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Rasmussen Daily: TUE: 10/30: R:49 O:47 Obama -12%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/30/2012 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 10/30/2012 6:32:50 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer

Tuesday, October 30, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and another two percent (2%) remain undecided. See daily tracking history.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of voters have a favorable opinion of Romney and 48% say the same of Obama.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; election; obama; rasmussen; romney
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Same numbers as yesterday
1 posted on 10/30/2012 6:32:53 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: SoftwareEngineer
"Forty-eight percent (48%) of voters now think President Obama will win. That’s the first time it’s fallen below 50% all year. Forty-one percent (41%) believe Romney will win."
2 posted on 10/30/2012 6:35:17 AM PDT by Palmetto Patriot (2010 All Over Again. Make it happen. Get Busy!)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Good news, the good 0bama day rolled off.


3 posted on 10/30/2012 6:35:21 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Perdogg; LS; Ravi; tatown; nhwingut; InterceptPoint; ConservativeGuy; ConservativeDude; ...

No internals as yet, as Scott actually posted the public numbers BEFORE the Platinum guys!!

Will post internal crosstab information as soon as I get it

This maybe the only daily tracking poll of the day. Gallup and IBP/TIPP are both out and ABCWASHPO is flaky


4 posted on 10/30/2012 6:36:15 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: SoftwareEngineer

What was the partisan breakdown on this poll?


5 posted on 10/30/2012 6:36:59 AM PDT by Yashcheritsiy (It's time to make Obama a minor footnote in the pages of history)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

O is still at 47%. We have six days to go.

That’s his hard ceiling. His floor is 45%.

I wish he would only get the 25% that’s his base but we have too many brain-dead people in this country.

We’ll have to settle for what we think we’ll get and hope for the best!


6 posted on 10/30/2012 6:37:31 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

I think Romney had a bigger lead in the swing state poll yesterday.


7 posted on 10/30/2012 6:38:02 AM PDT by zt1053
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To: SoftwareEngineer

The storm will give Bammy an [undeserved] bounce. Unfortunately this will extend beyond the affected areas. I expect when the rain dies down his ugly face will be all over the TV showing concern, telling everyone that Big Bro is there to help, any other lies that he thinks may get him votes.


8 posted on 10/30/2012 6:38:19 AM PDT by The Sons of Liberty ( For AMERICA's sake: Vote for the Mormon, NOT the muslim; The Capitalist, NOT the Communist! FUBO!)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

A little too close for comfort, but interesting that obamas always at 47.


9 posted on 10/30/2012 6:39:13 AM PDT by Proudcongal
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To: The Sons of Liberty

lol some rain in NY and NJ isn’t going to affect the outcome of the election, calm down


10 posted on 10/30/2012 6:39:41 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

The hurricane bump will be small.


11 posted on 10/30/2012 6:39:54 AM PDT by Huskrrrr
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To: SoftwareEngineer

I think any poll taken since Saturday is going to be pretty much useless. Sandy is so screwing up 1/3 of the country that it CANNOT be regionally balanced. People are running for their lives and they won’t be answering phones-—if the power is still on.


12 posted on 10/30/2012 6:40:04 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: The Sons of Liberty

That must be why 48% think Obama will be re-elected. Obviously there are undecideds who don’t know or who don’t care.


13 posted on 10/30/2012 6:40:57 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: LS

running for their lives?

lol

this is the most over hyped weather event i’ve ever seen. Basically a bad thuderstorm, in a couple of states that weren’t even competitive.

Time to refocus on the election


14 posted on 10/30/2012 6:42:34 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
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To: Huskrrrr

I hope you are right, but we shouldn’t underestimate the impact this may have. Our country comes together during a crisis and rallies around the president. Whether that translates to votes next week, only time will tell. But everyone here who is discounting the impact of this on the election is not grasping the significance.


15 posted on 10/30/2012 6:44:06 AM PDT by gswilder
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To: gswilder

A compliant media makes your concern that much more valid.


16 posted on 10/30/2012 6:48:00 AM PDT by wolf24
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To: The Sons of Liberty
Nobody is going to change their minds from Romney to Obama over a damn storm. Minds have been made up and now it's all about getting out the vote. Romney's got a huge GOTV effort ongoing in states that have early voting. His ground campaign dwarfs that of McCain from four years ago - it's massive.

It's looking good for Tuesday.

17 posted on 10/30/2012 6:48:03 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: gswilder

They will forget about it by Thursday when Obama will be in Las Vegas - the same place he went to after Benghazi.


18 posted on 10/30/2012 6:48:35 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: gswilder

crisis ? what crisis !?!

there is no crisis!!

It freaking rained a little in NY and NJ, with some mild flooding.

whoop de do!

let me see... I’m an moderate... and i’m thinking of voting for Romney... but then it rains in NY .... and I am so amazed at how well Obama handles the rain storm in NY that I am now going to vote for Obama in Ohio.

right...

ROFL


19 posted on 10/30/2012 6:49:04 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
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To: SamAdams76

I will PRAY CONTINUOUSLY that you are correct!


20 posted on 10/30/2012 6:50:03 AM PDT by The Sons of Liberty ( For AMERICA's sake: Vote for the Mormon, NOT the muslim; The Capitalist, NOT the Communist! FUBO!)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Odd, no crosstabs.

Oh, well. I will take R+2 with less than week to go

Obama continues to stay at 47%. That is the number that needs to be discussed. An incumbent at 47% has no chance of being re-elected. The only polls that show him getting even to 49% are D+7 samples, which will never happen.

I still predict, R+2 turnout, and a Romney win of 5-6 points.


21 posted on 10/30/2012 6:52:33 AM PDT by nhwingut (If you are concerned, you are not paying attention (or you are a troll). It will be a landslide.)
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To: Huskrrrr
The hurricane bump will be small.

Obama will get that bump is a few NE states he was going to win anyway. Like New York and New Jersey. Pennsylvania is in play but unaffected by the storm

22 posted on 10/30/2012 6:52:53 AM PDT by dennisw (Government be yo mamma - Re-elect Barack Obama)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Yes, but he looks so Presidential\ sarc


23 posted on 10/30/2012 6:53:09 AM PDT by MNDude (OWS Movement RIP)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

this is the most over hyped weather event i’ve ever seen. Basically a bad thuderstorm, in a couple of states that weren’t even competitive.
+++++++++++++
Did anyone look in on The New Weather Channel last night? It used to be called Fox News. Boring format. I watched Monday Night Football instead. Also boring. And FR was SLOW. Not a good Monday night.


24 posted on 10/30/2012 6:53:27 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: gswilder

Important battleground states like Ohio, Virginia and florida, being so close (if indeed they are) could sway a couple points toward O because of the face time he’ll get from MSM looking all heroic, and they will surely help him out any way they can. I hope we’re wrong, but it makes me nervous.


25 posted on 10/30/2012 6:54:03 AM PDT by Proudcongal
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To: TexasFreeper2009

nail on head.

You’d think Katrina and Andrew just rolled into two states , them being NY,NJ

I’m not seeing reporters in WV reporting on the scene or even western PA but then again the media think NJ and NY where they live and work is America and the rest of us who have had to put up with much worse storms and tornado’s which have wiped out towns or even floods in Tn is just what ever states.

Running for their lives LOL


26 posted on 10/30/2012 6:54:59 AM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: gswilder
Our country comes together during a crisis and rallies around the president.

The only "rally" will be Obama in Florida or Ohio come Thursday.
27 posted on 10/30/2012 6:55:59 AM PDT by nhwingut (If you are concerned, you are not paying attention (or you are a troll). It will be a landslide.)
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To: SamAdams76

Although I am a bit concerned with how the media will exploit this for Obama, if you believe that this storm will help you have to identify those voters that it would shift.

At this point, you would have to believe that it will flip indy’s and/or Republican voters.


28 posted on 10/30/2012 6:56:39 AM PDT by wolf24
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To: LS
I think any poll taken since Saturday is going to be pretty much useless. Sandy is so screwing up 1/3 of the country that it CANNOT be regionally balanced. People are running for their lives and they won’t be answering phones-—if the power is still on.

What a drama queen!

I live in the Northeast and while we had a good blow yesterday here in northern MA, things are already getting back to normal. A bunch of branches and leaves everywhere but it's autumn - this is the time of year we have to rake our yards anyhow. We have some power outages but we get this in any big storm. By the weekend, this storm is going to be a distant memory anyhow.

Hardest hit areas were NY/NJ and even those states will be getting back to normal by the weekend, except maybe on the immediate coast which are heavily Democratic anyhow. Impact on election will be close to nil.

29 posted on 10/30/2012 6:57:23 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: SoftwareEngineer
Uploaded from the Photobucket iPhone App
30 posted on 10/30/2012 6:58:02 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA (In a previous life I was ...)
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To: Proudcongal

I agree with this. They’ll also show clips of Romney saying that FEMA needs to be shrunk and more power needs to go to states in disaster situations.

Obama will come out of all of this looking like a hero. In the meantime, his total failure in Libya and the entire Middle East will fall completely off of the radar. This storm couldn’t have happened at a better time for him.


31 posted on 10/30/2012 6:58:04 AM PDT by woweeitsme
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To: gswilder

I know circumstances were different (by that I mean party labels), but there was no rallying around the President after Katrina. In fact, there was a crucifiction of a President after Katrina. Obviously, the media is going to try to use this to prop up Obama.

What I have to hope would happen here is that Romney is not going to lose votes. He has this election won in terms of votes, where he is at 50% in most key states, and Obama 45-48%. I have to doubt someone who’s made up their mind changes it. It could easily impact those undecideds and swing a few back to Obama who otherwise have been hesitant to vote for him again this cycle. Unless Obama does something heroic, other than ‘be there’ looking important, I don’t see this have a radical effect. This election was all but over two days ago, and it will take a major swing to change that.


32 posted on 10/30/2012 7:01:51 AM PDT by ilgipper (Obama supporters are comprised of the uninformed & the ill-informed)
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To: Proudcongal

Concern Troll.

Why don’t you hand-wringers save us the trouble and get into bed with the DU Bedwetters?

Good Lord, we get enough negativism from the MSM. We sure as heck don’t need it from Freepers!


33 posted on 10/30/2012 7:02:45 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: ilgipper

Agree with you. Not sure having his mug out there does much good for a president with his record.


34 posted on 10/30/2012 7:04:28 AM PDT by John W (Viva Cristo Rey!)
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To: woweeitsme

Could backfire...the more his face is on TV, the more people think “I don’t want to see this guy for another 4 years.”


35 posted on 10/30/2012 7:04:35 AM PDT by mrs9x
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To: woweeitsme

They’re calling it a perfect storm. I hope it doesn’t turn out to be O’s perfect storm.


36 posted on 10/30/2012 7:06:46 AM PDT by Proudcongal
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To: The Sons of Liberty
The storm will give Bammy an [undeserved] bounce

Bull. Nobody's going to forget what a disaster these last four years have been because of a frigging storm. Any overt moves to politicize the event will be greeted with contempt.

37 posted on 10/30/2012 7:09:32 AM PDT by pgkdan (A vote for anyone but Romney is a vote for obama. GO MITT!!)
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To: Proudcongal

You are way too concerned. Give it a break.


38 posted on 10/30/2012 7:10:55 AM PDT by nhwingut (If you are concerned, you are not paying attention (or you are a troll). It will be a landslide.)
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To: pgkdan

I think you way overestimate the intelligence of the average American voter.


39 posted on 10/30/2012 7:11:32 AM PDT by WatchOutForSnakes
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To: Proudcongal

I said it before. This storm likely saved Obama’s presidency. It got Bengazi and Romney out of the news just in time. And when that ahole Christie sings his praises, those soft undecided types see that and think “Maybe he is a good President after all...”


40 posted on 10/30/2012 7:11:32 AM PDT by paul544
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To: InterceptPoint
Did anyone look in on The New Weather Channel last night? It used to be called Fox News.

Watching Greta was pretty revealing. She's trying to paint a picture of mass death and destruction but all the guests she spoke with were people in Atlantic City and Ocean City who stayed put and came through unharmed because they wanted to protect their property and most importantly, have access to their homes in the aftermath of the storm.

41 posted on 10/30/2012 7:14:23 AM PDT by pgkdan (A vote for anyone but Romney is a vote for obama. GO MITT!!)
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To: paul544
I said it before. This storm likely saved Obama’s presidency.

The winner... for the most over-the-top hyperbole of the day.
42 posted on 10/30/2012 7:17:12 AM PDT by nhwingut (If you are concerned, you are not paying attention (or you are a troll). It will be a landslide.)
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To: mrs9x
Could backfire...the more his face is on TV, the more people think “I don’t want to see this guy for another 4 years.”

Ding Ding Ding Ding Ding...We have a Winner!

43 posted on 10/30/2012 7:17:12 AM PDT by pgkdan (A vote for anyone but Romney is a vote for obama. GO MITT!!)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Clearly you underestimate the superficiality of an undecided’s vote.


44 posted on 10/30/2012 7:17:21 AM PDT by Jake8898
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To: MNDude
Yes, but he looks so Presidential\ sarc

He did such a great job pontificating from the White House! The drive-by's hung on his every word. They hyped how he "bravely" cancelled his Florida campaign appearance to fly back to Washington DC to "monitor" the storm. I like Rush's commentary:


They flew him back, and he has spoken. AP. I have it right here in my formerly nicotine-stained fingers. AP, Breaking News!” Ready? Ready for it? “Obama: “Slow-Moving Storm Will Affect Millions, Urges Americans to Heed Warnings.” (Gasp!) Wow. That we could not have done without. That... Oh, thank God. (interruption) Apparently not. Apparently he could not tell us this from Florida.
45 posted on 10/30/2012 7:17:21 AM PDT by COBOL2Java (I'm not voting for Obama, so therefore I must be helping Romney!)
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To: goldstategop

Watch the name calling. Ad hominem attacks don’t change the fact that there are shallow people out there who allow themselves to be swayed by the MSM’s tactics. How in the hell do you think O got elected in the first place? How does this guy even have 47% of the electorate’s support? Are they stupid? Yes, why yes they are. if people used their brains I wouldn’t be concerned. Unfortunately, they don’t.


46 posted on 10/30/2012 7:17:21 AM PDT by Proudcongal
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To: paul544

Settle down...in two days, power will be restored and the news is going to shift back to the election.

A storm is not going to change the fundamentals of this race.


47 posted on 10/30/2012 7:17:32 AM PDT by mrs9x
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To: paul544

Wow, bring it down a notch here. Obviously none of us know whether some surprising voter response could come out of this weather event, but you basically would need the the independents who Romney appears to be winning (who probably lean a little more conservative anyway) to then SWITCH their intended vote to Obama because “he seems to care about us”. It could happen, but that is what you are calling as fact it would seem.


48 posted on 10/30/2012 7:19:18 AM PDT by bcatwilly (West Virginia is Romney/Ryan Country!)
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To: gswilder

Crisis?

Um......OK.


49 posted on 10/30/2012 7:19:51 AM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: paul544
I said it before. This storm likely saved Obama’s presidency

Get a frigging grip and stop being such a damned weak sister! Better yet take a valium and go to bed!

50 posted on 10/30/2012 7:19:59 AM PDT by pgkdan (A vote for anyone but Romney is a vote for obama. GO MITT!!)
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