FILE: Aug. 17, 2011: Maine independent Senate candidate Angus King speaks at a news conference in Brunswick, Maine. (AP)
Posted on 10/30/2012 7:55:41 AM PDT by KeyLargo
New England shapes up as Dem firewall for Senate
Published October 28, 2012
| Associated Press
Democrats are looking to New England to help them pick up Republican-held Senate seats on Nov. 6 and construct a barrier against likely losses in Nebraska and elsewhere that could erase their majority.
In Maine, former Gov. Angus King, an independent, leads in the polls and is seen as likely to side with Democrats if he wins. As a sign of King’s likely victory, the National Republican Senatorial Committee has stopped spending money on the race.
In Massachusetts, Republican Sen. Scott Brown is now the underdog against Democratic challenger Elizabeth Warren as the state is poised to easily back President Barack Obama over Mitt Romney.
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
FILE: Aug. 17, 2011: Maine independent Senate candidate Angus King speaks at a news conference in Brunswick, Maine. (AP)
Angus King got a million dollars from Nanny Bloomberg and 2 other rich guys. For the GOP to give upon Summers just shows you how stupid and out of touch they are. Fauxchahontas took in 33M in one month..imagine that. The Dems a re desperately trying to buy these two seats. Personally, I don’t see Scott Brown losing and we should all throw a few bucks to Summers, the RNC can go screw.
I think the link is summersformaine.com
Firewall? What about Massachusetts and Connecticut? Both are too close to call. That’s some firewall. It’s about one foot off the ground and covered in flammable wood.
Rassmusen has Senate race tied w 6 tossup states, likely to split 50/50.
This will keep Ryan very busy breaking tie votes.
Fauxchahontas is Granny Warren running against MA (R) Scott Brown. Mass is very fluid.
Also, the races may look like Dems are winning now, but that is by the same measure as the Presidential race that they are trying to tell us is neck in neck. When the Republican turnout is actually at record levels on election day, they are also going to vote downticket, in races like this.
Throw in there Missouri. Todd Adkin is tied and McCaskill is under 50%. Judging by all the Democratic PAC support the RATS know they are in trouble. With all Claire McCaskill’s $$$, if she was an easy win PAC money will not be needed. The GOP were fools to toss this race in September- McCaskill is hugely unpopular in this state!!!
And anyone who thinks that a Missourian is going to go into the polling booth, pull the lever for Romney, then go..."Hmmm, I'll vote for McCaskill, because Akin said X" is a fool. Mccaskill isn't liked, and neither is obama. She will pulled down with that sinking ship on election day.
I think Linda Mcmahon will win in CT. Murphy is Chris Dodd, Jr with Chris' looks. He was never liked in the 5th, and I think Malloy is unpopular, so CT might pick up the seat, and maybe 2 or 3 house seats... (5th, 4th and 2nd)
Assume that Scott Brown (R) loses to Elizabeth Warren (Fauxcahontas) (D) as Massachusetts reverts to being Massachusetts and that Angus King (I Caucusing D) wins over Charles Summers (R) as Maine reverts to being Maine. Neither race is a given, but just suppose. The Connecticut race is for what is already effectively a Democrat seat of Joe Lieberman and Chris Murphy (D) defeats Linda McMahon (R). Bernie Sanders (I Caucusing D) over John Magovern (R) in Vermont. Sheldon Whitehouse over Barry Hinckley (R) in Rhode Island. Overall, worst case scenario: Demonrats +2 seats to a 55 to 45 lead.
Unfortunately for the Demonrats, New England is not the totality of the USA. They also have 21 non-New England seats of their own to defend. The GOP has 8 others to defend.
Demonrat holds: (11): Joe Manchin (D) over John Raese (R) in West Virginia. Dianne Feinstein (D) over Elizabeth Emken (R) in California. Maria Cantwell (D) over Michael Baumgartner in Washington. Martin Heinrich over Heather Wilson (R) for the New Mexico seat being vacated by Jeff Bingamon (D). Kirsten Gillibrand (D) over Wendy Long (R) in New York. Robert Menendez (D) over Joe Kyrillos (R) in New Jersey. Amy Klobuchar over Kurt Bills (R) in Minnesota. Ben Cardin (D) over Dan Bongino (R) in Maryland. Debbie Stabenow (D) over Pete Hoekstra (R) in Michigan. Tom Carper (D) over (R) in Delaware. over Linda Lingle in Hawaii. To this point, still D +2.
Other Turnovers to GOP: (9) George Allen over Tim Kaine for the Virginia (D) seat of Jim Webb. Denny Rehberg (R) over John Tester (D) in Montana. Tommy Thompson (R) over Tammy Baldwin (D) for the Wisconsin seat of retiring Demonrat Herb Kohl. Deb Fischer (R) over Bob Kerry (D) for the seat of retiring Ben Nelson (D) of Nebraska. Steve Mandel over Sherrod Brown (D) of Ohio. Tom Smith (R) over Robert Casey, Jr. (D) of Pennsylvania. Connie Mack IV (R) over Bill Nelson (D) of Florida. Rick Berg (R) over Heidi Heitkamp (D) for the North Dakota seat being vacated by Kent Conrad (D). Todd Akin (R) over Claire McCaskill (D) in Missouri. Now R +7.
Republican holds outside New England: (8): Dean Heller (R) over Shelley Berkeley (D) in Nevada. Bob Corker (R) over Mark Clayton (D) in Tennessee.
Jeff Flake (R) over Richard Carmona (D) of Arizona for the seat vacated by John Kyl (R). John Barrasso (R) over Tim Chestnut (D) of Wyoming. Orrin Hatch (R) over Scott Howell (D) in Utah. Ted Cruz (R) over Paul Sadler (D) in Texas for the seat vacated by Kay Bailey Hutchinson (R). Richard Mourdock (R) over Joseph Donnelly (D) in Indiana for the seat now held by primary loser Richard Luger (R) Roger Wicker (R) over Albert N. Gore, Jr. (D) (???!!!) in Mississippi. Still R+7.
New Senate: R 54 and D 46.
If the foregoing is overly optimistic, then the GOP may lose 3 of the projected D to R turnovers and still control 51-49. If Romney/Ryan are elected, the GOP can lose 4 of the 9 projected D to R turnovers and Ryan can vote with the GOP to organize the Senate.
IIRC, the 2014 class of seats up for re-election is another heavily Demonrat class (20 D vs. 13 R) last elected in 2008 with Obozo's wave election.
In Maine, former Gov. Angus King, an independent, leads in the polls and is seen as likely to side with Democrats if he wins... In Massachusetts, Republican Sen. Scott Brown is now the underdog...Brown's not the underdog, it's another PMS piece by the drive-bys.
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