Skip to comments.NPR Poll: R 48%, O 47% (+4 D)
Posted on 10/30/2012 4:53:55 AM PDT by MeanGreen2008
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Even a D+2 wont do it..... I just do not see the Democrats more pumped than in 2008... cant ve. Romney will win 51.4 - 47.6
Yes, but I do not think enough to win.
I like checking the NBC elections page because they have a social media tracker checking sentiment.
It typically fluctuates somewhat, but Obama has a lot more negative social media comments as of yesterday even with the hurricane coming in than Romney. In addition, about 4 percent more say via social media they will vote for Romney per this analysis from a third party firm.
That has fluctuated day by day, with even some wild swings, but most days it has Romney ahead.
It will be interesting to see what tomorrow shows, for right now the polls may not be too accurate with so many out of power.
The 47% NUMBER is true.
What is false is to claim that it correlates to people who don’t pay federal income taxes.
In terms of WHO will vote for Obama no matter what.
Obama will get millions of votes from rich liberals. From upper middle class liberals. All of whom pay federal income tax.
Romney will get millions of votes from lower middle class and working poor voters, most of whom do not make enough money to owe federal income tax.
I post this truth every chance I get, but there’s so much misstatement, so little time.
And that’s why Romney and Ryan distanced themselves from the original statement Mitt made at that fundraiser.
They said that Romney did not state it in the exact way he meant it. He had an inarticulate moment, they both said.
I’m telling you, the reason they knew he was off kilter in HOW he said it, is because they looked at the statement he made and they realized, too late, that he was right about the number 47%, but he was WRONG that those who will vote Obama no matter what are the same ones who don’t pay federal income taxes.
They realized, too late, that plenty of people who pay federal taxes will vote Obama, and plenty of people who don’t make enough to owe the Feds will vote for Romney.
And feast on this nugget: The broader point Romney was trying to make got lost in the shuffle...he was saying, too many people have become too dependent on the government, and that’s not good.
Oh boy, you can kick the 47% completely to the curb if you just wanted to, and instead, simply argue the broader point Romney was trying to make, and you’ve got a WINNER!
Blowout-Romney will get about 52% of the vote.
Does anyone konw where I can find how many registered voters there are in specific states? I want to know how many millions of registered voters are in Florida.
The NBC election website social media tracker shows no more positive comments for Obama on social media at least not yet. Still 60-40 negative comments about him online.
That’s probably one of the things I will be checking to see if there is any change with the polls out of commission.
Five day old poll results aren’t breaking news.
Tickle me Elmo is reportedly on suicide watch.
Romney is going to win this handily folks... Obama may get a little bump from the storm, but not much.
Turnout will be R+3/4 IMHO.
I still see no reason to believe Obama will top 42-43% of the popular vote at best on election day.
Fight like its 50-50 but the idea this thing is close is not remotely based in reality.
Romney will win Ohio by at least 4.. I don’t care what poll says its neck and neck.
D+9 is another way of saying nine trips with the vanpools though the same ‘hoods.
Another important thing to consider is the momentum this poll shows. Charlie Sykes mentioned this morning that this poll was 51-46 Obama just a few weeks ago. That result could have been called an outlier (I’ll call it one) because at that point Obama wasn’t over 50 in any reliable poll, and this one may be an outlier, too, because it shows Romney well below where Ras and Gallup have had him.
But more to the point, whether the pollsters have been gaming the system or whether the race really did do a complete U-turn after the debate, people who were telling us Romeny was toast a few weeks ago are telling us he’s on top and surging a week out.
That means something.
Of note, they included states like New Mexico and Michigan as battleground states.
The ole' Snakehead Shazam.
Thanks, didn’t know that. So just another way to finagle things until they get the numbers they want.
He might get a small one or two day bounce from the 2% of voters who are still undecided, but the last four years of his unprecedented incompetency and destructive handling of the US economy cannot be erased by any short term event - no matter how dramatic.
Romney's lead has remained very consistent, and is (evidently) even growing, as the pollsters begin to inject more honesty into their work. They can't risk massaging the polls any longer, as to do so risks getting it wrong on election day, thereby blowing their credibility for the next election.
There's just far too much ground for Obama to make up now. With only a week left, the odds of him doing so are insurmountable. The vast majority of voters have already made up their minds, and will not be swayed. By all indications, a majority of them will be voting to give Romney a chance at the job.
Regardless of the outcome, the majority of men will have voted against the jackass.
Don’t see the alleged Sandy bump as anything meaningful.
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