one term proposition')
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: MrB

NPR is deeply saddened.


14 posted on 10/30/2012 5:30:17 AM PDT by mrs9x
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: MeanGreen2008

The early voting poll says it all. Goodbye you worthless Commie and your selfish wife.


15 posted on 10/30/2012 5:30:42 AM PDT by bmwcyle (45% to 47% of American voters are stupid)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: tatown

will=win


16 posted on 10/30/2012 5:30:50 AM PDT by tatown (Obama was right, it was a 'one term proposition')
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: JoshuaLawrenceChamberlain

That`s a potential problem for us... while Romney has to stand aside, Obama gets free air time surveying damage and looking “presidential.” He (0bama) doesn`t have to campaign.. the official appearances fill the gap.

I like that the Romney campaign is assisting with relief efforts, though. Of course, the Obama ministry of propaganda, AKA the “media,” won`t go near that one, though. It`d disrupt the narrative that Romney is a soulless, heartless hater of common people.


17 posted on 10/30/2012 5:31:09 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Record high turnout is our hope for sending 0bama home. Pray hard!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop

Gold, is there any chance this storm is going to give Obama a boost? Honestly.


18 posted on 10/30/2012 5:32:10 AM PDT by chad_in_georgia
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: knarf

I missed it....what did Letterman say?


19 posted on 10/30/2012 5:32:42 AM PDT by CAluvdubya (ABO)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: MeanGreen2008
We are getting down to the final polls and so now polls have to tell the truth or people can point how off they were next election....this last second change in who is ahead always happens if the Republican is ahead.

All we will hear about if Romney wins is see he had a "last minute surge" and our poll caught it.

It is amazing how all Republicans who have ever won since Reagan/Carter have had a last minute surge but dems have always have a "commanding lead" going into the final stretch. The games the media plays....nothing new.

20 posted on 10/30/2012 5:35:15 AM PDT by Lady Heron
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: JoshuaLawrenceChamberlain

Hogwash. His response to the storm is to watch from the White House. He will get no “bump” from the storm.


21 posted on 10/30/2012 5:39:45 AM PDT by wideawake
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: MeanGreen2008

Of note, this same poll has Obama ahead 50-46 in battleground states.


22 posted on 10/30/2012 5:42:54 AM PDT by Humbug
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MrB

Here is the latest from RCP...

NPR 48-47, Romney +1 (D+4)
Pew Research 47-47, Tie (D+1)
Rasmussen Reports 49-47, Romney +2 (D+4)
ABC News/Wash Post 49-49, Tie (D+7)
Gallup 51-46, Romney +5 (R+1)
IBD/TIPP 44-45, Obama +1 (D+7)
Politico/GWU/Battleground 48-49, Obama +1 (D+4)

Overall Avg, 48-47 Romney +1 (D+4)

Now if you take that average sample of D+4 and move it to what Gallup says is going to happen (R+1), it’s Romney 51-46. Exactly what Gallup shows.


23 posted on 10/30/2012 5:45:17 AM PDT by nhwingut (If you are concerned, you are not paying attention (or you are a troll). It will be a landslide.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: CAluvdubya
>>>I missed it....what did Letterman say?

I would like to know too. Not that I care...but when rats jump of the ship...I like to see it...

24 posted on 10/30/2012 5:45:53 AM PDT by NELSON111
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: Humbug

That I don’t believe.

Push polls like this one and CNN’s are about influencing the vote and not about reflecting reality.

There’s just a blatant bias towards Democrats this year.


25 posted on 10/30/2012 5:48:39 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: Lady Heron

I predict the national polls out this week will show a dead heat.

It’s their only option left of helping Obama, and not looking like fools. They cannot show Obama up 2-3. It will be Obama +1 to Romney +1.

For example, if they come out with a poll that says 47-47, they can keep the hope alive, but save face when Romney wins 52-47 - by saying the undecideds broke late for Romney.


26 posted on 10/30/2012 5:49:37 AM PDT by nhwingut (If you are concerned, you are not paying attention (or you are a troll). It will be a landslide.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop

And if it IS, fraud would have to be rampant.


27 posted on 10/30/2012 5:49:37 AM PDT by woweeitsme
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: JoshuaLawrenceChamberlain
Unfortunately we will see his approval start rising bc of his storm response.

What storm response? That he is sitting in the White House looking like the doofus that he is?

Minds are made up. Now it's just a matter of getting everybody to the polls.

28 posted on 10/30/2012 5:52:54 AM PDT by SamAdams76
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: MeanGreen2008

So I clicked “headers” on the front page here and so okay, all the text below the articles disappeared but I don’t like it!

I did this due to an article by some Freeper on how to cut down “drag” on this forum.

Can somebody help me? I hit “header” again but nothing happens.

I hate the article list without the text!


29 posted on 10/30/2012 5:54:08 AM PDT by Fishtalk (http://patfish.blogspot.com/)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: matt1234
The insides of many Priuses will be spattered with brains after their drivers’ heads explode

You misspelled "oatmeal".

30 posted on 10/30/2012 5:57:09 AM PDT by Izzy Dunne (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: MeanGreen2008

According to Dave in Fl (at AceHQ)....

R+0.90% - Current RCP Average
O+0.13% - Average using the 2008 turnout model
R+2.63% - Average using the D+3 turnout model
R+4.86% - Average using the 2010 turnout model
R+4.91% - Average using the 2004 turnout model
R+6.65% - Average using the Rasmussen Party ID turnout model


31 posted on 10/30/2012 5:59:13 AM PDT by nhwingut (If you are concerned, you are not paying attention (or you are a troll). It will be a landslide.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Fishtalk
So I clicked “headers” on the front page here and so okay, all the text below the articles disappeared but I don’t like it!

Try clicking on the other option: "text".

32 posted on 10/30/2012 5:59:46 AM PDT by Izzy Dunne (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: Humbug
Of note, this same poll has Obama ahead 50-46 in battleground states.

The battleground portion uses a D+9 sample. What planet is Carville on to think there will be a D+9 in the swing states, when the national turnout will be R+1.
33 posted on 10/30/2012 6:06:02 AM PDT by nhwingut (If you are concerned, you are not paying attention (or you are a troll). It will be a landslide.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut
If this is their last poll before the election they can not do that if it is really not close. If they have more polls to go then no problem. So the only way they show a neck and neck race in their last poll is if it is what they really think is true.

That last poll they make has to be as close as they really think is right because they want to be called on next election as a gold standard in predicting the last election. They do not want to be Zogby, they have a business to run....

34 posted on 10/30/2012 6:07:08 AM PDT by Lady Heron
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: Lady Heron

I am guessing this is the last NPR/DC poll. They are not a regular pollsters. So I believe this is it.

And to show a Romney win, says it all. Carville is behind this one (Democracy Corps), so he can say he predicted a Romney win, even if Romney wins by 2-4 more points. He had Obama’s number right, and the undecideds broke late, blah blah blah.

This is a meaningful poll.


35 posted on 10/30/2012 6:11:50 AM PDT by nhwingut (If you are concerned, you are not paying attention (or you are a troll). It will be a landslide.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]

To: MeanGreen2008

Wailing and gnashing of teeth as the evildoers are cast into darkness.


36 posted on 10/30/2012 6:14:01 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: JoshuaLawrenceChamberlain
I don't think so for a couple of reasons. First, no one who is IN the hurricane gives a crap what Obama does right now. They are trying to survive, get by, keep their homes intact, mayors are trying to guard against rioting, and so on.

Second, pollsters such as Gallup have actually ceased polling (for at least one day) because of the disruptions. ANY poll that comes out now will have a severely tainted sample. If it took 1000 calls to get one respondent before, think of the number it will take now.

Barry is stuck. Nothing he can do will save him.

37 posted on 10/30/2012 6:17:50 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut
He had Obama’s number right, and the undecideds broke late, blah blah blah. This is a meaningful poll.

LOL! I did not even pay much attention of O 47%...priceless. Yes, you read it right...Carville predicted a Romney win so that is all that matters.

38 posted on 10/30/2012 6:18:27 AM PDT by Lady Heron
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

To: JoshuaLawrenceChamberlain
Unfortunately we will see his approval start rising bc of his storm response. This could be bad for R.. I hope that is not the case though.. Frick I wish it was a week from today already

What response? This was his "response" from Rush:


They flew him back, and he has spoken. AP. I have it right here in my formerly nicotine-stained fingers. AP, Breaking News!” Ready? Ready for it? “Obama: “Slow-Moving Storm Will Affect Millions, Urges Americans to Heed Warnings.” (Gasp!) Wow. That we could not have done without. That... Oh, thank God. (interruption) Apparently not. Apparently he could not tell us this from Florida.
39 posted on 10/30/2012 6:20:13 AM PDT by COBOL2Java (I'm not voting for Obama, so therefore I must be helping Romney!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Catsrus

Osama bin Laden’s supposed 2011 killing, Qadaffi’s actual killing in 2012, and the false claims that the USA is basically pulled out of Iraq. Sheeple cannot think beyond these ultra simplistic memes.


40 posted on 10/30/2012 6:28:04 AM PDT by Abiotic (The ship of democracy, which has weathered all storms, may sink through the mutiny of those on board)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

Even a D+2 wont do it..... I just do not see the Democrats more pumped than in 2008... cant ve. Romney will win 51.4 - 47.6


41 posted on 10/30/2012 6:29:53 AM PDT by Republic Rocker
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop

Yes, but I do not think enough to win.

I like checking the NBC elections page because they have a social media tracker checking sentiment.

It typically fluctuates somewhat, but Obama has a lot more negative social media comments as of yesterday even with the hurricane coming in than Romney. In addition, about 4 percent more say via social media they will vote for Romney per this analysis from a third party firm.

That has fluctuated day by day, with even some wild swings, but most days it has Romney ahead.

It will be interesting to see what tomorrow shows, for right now the polls may not be too accurate with so many out of power.


42 posted on 10/30/2012 6:34:56 AM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: MrB

The 47% NUMBER is true.

What is false is to claim that it correlates to people who don’t pay federal income taxes.

In terms of WHO will vote for Obama no matter what.

Obama will get millions of votes from rich liberals. From upper middle class liberals. All of whom pay federal income tax.

Romney will get millions of votes from lower middle class and working poor voters, most of whom do not make enough money to owe federal income tax.

Sigh.

I post this truth every chance I get, but there’s so much misstatement, so little time.


43 posted on 10/30/2012 6:38:39 AM PDT by txrangerette ("...hold to the truth; speak without fear". (Glenn Beck))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: MrB

P.S.

And that’s why Romney and Ryan distanced themselves from the original statement Mitt made at that fundraiser.

They said that Romney did not state it in the exact way he meant it. He had an inarticulate moment, they both said.

I’m telling you, the reason they knew he was off kilter in HOW he said it, is because they looked at the statement he made and they realized, too late, that he was right about the number 47%, but he was WRONG that those who will vote Obama no matter what are the same ones who don’t pay federal income taxes.

They realized, too late, that plenty of people who pay federal taxes will vote Obama, and plenty of people who don’t make enough to owe the Feds will vote for Romney.

And feast on this nugget: The broader point Romney was trying to make got lost in the shuffle...he was saying, too many people have become too dependent on the government, and that’s not good.

Oh boy, you can kick the 47% completely to the curb if you just wanted to, and instead, simply argue the broader point Romney was trying to make, and you’ve got a WINNER!


44 posted on 10/30/2012 6:48:21 AM PDT by txrangerette ("...hold to the truth; speak without fear". (Glenn Beck))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: tatown

Blowout-Romney will get about 52% of the vote.


45 posted on 10/30/2012 6:56:13 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: MeanGreen2008; All

Does anyone konw where I can find how many registered voters there are in specific states? I want to know how many millions of registered voters are in Florida.


46 posted on 10/30/2012 7:16:58 AM PDT by Fawn (RESTORE FREEDOM!!!!!!!!!!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: CAluvdubya
What Letterman said
47 posted on 10/30/2012 7:28:40 AM PDT by knarf (I say things that are true ... I have no proof ... but they're true)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: ScottinVA

The NBC election website social media tracker shows no more positive comments for Obama on social media at least not yet. Still 60-40 negative comments about him online.

That’s probably one of the things I will be checking to see if there is any change with the polls out of commission.


48 posted on 10/30/2012 7:55:33 AM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: MeanGreen2008

Five day old poll results aren’t breaking news.


49 posted on 10/30/2012 8:26:54 AM PDT by A.A. Cunningham (Barry Soetoro is a Kenyan communist)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MeanGreen2008

Tickle me Elmo is reportedly on suicide watch.


50 posted on 10/30/2012 8:30:15 AM PDT by Leep (Are you smarter than a 7th grade math student and or Barack 0bama?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-65 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson